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Apr-Jun 2013 Earn<strong>in</strong>gs Preview<br />

Unitech<br />

Rat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Reduce<br />

Price (Rs) 20<br />

Target Price (Rs) 19<br />

M/Cap (Rs bn) 52.8<br />

Shares o/s (m) 2,616.3<br />

Key Figures (Rs m)<br />

Y/e March FY13 FY14E FY15E<br />

Net Sales 24,405 26,830 29,231<br />

EBITDA 3,270 5,060 4,432<br />

Marg<strong>in</strong> (%) 13.4 18.9 15.2<br />

PAT 3,130 3,116 2,669<br />

EPS (Rs) 1.2 1.2 1.0<br />

Growth (%) 31.9 (0.5) (14.3)<br />

RoE (%) 2.7 2.7 2.3<br />

PE (x) 16.9 17.0 19.8<br />

P / BV (x) 0.5 0.5 0.4<br />

EV / E (x) 28.6 19.9 23.1<br />

The <strong>com</strong>pany had 4 launches dur<strong>in</strong>g the quarter which have done pretty well for<br />

them. We expect sales <strong>in</strong> value and volume terms to witness strong sequential;<br />

growth and rema<strong>in</strong> flat on YoY basis. Further, Prestige acquired two new projects;<br />

one <strong>in</strong> Bangalore and one <strong>in</strong> Hyderabad, both through the JD model. The <strong>com</strong>pany<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s confident of two large Chennai launches <strong>in</strong> the up<strong>com</strong><strong>in</strong>g quarter. Revenue<br />

recognition dur<strong>in</strong>g the quarter is also expected to rema<strong>in</strong> strong.<br />

Quarterly Table (Rs m)<br />

Y/e March<br />

Q1<br />

FY14E<br />

Q1<br />

FY13<br />

YoY gr.<br />

(%)<br />

Q4<br />

FY13<br />

12M<br />

FY14E<br />

12M<br />

FY13<br />

YoY gr.<br />

(%)<br />

Net Sales 6,852 4,077 68.0 8,483 26,830 24,405 9.9<br />

EBITDA 878 547 60.4 797 5,060 3,270 54.7<br />

Marg<strong>in</strong> (%) 12.8 13.4 (61)bps 9.4 18.9 13.4 546 bps<br />

Reported PAT 744 459 62.2 303 3,116 4,166 (25.2)<br />

PAT (Excl. Ex Items) 745 459 62.1 1,070 3,116 3,130 (0.5)<br />

Operat<strong>in</strong>g Metrics<br />

Sale (m.sq.ft)<br />

Residential 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.9 5.5 5.5 0.0<br />

Non-Residential 0.3 0.1 275.0 0.1 2.8 0.6 358.3<br />

Avg. Real. (Rs / sq. ft.)<br />

Residential 4,700 4,232 11.1 4,745 4,250 4,650 (8.6)<br />

Non-Residential 10,900 11,961 (8.9) 11,308 6,700 10,000 (33.0)<br />

July 8, 2013 173

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