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a Chapter 23 Doppler Velocimetry in Prolonged Pregnancy 355<br />

cases with one or more abnormal outcome of which<br />

6 had IUGR. A total of 5 (3.8%) compared with 2<br />

(16.7%) of abnormal vs normal groups had abnormal<br />

umbilical artery Doppler measurements. This difference<br />

was not statistically significant. The mean umbilical<br />

artery RI was not significantly different between<br />

the two groups. Doppler had a low sensitivity<br />

for predicting an adverse outcome, as did other antepartum<br />

tests such as NST and amniotic fluid volume.<br />

Anteby et al. [13] studied 79 well-dated pregnancies<br />

³41 weeks. Patients at known risk for adverse<br />

outcome based on medical conditions or with abnormal<br />

antepartum testing based on NST or fluid volume<br />

were excluded. In addition, patients scheduled for cesarean<br />

section or planned induction were also excluded.<br />

The authors therefore considered only lowrisk<br />

patients with prolonged pregnancy. The outcome<br />

measures used were moderate to thick meconium and<br />

moderate to severe persistent intrapartum heart rate<br />

abnormality and finally heart rate abnormalities requiring<br />

operative delivery. The umbilical artery S/D<br />

ratio was statistically elevated in cases with FHR abnormalities<br />

requiring operative delivery. No such difference<br />

was observed when the PIs of the two groups<br />

were compared. An umbilical S/D > 2.5 had 60% sensitivity<br />

and 71% specificity for fetal distress requiring<br />

intervention. The authors suggested that a normal<br />

umbilical Doppler identifies post-term pregnancies at<br />

low risk for intrapartum fetal distress.<br />

Zimmerman et al. [14] studied umbilical artery<br />

Doppler RI in 153 well-dated pregnancies ³41 weeks.<br />

Cases with maternal diseases, prolonged rupture of<br />

membranes, malpresentation, and growth-restricted<br />

fetuses were excluded. Outcomes included asphyxia<br />

defined by Apgar scores, low arterial pH or encephalopathy,<br />

thick meconium, neonatal signs of postmaturity,<br />

abnormal FHR patterns in labor, and nonasphyxial<br />

causes of operative delivery such as arrest<br />

of labor. Pregnancies with normal and abnormal outcomes<br />

had umbilical RI values within the 95% confidence<br />

interval used to define normal. Thirty-eight<br />

pregnancies had asphyxial-related complications,<br />

whereas 30 had non-asphyxial complications. The<br />

umbilical RI for the prediction of asphyxia had a sensitivity<br />

of 37% with a specificity of 75%. For non-asphyxial<br />

complications these values are 7% and 75%,<br />

respectively. Overall, the umbilical Doppler was not a<br />

significant predictor of asphyxial or non-asphyxial<br />

outcome based on inspection of the respective receiver-operating<br />

characteristics curves.<br />

Olofsson et al. [15] performed longitudinal comparison<br />

of umbilical Doppler in 34 women who delivered<br />

after 43 weeks. Doppler values were also compared<br />

with those of 32 controls delivered at < 41<br />

weeks. All pregnancies were well dated with the assistance<br />

of mid-trimester ultrasound. The mean Doppler<br />

velocity and estimated blood volume flow in the umbilical<br />

vein was noted to increase significantly on<br />

longitudinal evaluation of the 34 study cases from 42<br />

weeks to delivery. There was no significant change in<br />

the umbilical artery RI over time. Compared with the<br />

control group, the umbilical artery RI was significantly<br />

reduced, consistent with reduced vascular resistance<br />

and increased blood flow in prolonged gestation.<br />

Of the entire study group, 41.2% experienced<br />

one or more complications, namely oligohydramnios,<br />

meconium staining, fetal distress in labor, or birth asphyxia.<br />

The study findings were novel in that the<br />

authors demonstrated reduced placental resistance<br />

and enhanced blood flow in post-term pregnancies.<br />

Presumably enhanced flow would facilitate further<br />

fetal growth in such patients. These findings are at<br />

odds with the generally accepted view of compromised<br />

placental function with aging. An explanation<br />

might be that in the ªnormalº prolonged gestations,<br />

even though placental senescence limits nutrient<br />

transfer, this bottleneck is overridden by enhanced<br />

placental flow. Indeed, it would explain the observation<br />

that macrosomia is a common feature of prolonged<br />

pregnancies. The study by Olofsson et al. [15]<br />

had findings that deviated significantly from the published<br />

literature cited above. Forty-four study cases<br />

were booked from the first trimester and had dating<br />

confirmed based on 16±19 weeks ultrasound. There<br />

were no cases of perinatal death, thick meconium of<br />

the amniotic fluid, meconium aspiration, or low 5-<br />

min Apgar. There were 16 cases with light meconium,<br />

fetal distress requiring operative delivery or birth<br />

asphyxia based on cord pH values. The umbilical<br />

artery pH was significantly less in this compromised<br />

group than in the 28 patients without complications<br />

(0.73 Ô0.14 vs 0.82 Ô 0.14; p=0.03). Dichotomized<br />

analysis of cases with and without fetal distress<br />

showed significantly lower umbilical artery RI in the<br />

group with distress. The same was found when comparing<br />

groups with and without light meconium<br />

staining. The authors explained these unlikely results<br />

by hypothesizing that vasodilatation developed in response<br />

to mild hypoxia possibly through the release<br />

of vasoactive agents. Contradistinction was drawn to<br />

the situation where severe or prolonged hypoxia results<br />

in increased vascular resistance. A transient increase<br />

in placental perfusion reflecting reduced vascular<br />

resistance reportedly has been demonstrated<br />

with acute hypoxia in healthy lambs [16].<br />

Every effective screening test has varying sensitivity<br />

values depending on the false-positive (1-specificity)<br />

threshold that is chosen. As the false-positive<br />

threshold increases, e.g., 10% compared with 5%, the<br />

sensitivity value will generally also increase. It is<br />

therefore misleading and erroneous to compare the<br />

sensitivities of two screening tests without regard to

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