RA 00048.pdf - OAR@ICRISAT
RA 00048.pdf - OAR@ICRISAT
RA 00048.pdf - OAR@ICRISAT
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factor w h i c h should d e t e r m i n e regional s o r g h u m<br />
research strategies in t h e 1980s, t h e n India, w i t h<br />
t h e l o w e s t per capita calorie c o n s u m p t i o n of<br />
1967, should receive the highest priority, w h e r e a s<br />
North, Central and South A m e r i c a should receive<br />
t h e lowest. Similarly, if poor historical production<br />
trends are considered m o s t important, t h e n t h e<br />
Near East rates first, and N o r t h , Central, and<br />
South A m e r i c a last.<br />
The graphical analysis cannot a c c o m m o d a t e all<br />
10 research resource allocation criteria. H e n c e we<br />
have d e v i s e d a c o m p o s i t e numerical research<br />
resource allocation index (CONR<strong>RA</strong>I) that uses all<br />
10 criteria. By assigning different w e i g h t s to each<br />
criterion based on subjective a s s e s s m e n t s of t h e<br />
relative importance of equity versus efficiency<br />
c o n c e r n s and adding u p t h e s e w e i g h t e d index<br />
values, we obtain for each region a c o m p o s i t e<br />
index reflecting its relative priority. T w o alternative<br />
w e i g h t i n g s c h e m e s are s h o w n in Figure 4.<br />
M e t h o d A assigns t w i c e as m u c h w e i g h t to<br />
population, current f o o d status, s o r g h u m ' s contribution<br />
to calories, and t h e region's contribution to<br />
SAT s o r g h u m production, c o m p a r e d w i t h t h e<br />
other six criteria. M e t h o d B uses as the only<br />
criterion t h e region's share of SAT s o r g h u m<br />
production. All other criteria are ignored.<br />
If o n e w e r e c o n c e r n e d solely w i t h efficiency<br />
considerations t h e n M e t h o d B m i g h t be utilized to<br />
guide research strategies. It s u g g e s t s an equal<br />
e m p h a s i s on India and t h e North, Central and<br />
South A m e r i c a n region, f o l l o w e d b y W e s t and<br />
t h e n Eastern Africa. W h e n equity concerns and<br />
other efficiency criteria are incorporated ( M e t h o d<br />
A), t h e emphasis should shift f r o m North, Central<br />
and South America and India to Africa, t h e Near<br />
East, and t h e other Asian regions. The U S D A<br />
projections (1980, p. 308) of import and calorie<br />
gaps using 1979 prices and real i n c o m e s s u g g e s t<br />
perhaps even greater e m p h a s i s should be placed<br />
on W e s t and Eastern Africa than M e t h o d A w o u l d<br />
indicate. The W e s t African SAT region is estim<br />
a t e d t o have 7 4 % o f t h e total SSA f o o d import<br />
gap by 1990 and 1 5 % of its u n m e t f o o d needs.<br />
Eastern Africa's comparable figures are 21 and<br />
7 9 % , respectively.<br />
T h e above analysis s u g g e s t s that a m o r e<br />
regionally dispersed research strategy m a y be<br />
appropriate for ICRISAT s o r g h u m research in t h e<br />
1980s. In addition, it s e e m s f r o m accumulating<br />
research experience w i t h s o r g h u m and other<br />
crops that it m a y be difficult to d e v e l o p i m p r o v e d<br />
cultivars at o n e headquarters location w h i c h will<br />
have w i d e adaptability across t h e SAT. Variations<br />
in day-length, duration, t e m p e r a t u r e , pests, and<br />
diseases s e e m to preclude this.<br />
40<br />
M e t h o d A<br />
M e t h o d B<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
I n d i a E . A f r i c a W . A f r i c a S . A f r i c a O . A s i a N . C . S<br />
A m e r i c a<br />
N e a r<br />
E a s t<br />
Figure 4. Suggested importance of each SAT region in determining the allocation of research<br />
resources using two methods.<br />
7 1 0