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2 assessment of climate change in the southwest united stateschanges, the Southwest can be considered to be one of the most “climate-challenged”regions of North America. This document summarizes current understanding of climatevariability, climate change, climate impacts, and possible solution choices for the climatechallenge, all issues that are covered in greater depth in Assessment of Climate Change in theSouthwest United States. iFigure 1.1 Rapidpopulation growth in theSouthwest is expected tocontinue.The current (2010)population is 56 million, andan additional 19 million peopleare projected to be living inthe region by 2030. Source:US Department of Commerce,Bureau of Economic Analysishttp://www.bea.gov/regional/index.htm. [Chapter 3]The juxtaposition of the Southwest’s many landscapes—mountains, valleys, plateaus,canyons, and plains—affect both the region’s climate and its response to climate change.Whether human and natural systems are able to adapt to changes in climate will be influencedby many factors, including the complex topographic pattern of land ownershipand the associated policies and management goals. Moreover, the human population inthe region will likely grow, primarily in urban areas, from a population of about 56 millionin 2010 to an estimated 94 million by 2050 (Figure 1.1). [Chapter 3]The Southwest climate is highly variable across space and over time related to suchfactors as ocean-land contrasts, mountains and valleys, the position of jet streams, theNorth American monsoon, and proximity to the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of California, and

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