Temperature - European Investment Bank

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WEST AFRICAN POWER POOL (WAPP) PÖYRY ENERGY LTD. Mount Coffee HPP ESIA and RAP 2012-09-18 ESIA Report Page 204 The economic analysis was performed for the Base Case with a discount rate of 10% and for various Sensitivity Cases. For the sensitivity analysis, discount rates of 12% and 8% were used, the construction cost increased by 25% and the fuel cost (HFO) raised also by 25%. For all the cases studied, the Net Present Value (NPV) was always significantly higher than zero. The Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) was higher than 17% and the unit cost of the generated electricity, below 9.5 US cents per kWh. Under these circumstances Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation Project is surely economically a very attractive option for the supply electricity to the Greater Monrovia area. This conclusion is in line with the ones drawn in the reviewed previous studies. 25.5.2 Carbon Credits Before ending the present report, two points still need to be mentioned. They are the Carbon Credits issue and the issue of the funding of the project. Liberia is a signatory to the Kyoto Protocol and a party to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Mount Coffee Hydropower Rehabilitation Project will displace greenhouse gas emissions. The displaced greenhouse gas emissions correspond to those emissions that would have been produced from fossil fuel generated power plants, in case Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant was not rehabilitated. Consequently Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation project is eligible under the UNFCCC Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) for potential carbon financing. This fact has not been taken into account so far in the present study. It is recommended to apply for such credits. This will provide some funds upfront for the implementation of the rehabilitation of the hydropower plant as well annual revenues during the period of operation of the hydropower plant. 25.5.3 Project Funding One important issue of the implementation of Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation is the funding of the Project. The cost of the Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation amounts to 178 million US $. Not included in this number are the cost escalation during construction, interest during construction and the financial cost. If one adds these costs, the magnitude of required funds easily exceeds 200 million US $. Usually about 30% of this amount or about 60 million US $ are required as equity. Currently LEC’s annual total budget for investment that is for power generation, transmission and distribution is of the order of 10 million US $. The comparison of LEC’s current annual budget for investment to the required equity shows clearly that the funding of Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation is a critical issue. One approach to solve this issue is to resort to Public Private Partnership (PPP) models for the implementation of Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation Project. PPP models are contractual arrangements between public (government and their implementing agencies) and private power developers, construction companies, power plant operators and investors, who all have some interest in a particular element of the design, construction, financing, ownership and operation of the asset.
WEST AFRICAN POWER POOL (WAPP) PÖYRY ENERGY LTD. Mount Coffee HPP ESIA and RAP 2012-09-18 ESIA Report Page 205 PPP structures allow for greater private sector participation in the delivery of public infrastructure projects. There are numerous models for PPP. The model finally selected for a particular project must be tailored to the conditions prevailing in the concerned country. To be successful a certain number of conditions have to be met by the selected PPP model. Some of these conditions are favourable investment climate, new policy frameworks and regulation, favourable equity arrangements, secured revenues, positive technical performance. Hence the structuring of a PPP is not an easy task. However, if realized in an appropriate way, it can be beneficial for all the parties involved. It is recommended to consider this option for the implementation of Mount Coffee Hydropower Plant Rehabilitation.
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