HVAC Control in the New Millennium.pdf - HVAC.Amickracing

HVAC Control in the New MillenniumBayesian NetworksSome intelligent concepts are being introduced into PC software. InOffice 97, Microsoft introduced the Office Assistant. This animated iconwatched what you were doing in your word processor or spreadsheetprogram and offered tips and answered questions to help you with theprogram.The concept behind tools such as the Assistant comes from MicrosoftResearch’s Decision Theory and Adaptive Systems Group. Thisgroup has been involved in Bayesian Networks. These networks areinterconnected on the probability of concurrence among different actionsand conditions. For example, in Microsoft Word the program followsthe actions by the user, infers what the user is trying to accomplishand makes suggestions through the Assistant.These initial examples are relatively simple, but Bayesian Networkscan be much more sophisticated. Bayesian networks have beenused as a way to improve processes. They are also finding their way intoPortal software for hypertext systems. This type of modeling of thedecision-making process will allow software in the future to help youwith complex problems. There will be a gradual increase in softwareintelligence that help you do more.Personal SlavesAt Microsoft they see a future where the PC not only transcribesspeech but understands what you say. Microsoft predicts a future withoutapplication programs. You would tell your PC what you want andlet it sort out the details.The main issue about today’s software is that it requires too muchtinkering. In 5 or 10 years software will know when its sick and what itneeds to get well. Future versions should offer troubleshooting wizardsthat help find hardware conflicts and printing and modem problems.When you have a problem, a wizard will ask relevant questions tohelp you figure out what’s happening. In the future, software will lookfor conflicts, make sure drivers are up-to-date and when a fix is necessary,ask if you want to go on-line and provide a patch. Later on, it willsearch for the changes it needs with no intervention from you. Futuresoftware may even watch what you are doing and step in when you are©2001 by The Fairmont Press, Inc. All rights reserved.