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The role of informal microfinance institutions in saving

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eturn <strong>in</strong> tightly regulated f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets or to the higher, riskier rates <strong>of</strong> return <strong>in</strong> the<br />

unregulated markets. On the other hand borrowers are restricted to the high rates <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>terest<br />

charges by banks or are constra<strong>in</strong>ed by the amount <strong>of</strong> credit available on the high-risk<br />

unregulated markets.<br />

In stock markets there are no stipulated ceil<strong>in</strong>gs on returns. As a consequence they <strong>of</strong>fer an<br />

alternative to safe but low, sometimes negative real rates <strong>of</strong> return. <strong>The</strong>y provide <strong>in</strong>vestors<br />

with a greater range <strong>of</strong> risk and return opportunities than a bank-based f<strong>in</strong>ancial market.<br />

<strong>The</strong>y also allow for a better match<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the risk and return characteristics <strong>of</strong> lenders and<br />

borrowers. In addition, <strong>in</strong>vestors have the choice <strong>of</strong> switch<strong>in</strong>g to less risky assets with stable<br />

returns or to relatively safe bank <strong>in</strong>struments where stock returns fail to compensate for risk.<br />

Stock markets allow risk shar<strong>in</strong>g, without the need for government guarantees. Expected<br />

returns are driven by the performance and prospects <strong>of</strong> the company itself, and not by<br />

government guarantees.<br />

From both a practical and theoretical perspectives an issue <strong>of</strong> importance for stock markets is<br />

the demand for domestic securities. <strong>The</strong> demand for securities <strong>of</strong> emerg<strong>in</strong>g markets <strong>in</strong> a<br />

globalized world market is partly due to the potential reduction <strong>in</strong> risk and <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> return<br />

as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational diversification. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the modern portfolio theory analysis<br />

<strong>of</strong> a portfolio should be based on the expected returns from each asset, the variance <strong>of</strong> returns<br />

and the covariance between securities. <strong>The</strong> variance is important <strong>in</strong> any given market, because<br />

by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the number <strong>of</strong> assets <strong>in</strong> a portfolio, the unsystematic (diversifiable) risk can be<br />

diversified, but the contribution <strong>of</strong> each asset to the total risk caused by the covariance terms<br />

are systematic (non-diversifiable) risk.<br />

International diversification depends crucially on the correlation <strong>of</strong> securities between<br />

countries which is <strong>of</strong>ten less than the correlations between securities <strong>of</strong> a s<strong>in</strong>gle country. <strong>The</strong><br />

correlation is computed as the covariance <strong>of</strong> securities with<strong>in</strong> one country with securities <strong>of</strong><br />

another divided by the product <strong>of</strong> the standard deviation between each country’s securities.<br />

Thus <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g foreign securities may also have the effect <strong>of</strong> reduc<strong>in</strong>g the covariance terms,<br />

thereby reduc<strong>in</strong>g the covariance terms, thereby reduc<strong>in</strong>g the level <strong>of</strong> non-diversifiable<br />

104

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