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The role of informal microfinance institutions in saving

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percent households decreased from an average <strong>of</strong> 5.37 percent <strong>in</strong> 1989-92 to an average <strong>of</strong><br />

4.90 percent <strong>in</strong> 1993-96, 4.38 percent <strong>in</strong> 1997-2000 and 3.84 percent <strong>in</strong> 2001-2002. Likewise,<br />

the share <strong>of</strong> consumption expenditure received by the lowest 20 percent households<br />

decreased from an average <strong>of</strong> 8.9 percent <strong>in</strong> 1989-1992 to an average <strong>of</strong> 7.30 percent <strong>in</strong> 1993-<br />

96, 5.91 percent <strong>in</strong> 1997-2000 and 5.42 percent <strong>in</strong> 2001-2002.<br />

1.1.18: Hypothesis Statement<br />

Be<strong>in</strong>g m<strong>in</strong>dful <strong>of</strong> the errors associated with probability sampl<strong>in</strong>g techniques, efforts were made<br />

to validate the hypothesis is to give direction to the study and elim<strong>in</strong>ate trial and error<br />

research.<br />

Furthermore, it will help to rule out <strong>in</strong>terven<strong>in</strong>g and confound<strong>in</strong>g variables and allows for<br />

quantification.<br />

<strong>The</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g hypotheses were formulated for statistical test<strong>in</strong>g<br />

1. Diversified portfolio <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>of</strong> sav<strong>in</strong>gs and credit cooperatives societies<br />

(SACCOs) have a positive impact on sav<strong>in</strong>gs mobilization and poverty reduction<br />

among low-<strong>in</strong>come households.<br />

Hypothesis is a formal question that tends to be resolved for the assumption proved or<br />

disproved used to suggest new experiments and observations.<br />

<strong>The</strong> hypothesis as per research questions number 6 <strong>in</strong> section 1.5 above may be tested at<br />

0.05 level <strong>of</strong> significance, Peil, M(1995) 142 Po<strong>in</strong>ts out that the level <strong>of</strong> significance is <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

accepted as the boundary between “statistically significant and <strong>in</strong>significant…”<br />

87

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