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Weingast - Wittman (eds) - Handbook of Political Ecnomy

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398 a tool kit for voting theory<br />

This approach sounds too good to be true, and that is the case. My cautionary<br />

advice is to avoid putting too much trust in these conclusions as they can be seriously<br />

misleading. The reason is that many “axiomatic” studies in the social sciences have<br />

little, if anything, to do with axiomatics. Rather than “axioms,” they are using what<br />

we mathematicians call “properties” or “hypotheses.” In blunt terms, most of these<br />

conclusions only show which particular properties happen to identify uniquely a<br />

particular decision rule. But “uniquely identifying” and “characterizing” are very<br />

different traits: in particular, most results from this approach fail to characterize what<br />

yougetfromadecisionrule.<br />

To illustrate with a non-technical illustration, consider the three traits (1) Finnish-<br />

American heritage, (2) born in a particular year in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan,<br />

and (3) does research in social choice and the Newtonian N-body problem. While<br />

these traits uniquely identify me, they do not characterize me. Knowing just this,<br />

you do not know “what you are getting.” Similarly the traditional “axiomatic studies”<br />

often identify properties that, by emphasizing special settings, uniquely identify an<br />

election rule. But unless these properties can be used to derive all properties of the<br />

rule, then instead of being “axioms,” they are just special properties the rule happens<br />

to satisfy.<br />

If the axiomatic approach does not accomplish what we want, how do we find<br />

all properties of a voting rule? In addressing this question, I was influenced by the<br />

research of Nurmi, Brams, and Fishburn. In particular, Fishburn (1981) published<br />

an intriguing paradox (that is, a counterintuitive outcome) where the sincere plurality<br />

election outcome is A ≻ B ≻ C ≻ D, butifD drops out, the sincere election<br />

outcome for the same voters—nobody changes preferences!—becomes the reversed<br />

C ≻ B ≻ A. Fishburn’s reversal example is more than an amusing curiosity: it illustrates<br />

a peculiar and unexpected property of the plurality vote.<br />

The ranking “paradoxes” in the literature must be taken seriously because they<br />

identify properties of election rules. Similarly, “paradoxes that cannot occur” identify<br />

a rule’s positive properties. To illustrate with the Borda Count (where 2, 1, 0 points<br />

are assigned, respectively, to a voter’s top-, second-, and bottom-ranked candidate),<br />

this rule does not allow the list<br />

(B ≻ C ≻ A, A ≻ B, A ≻ C, B ≻ C)<br />

to ever happen. This and other lists of Borda rankings that cannot occur define<br />

the important property that the Borda Count never ranks the Condorcet loser (the<br />

candidate that loses to all candidates in pairwise elections) above the Condorcet<br />

winner. Does this property extend to any other positional method? (No.)<br />

To find all ranking properties of election procedures, we could find all possible<br />

lists of election rankings that could ever occur. To illustrate with Fishburn’s example,<br />

rather than just the plurality (A ≻ B ≻ C ≻ D, C ≻ B ≻ A) listing,wewantto<br />

know what happens with all subsets of candidates. Can we have, for instance, a<br />

plurality listing<br />

(A ≻ B ≻ C ≻ D, C ≻ B ≻ A, D ≻ B ≻ A, D ≻ C ≻ A, D ≻ C ≻ B,<br />

A ≻ B, B ≻ C, C ≻ D, D ≻ A, A ≻ C, B ≻ D)

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