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Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...

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hazard. Asteroid 433 Eros, one of <strong>the</strong> largest NEOs, has been visited by a low-cost Discovery rendezvous<br />

mission (Near-Earth Asteroid Rendezvous-Shoemaker), <strong>and</strong> one of <strong>the</strong> asteroids most accessible by<br />

spacecraft (25143 Itokawa) was visited by <strong>the</strong> Japanese Hayabusa sample-return mission. Delivered to<br />

near-Earth space from <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> belt <strong>and</strong> more distant reservoirs, NEOs encompass a stunn<strong>in</strong>g variety of<br />

taxonomic types, sizes <strong>and</strong> histories representative of <strong>the</strong> solar system at large, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g a fraction of<br />

ext<strong>in</strong>ct comets. Future missions may take advantage of low-ΔV trajectories to visit bodies of more<br />

uncommon <strong>and</strong> primitive spectroscopic type, both to study <strong>the</strong>m geologically <strong>and</strong> to return samples of<br />

such compositions that are unlikely to be represented by meteorites.<br />

Notional ESMD robotic precursor mission to Mars have also been discussed. There has been<br />

little mention of missions to <strong>the</strong> martian moons, Phobos <strong>and</strong> Deimos. It is clear that <strong>the</strong>se two moons<br />

could play important roles <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future exploration of Mars, especially if <strong>the</strong>y turn out to be related to<br />

volatile-rich asteroids, a possibility which has not been excluded by exist<strong>in</strong>g data <strong>and</strong> observations. If so,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y may be <strong>the</strong> surviv<strong>in</strong>g representatives of a family of bodies that orig<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> outer asteroid belt or<br />

fur<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>and</strong> reached <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ner solar system to deliver volatiles <strong>and</strong> organics to <strong>the</strong> accret<strong>in</strong>g terrestrial<br />

planets.<br />

Investigation of Phobos <strong>and</strong> Deimos crosscuts discipl<strong>in</strong>es of planetary science <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong><br />

nature of primitive asteroids, <strong>for</strong>mation of <strong>the</strong> terrestrial planets, <strong>and</strong> astrobiology. Key science questions<br />

are <strong>the</strong> moons’ compositions, orig<strong>in</strong>s, <strong>and</strong> relationship to o<strong>the</strong>r solar system materials. Are <strong>the</strong> moons<br />

possibly re-accreted Mars ejecta? Or are <strong>the</strong>y possibly related to primitive, D-type bodies?<br />

These questions can be <strong>in</strong>vestigated by a Discovery-class mission that <strong>in</strong>cludes measurements of<br />

bulk properties <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal structure, high-resolution imag<strong>in</strong>g of surface morphology <strong>and</strong> spectral<br />

properties, <strong>and</strong> measurements of elemental <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong>eral composition. A possible follow-up New<br />

Frontiers-class sample return mission could provide more detailed <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation on composition. Because<br />

Phobos <strong>and</strong> Deimos are potential stag<strong>in</strong>g areas <strong>and</strong> sources of resources <strong>for</strong> future human exploration of<br />

Mars, missions to Phobos <strong>and</strong> Deimos would contribute to human exploration <strong>in</strong> a way unique among<br />

missions to primitive bodies.<br />

Summary<br />

The scientific study of primitive bodies can be advanced dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> next decade if <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g<br />

activities are addressed:<br />

• Flagship Missions—A mission at this scale is not proposed <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> current decade. A more<br />

appropriate use of limited resources is <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>itiation of a technology program focused on assur<strong>in</strong>g that a<br />

Cryogenic Comet Sample Return mission can be carried out <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> decade of <strong>the</strong> 2020s at acceptable cost<br />

<strong>and</strong> risk.<br />

• New Frontiers Missions—Raise <strong>the</strong> cost cap of <strong>the</strong> New Frontiers program <strong>and</strong> keep New<br />

Frontiers as PI-led missions. The <strong>in</strong>dependent cost estimates <strong>for</strong> primitive body missions (Appendix C)<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong> current cost cap <strong>for</strong> New Frontiers is <strong>in</strong>sufficient <strong>for</strong> missions of <strong>the</strong> highest <strong>in</strong>terest. The<br />

most important missions address<strong>in</strong>g primitive body goals dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g decade are, <strong>in</strong> priority order:<br />

1. Comet Surface Sample Return <strong>and</strong><br />

2. Trojan Tour <strong>and</strong> Rendezvous.<br />

• Discovery Missions—Ensure an appropriate cadence of future Discovery missions. This is<br />

critical to <strong>the</strong> exploration of primitive bodies (Box 4.1), because of <strong>the</strong> large number of <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g targets.<br />

A regular, preferably short cadence, is more important than <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> cost cap <strong>for</strong> Discovery<br />

missions.<br />

• Technology Development—Exp<strong>and</strong> technology developments <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g areas that<br />

affect <strong>the</strong> highest ranked missions to primitive bodies: ASRG <strong>and</strong> thruster packag<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> lifetime,<br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

4-21

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