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Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...

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• Ensure that <strong>the</strong>re are adequate levels of project funds <strong>for</strong> risk reduction <strong>and</strong> improved cost<br />

estimation prior to f<strong>in</strong>al selection; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Develop a comprehensive, <strong>in</strong>tegrated strategy to control cost <strong>and</strong> schedule growth <strong>and</strong> enable<br />

more frequent science opportunities.<br />

SMALL MISSIONS<br />

With<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> category of small missions, <strong>the</strong>re are three elements of particular <strong>in</strong>terest: <strong>the</strong><br />

Discovery program, extended missions <strong>for</strong> ongo<strong>in</strong>g projects, <strong>and</strong> “Missions of Opportunity”.<br />

The Discovery Program<br />

The Discovery program was <strong>in</strong>itiated <strong>in</strong> 1992 as a way to assure frequent access to space <strong>for</strong><br />

planetary science <strong>in</strong>vestigations through competed PI-led missions. The low cost <strong>and</strong> short development<br />

times of Discovery missions provide flexibility to address new scientific discoveries on a timescale<br />

significantly less than 10 years. The Discovery program is <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e outside <strong>the</strong> bounds of a decadal<br />

strategic plan, <strong>and</strong> this decadal survey makes no specific Discovery flight mission recommendations. The<br />

committee stresses, however, that <strong>the</strong> Discovery program has made important <strong>and</strong> fundamental<br />

contributions to planetary exploration, <strong>and</strong> can cont<strong>in</strong>ue to do so <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g decade. The<br />

committee gives it its strong support.<br />

Chapters 4-8 provide examples of <strong>the</strong> rich array of science that can be addressed with future<br />

Discovery missions. At Mercury, orbital missions complementary to MESSENGER could characterize<br />

high-latitude, radar-reflective volatile deposits, map <strong>the</strong> m<strong>in</strong>eralogy of <strong>the</strong> surface, characterize <strong>the</strong><br />

atmosphere <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> magnetosphere, <strong>and</strong> precisely determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> long-term rotational state. At Venus,<br />

plat<strong>for</strong>ms <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g orbiters, balloons, <strong>and</strong> probes could be used to lower atmospheric chemistry <strong>and</strong><br />

dynamics, surface geochemistry <strong>and</strong> topography, <strong>and</strong> current <strong>and</strong> past surface <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>terior processes. The<br />

proximity of <strong>the</strong> Moon makes it an ideal target <strong>for</strong> future Discovery missions, us<strong>in</strong>g both orbital <strong>and</strong><br />

l<strong>and</strong>ed plat<strong>for</strong>ms, build<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>the</strong> rich scientific f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs of recent lunar missions, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> planned GRAIL<br />

<strong>and</strong> LADEE missions.<br />

Potential Discovery missions to Mars <strong>in</strong>clude a 1-node geophysical pathf<strong>in</strong>der station, a polar<br />

science orbiter, a dual satellite atmospheric sound<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong>/or gravity mission, an atmospheric sample<br />

collection <strong>and</strong> Earth-return mission, a Phobos/Deimos surface exploration mission, <strong>and</strong> an <strong>in</strong> situ aerial<br />

mission to explore <strong>the</strong> region of <strong>the</strong> martian atmosphere not easily accessible from orbit or from <strong>the</strong><br />

surface. We note that NASA does not <strong>in</strong>tend to cont<strong>in</strong>ue <strong>the</strong> Mars Scout program beyond <strong>the</strong> MAVEN<br />

mission, nor do we recommend that <strong>the</strong>y do so. Instead, <strong>the</strong> committee recommends that NASA<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ue to allow Discovery missions to be proposed to all planetary bodies, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g Mars.<br />

Primitive body <strong>in</strong>vestigations are ideally suited <strong>for</strong> Discovery missions. The vast number <strong>and</strong><br />

diversity of asteroids <strong>and</strong> comets provide opportunities to benefit from frequent launches. The proximity<br />

of some targets allows missions that can be implemented with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> context of <strong>the</strong> Discovery program.<br />

Near <strong>the</strong> limit of <strong>the</strong> Discovery cost cap, it may be possible to collect <strong>and</strong> return samples from NEOs.<br />

The diversity of targets means that proven technologies may be re-flown to new targets, reduc<strong>in</strong>g mission<br />

risk <strong>and</strong> cost. And <strong>the</strong> population of scientifically compell<strong>in</strong>g targets is not static, but is cont<strong>in</strong>ually<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g as a consequence of discoveries <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> support<strong>in</strong>g research <strong>and</strong> analysis programs.<br />

Because <strong>the</strong>re is still so much compell<strong>in</strong>g science that can be addressed by Discovery missions,<br />

<strong>the</strong> committee recommends cont<strong>in</strong>uation of <strong>the</strong> Discovery program at its current level, adjusted <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>flation, with a cost cap per mission that is also adjusted <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation from <strong>the</strong> current value (i.e.,<br />

to about $500 million FY2015).<br />

The committee does note that NASA has <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>the</strong> size <strong>and</strong> number of external project<br />

reviews <strong>for</strong> Discovery missions to <strong>the</strong> po<strong>in</strong>t that some reviews are counterproductive <strong>and</strong> disruptive. The<br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

9-7

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