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Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...

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8. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> composition, structure, particle-size distribution, dynamical stability, <strong>and</strong><br />

evolutionary history of <strong>the</strong> r<strong>in</strong>gs, as well as <strong>the</strong> geology, geophysics, <strong>and</strong> surface composition of<br />

small satellites.<br />

9. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> vertical profile of zonal w<strong>in</strong>ds as a function of depth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere, <strong>in</strong><br />

addition to <strong>the</strong> presence of clouds as a function of depth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere.<br />

New Frontiers Missions<br />

The New Frontiers l<strong>in</strong>e is an essential component of NASA’s portfolio. Missions of this scope<br />

can achieve highly focused goals that can be comb<strong>in</strong>ed with results from flagship missions to<br />

significantly advance scientific progress. However, <strong>the</strong> committee’s detailed mission studies revealed<br />

that <strong>the</strong> current cost cap of New Frontiers precluded nearly all outer solar system exploration. One<br />

exception was a Saturn Probe mission.<br />

Saturn Probe<br />

For a mission like <strong>the</strong> Saturn Probe, <strong>the</strong> current operat<strong>in</strong>g systems <strong>and</strong> protocols (extant<br />

paradigms <strong>and</strong> likely risk/cost analyses) dictate that launch<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> operat<strong>in</strong>g an empty rocket (zero<br />

payload) to fly past <strong>the</strong> Saturn system just barely fits with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2009 New Frontiers cost cap. This is true<br />

<strong>for</strong> any mission beyond Saturn as well: similar results surfaced <strong>for</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r New Frontiers mission concepts<br />

to targets <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> outer solar system. The Saturn Probe study was particularly illustrative because it was<br />

stripped down to almost an empty rocket <strong>and</strong> yet was still substantially over $1 billion <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g launch<br />

costs (<strong>the</strong> committee exam<strong>in</strong>ed a s<strong>in</strong>gle-probe mission design; multiple probes would fur<strong>the</strong>r enhance <strong>the</strong><br />

science yield). For reference, an extremely capable payload is a small fraction of <strong>the</strong> cost of <strong>the</strong> rocket<br />

(<strong>and</strong> thus <strong>the</strong> mission): Phase A-D costs of <strong>the</strong> probe, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g aeroshell <strong>and</strong> payload, are only of order<br />

10 percent of <strong>the</strong> total mission cost; <strong>the</strong> science payload itself is only of order 3 percent.<br />

The prioritized science objectives <strong>for</strong> a Saturn Probe mission under an exp<strong>and</strong>ed New Frontiers<br />

cost cap recommended <strong>in</strong> Chapter 9 are:<br />

• Highest Priority <strong>Science</strong> Objectives<br />

1. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> noble gas abundances <strong>and</strong> isotopic ratios of H, C, N, <strong>and</strong> O <strong>in</strong> Saturn’s<br />

atmosphere.<br />

2. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> atmospheric structure at <strong>the</strong> probe descent location acceleration.<br />

• Lower Priority <strong>Science</strong> Objectives 104<br />

3. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> vertical profile of zonal w<strong>in</strong>ds as a function of depth at <strong>the</strong> probe descent<br />

location(s).<br />

4. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> location, density, <strong>and</strong> composition of clouds as a function of depth <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

atmosphere.<br />

5. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> variability of atmospheric structure <strong>and</strong> presence of clouds <strong>in</strong> two<br />

locations.<br />

6. Determ<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong> vertical water abundance profile at <strong>the</strong> probe descent location(s).<br />

7. Determ<strong>in</strong>e precision isotope measurements <strong>for</strong> light elements such as S, N, <strong>and</strong> O found<br />

<strong>in</strong> simple atmospheric constituents.<br />

The Saturn shallow probe targets very specific science goals. Retrieved elemental compositions<br />

from Saturn can be comb<strong>in</strong>ed with those from <strong>the</strong> Jupiter/Galileo probe to constra<strong>in</strong> solar system<br />

<strong>for</strong>mation models; <strong>in</strong> situ Saturn observations can leverage <strong>the</strong> results of remote sens<strong>in</strong>g obta<strong>in</strong>ed with <strong>the</strong><br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

7-36

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