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Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...

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Human space exploration is undertaken to serve a variety of national <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>in</strong>terests.<br />

Indeed, <strong>the</strong> President, Congress, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> American public play a greater role <strong>in</strong> shap<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> humanexploration<br />

agenda than <strong>the</strong> scientific community. Human exploration can provide important<br />

opportunities to advance science, but science is not <strong>the</strong> primary motivation. Measurements us<strong>in</strong>g remote<br />

sens<strong>in</strong>g across <strong>the</strong> electromagnetic spectrum, atmospheric measurements, or determ<strong>in</strong>ations of particle<br />

flux density are by far best <strong>and</strong> most economically conducted us<strong>in</strong>g robotic spacecraft. But <strong>the</strong>re is an<br />

important subset of planetary exploration that can benefit from human space flight. These are missions to<br />

<strong>the</strong> surfaces of solid bodies whose surface conditions are not too hostile <strong>for</strong> humans. For <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>eseeable<br />

future, humans can only realistically explore <strong>the</strong> surfaces of <strong>the</strong> Moon, Mars, Phobos <strong>and</strong> Diemos, <strong>and</strong><br />

some asteroids (Figure 2.8). The determ<strong>in</strong>ation of which asteroids might be realistic human exploration<br />

targets will <strong>in</strong>clude considerations of gravity, safety, orbit, <strong>and</strong> richness of scientific return based on<br />

precursor measurements. It is likely that <strong>the</strong> subset of asteroids that are true potential targets is much<br />

smaller than <strong>the</strong> observed <strong>in</strong>ventory of NEOs <strong>and</strong> should be <strong>the</strong> subject of a separate study. If <strong>the</strong><br />

development of a heavy-lift launch vehicle proceeds as planned, <strong>the</strong> surface of <strong>the</strong> Moon or a near-earth<br />

asteroid is potentially accessible by humans sometime after 2022, but Mars rema<strong>in</strong>s a more distant goal<br />

<strong>for</strong> human exploration.<br />

Precursor Robotic Missions<br />

If <strong>the</strong> Apollo experience is an applicable guide, robotic missions to targets of <strong>in</strong>terest will<br />

undoubtedly precede human l<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>gs. Human exploration precursor measurement objectives focus<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ly on issues regard<strong>in</strong>g health <strong>and</strong> safety <strong>and</strong> eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g practicalities, ra<strong>the</strong>r than science. While<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are a number of examples where <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terests <strong>in</strong>tersect, <strong>for</strong> example f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g a resource like water,<br />

<strong>the</strong> motivation <strong>and</strong> ultimate data applications of <strong>the</strong> two goals are typically quite different.<br />

A positive example of synergy is <strong>the</strong> current Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter mission (Figures 2.7<br />

<strong>and</strong> 2.8). This project was conceived as a precursor <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> human exploration program, but ultimately<br />

was executed <strong>in</strong> concert with <strong>the</strong> planetary science community. With one exception, a science peerreview<br />

process was followed <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>strument selection. In fall 2010, after <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> exploration phase<br />

of LRO’s mission, responsibility <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> spacecraft was turned over to PSD. Some 23 participat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

scientists were added to ensure that top-quality science is executed. By build<strong>in</strong>g on lessons learned from<br />

LRO, an effective approach to exploration-driven robotic precursor missions can be constructed.<br />

Despite <strong>the</strong> positive recent example of LRO, <strong>the</strong> committee is concerned that, as demonstrated <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> recent past, human spaceflight programs can cannibalize space science programs. The committee<br />

agrees with <strong>the</strong> statement by <strong>the</strong> Human Spaceflight Plans Committee report that “it is essential that<br />

budgetary firewalls be built between <strong>the</strong>se two broad categories of activity. Without such a mechanism,<br />

turmoil is assured <strong>and</strong> program balance endangered.” 9<br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

2-8

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