Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
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• Use dual manifest<strong>in</strong>g to reduce <strong>in</strong>dividual mission costs. Comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g two missions with<br />
complementary scientific objectives onto one launch vehicle reduces costs <strong>for</strong> each mission. Recent<br />
examples of this approach are <strong>the</strong> Cass<strong>in</strong>i/Huygens mission to Saturn <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Lunar Reconnaissance<br />
Orbiter/LCROSS mission to <strong>the</strong> Moon. This approach, however, does entail additional technical <strong>and</strong><br />
managerial complications.<br />
• Use dual manifest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> missions to different dest<strong>in</strong>ations. For example, a planetary mission<br />
could be comb<strong>in</strong>ed with an Earth observation mission. While significant sav<strong>in</strong>gs may be possible, such a<br />
comb<strong>in</strong>ation of missions would br<strong>in</strong>g substantial technical <strong>and</strong> management complications, <strong>for</strong> example<br />
result<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong> schedule constra<strong>in</strong>ts imposed by planetary launch w<strong>in</strong>dows.<br />
• Buy blocks of launch vehicles across all NASA users to reduce unit costs. Block procurement<br />
of launch vehicles reduces unit costs because of <strong>in</strong>creased production efficiencies both at <strong>the</strong> prime<br />
launch vehicle contractor <strong>and</strong> at <strong>the</strong> vendors supply<strong>in</strong>g components <strong>and</strong> subsystems. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to a 2010<br />
study by <strong>the</strong> Center <strong>for</strong> Strategic <strong>and</strong> International Studies, <strong>in</strong>efficiency <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> US production of launch<br />
vehicles adds 30-40 percent to US launch costs. 15 NASA once procured <strong>the</strong> Delta II <strong>in</strong> blocks.<br />
• Buy blocks of launch vehicles across organizations to reduce unit costs. At present, NASA<br />
<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Department of Defense procure launch vehicles separately. Comb<strong>in</strong>ed procurement across both<br />
organizations would result <strong>in</strong> greater production efficiencies <strong>and</strong> reduced unit costs. Interagency<br />
cooperation to br<strong>in</strong>g about such block buys could be a significant challenge, however.<br />
• Exploit technologies that allow use of smaller, less expensive launch vehicles. For some<br />
orbital missions to planets with atmospheres, use of aerocapture can result <strong>in</strong> a substantial reduction<br />
spacecraft mass, replac<strong>in</strong>g propellants with a less massive heat shield. For o<strong>the</strong>r missions, low-thrust <strong>in</strong>space<br />
propulsion may enable trajectories that have less str<strong>in</strong>gent launch per<strong>for</strong>mance requirements. In<br />
both <strong>in</strong>stances, of course, launch sav<strong>in</strong>gs are partially offset by <strong>the</strong> cost of <strong>the</strong> necessary technology<br />
development.<br />
THE NEED FOR PLUTONIUM-238<br />
Radioisotope Power <strong>System</strong>s (RPSs) are necessary <strong>for</strong> power<strong>in</strong>g spacecraft at large distances<br />
from <strong>the</strong> Sun, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> extreme radiation environment of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ner Galilean satellites, <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> low light levels<br />
of high martian latitudes, dust storms, <strong>and</strong> night, <strong>for</strong> extended operations on <strong>the</strong> surface of Venus, <strong>and</strong><br />
dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> long lunar night. With some 50 years of technology development, funded by over $1 billion,<br />
<strong>and</strong> use of 46 such systems on 26 previous <strong>and</strong> currently fly<strong>in</strong>g spacecraft, <strong>the</strong> technology, safe h<strong>and</strong>l<strong>in</strong>g,<br />
<strong>and</strong> utility of <strong>the</strong>se units are not <strong>in</strong> doubt.<br />
While <strong>the</strong>re are over 3,000 nuclides, few are acceptable <strong>for</strong> use as radioisotopes <strong>in</strong> power sources.<br />
For robotic spacecraft missions, plutonium-238 st<strong>and</strong>s out as <strong>the</strong> safest <strong>and</strong> easiest to procure isotope that<br />
is compatible with launch vehicle lift capabilities.<br />
Past NASA use of plutonium-238 <strong>in</strong> RPSs is well documented. Future requirement plann<strong>in</strong>g is<br />
subject to periodic (ideally annual) updates to <strong>the</strong> Department of Energy. Such plans are complicated by<br />
cross-agency budgetary expectations, chang<strong>in</strong>g NASA plans, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> competitively selected nature of<br />
future NASA missions that may require this isotope.<br />
Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, production of plutonium-238 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. ceased <strong>in</strong> 1988 with <strong>the</strong> shutdown of <strong>the</strong><br />
Savannah River Site K-reactor, <strong>and</strong> separation of <strong>the</strong> isotope from exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ventories stopped <strong>in</strong> about<br />
1996. The rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g stock of plutonium-238, largely purchased from Russia, has cont<strong>in</strong>ued to be drawn<br />
down, most recently <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> Multi Mission Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator (MMRTG) on MSL<br />
(~3.5 kg of plutonium). An additional potential lien aga<strong>in</strong>st <strong>the</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g supply is <strong>the</strong> use of plutonium-<br />
238 <strong>in</strong> two Advanced Stirl<strong>in</strong>g Radioisotope Generators (ASRGs) on <strong>the</strong> next Discovery mission (~1.8 kg<br />
of plutonium). While an exact account<strong>in</strong>g of plutonium-238 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. is not publicly available, previous<br />
estimates are consistent with a current supply of ~16.8 kg, not <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g 3.5 kg now on MSL. Recent<br />
NASA requirements reported to DOE are given <strong>in</strong> Table 9.5.<br />
PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />
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