Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
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timescales, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> possible analogies between a possible ancient climate catastrophe on Venus <strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> long term future of Earth’s climate system.<br />
Many advances <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last decade <strong>for</strong> ancient climates have been about Venus, based mostly on<br />
results from <strong>the</strong> Venus Express spacecraft. Venus Express has found new clues to <strong>the</strong> mystery of Venus’s<br />
seem<strong>in</strong>gly tortured climatic past by measur<strong>in</strong>g flows of escap<strong>in</strong>g atoms <strong>and</strong> ions <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g a surpris<strong>in</strong>g<br />
altitude-dependence of <strong>the</strong> deuterium to hydrogen ratio at certa<strong>in</strong> latitudes. Venus’s atmosphere has a<br />
large deuterium/hydrogen ratio compared to Earth <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r solar system bodies, <strong>and</strong> this ratio has been<br />
taken to <strong>in</strong>dicate significant loss of hydrogen (with mass fractionation) from its atmosphere to space.<br />
However, <strong>the</strong> SPICAV <strong>in</strong>strument of Venus Express has found that <strong>the</strong> deuterium/hydrogen ratio is<br />
significantly higher at <strong>and</strong> above <strong>the</strong> cloud deck than nearer to <strong>the</strong> surface. This enrichment could be<br />
caused by some photochemical process (molecular decomposition or planetary escape) or selective<br />
condensation <strong>in</strong>to clouds. 18<br />
Data from <strong>the</strong> ASPERA <strong>in</strong>strument on Venus Express suggest provisionally that hydrogen escape<br />
rates are an order of magnitude slower than previously assumed, imply<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong> hydrogen <strong>in</strong> Venus’s<br />
atmosphere has an average residence time of some 1 billion years. 19 This result, if confirmed by fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
observations dur<strong>in</strong>g an extended Venus Express mission, has important implications <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> history of<br />
water <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> current rate of outgass<strong>in</strong>g on Venus. Ano<strong>the</strong>r significant discovery is that Venus’s<br />
atmosphere is los<strong>in</strong>g unexpectedly large quantities of oxygen to deep space, via non-<strong>the</strong>rmal processes.<br />
This f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g calls <strong>in</strong>to question <strong>the</strong> long-st<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g assumption that massive escape of hydrogen from<br />
Venus’s atmosphere must have left <strong>the</strong> atmosphere <strong>and</strong> surface highly oxidized.<br />
Important Questions<br />
Some important questions concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> primordial climates on Venus <strong>and</strong> Mars <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> search<br />
<strong>for</strong> clues <strong>in</strong>to Earth’s early environment <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g:<br />
• Do volatiles on Mercury <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Moon constra<strong>in</strong> ancient atmospheric orig<strong>in</strong>s, sources <strong>and</strong><br />
loss processes?<br />
• How similar or diverse were <strong>the</strong> orig<strong>in</strong>al states of <strong>the</strong> atmospheres <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> coupled evolution<br />
of <strong>in</strong>teriors <strong>and</strong> atmospheres on Venus, Earth, <strong>and</strong> Mars?<br />
• How did early extreme ultraviolet flux <strong>and</strong> solar w<strong>in</strong>d <strong>in</strong>fluence atmospheric escape <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />
early solar system?<br />
Future Directions <strong>for</strong> Investigations <strong>and</strong> Measurements<br />
To make significant progress towards <strong>the</strong> goal of underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> processes controll<strong>in</strong>g climate<br />
on <strong>the</strong> terrestrial planets requires observations over a significant fraction of a solar cycle <strong>in</strong> order to derive<br />
a time averaged escape flux <strong>for</strong> recent epochs <strong>and</strong> to underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> relative importance of several escape<br />
mechanisms. Several critical areas of <strong>in</strong>vestigation are as follows (1) measure <strong>and</strong> model <strong>the</strong> abundances<br />
<strong>and</strong> isotopic ratios of noble gases on Venus to underst<strong>and</strong> how similar its orig<strong>in</strong>al state was to those of<br />
Earth <strong>and</strong> Mars, <strong>and</strong> to underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> similarities <strong>and</strong> differences between <strong>the</strong> coupled evolution of<br />
<strong>in</strong>teriors <strong>and</strong> atmospheres <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong>se planets; (2) characterize ancient climates on <strong>the</strong> terrestrial planets,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g search<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> isotopic or m<strong>in</strong>eral evidence of ancient climates on Venus; <strong>and</strong> (3) exam<strong>in</strong>e <strong>the</strong><br />
geology <strong>and</strong> m<strong>in</strong>eralogy of <strong>the</strong> tesserae on Venus to search <strong>for</strong> clues to ancient environments.<br />
PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />
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