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Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...

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Over <strong>the</strong> past decade <strong>the</strong> Mars science community, as represented by <strong>the</strong> Mars Exploration<br />

Program Analysis Group (MEPAG), has <strong>for</strong>mulated three major science <strong>the</strong>mes that perta<strong>in</strong> to<br />

underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g Mars as a planetary system:<br />

• Life—Underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> potential <strong>for</strong> life elsewhere <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> universe;<br />

• Climate—Characterize <strong>the</strong> present <strong>and</strong> past climate <strong>and</strong> climate processes; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Geology—Underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> geological processes affect<strong>in</strong>g Mars’s <strong>in</strong>terior, crust, <strong>and</strong> surface.<br />

From <strong>the</strong>se <strong>the</strong>mes, MEPAG has derived key, overarch<strong>in</strong>g science questions that drive future<br />

Mars exploration. These <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>the</strong> follow<strong>in</strong>g:<br />

• What are <strong>the</strong> nature, ages, <strong>and</strong> orig<strong>in</strong> of <strong>the</strong> diverse suite of geologic units <strong>and</strong> aqueous<br />

environments evident from orbital <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong>ed data, <strong>and</strong> were any of <strong>the</strong>m habitable?<br />

• How, when, <strong>and</strong> why did environments vary through Mars history, <strong>and</strong> did any of <strong>the</strong>m host<br />

life or its precursors?<br />

• What are <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ventory <strong>and</strong> dynamics of carbon compounds <strong>and</strong> trace gases <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere<br />

<strong>and</strong> surface, <strong>and</strong> what are <strong>the</strong> processes that govern <strong>the</strong>ir orig<strong>in</strong>, evolution, <strong>and</strong> fate?<br />

• What is <strong>the</strong> present climate <strong>and</strong> how has it evolved on time scales of 10 million years, 100<br />

million years, <strong>and</strong> 1 billion years?<br />

• What are <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternal structure <strong>and</strong> dynamics <strong>and</strong> how have <strong>the</strong>se evolved over time?<br />

The next decade holds great promise <strong>for</strong> Mars exploration. The MSL rover (Box 6.1), scheduled<br />

<strong>for</strong> launch <strong>in</strong> 2011, will significantly advance our knowledge of surface m<strong>in</strong>eralogy <strong>and</strong> chemistry at a<br />

site specifically selected to provide <strong>in</strong>sight <strong>in</strong>to aqueous processes. The MAVEN mission currently <strong>in</strong><br />

development <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> ESA/NASA ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter (TGO) will provide major new <strong>in</strong>sights<br />

<strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> state <strong>and</strong> evolution of <strong>the</strong> Mars atmosphere. Follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>se missions <strong>the</strong> highest priority science<br />

goal will be to address <strong>in</strong> detail <strong>the</strong> questions of habitability <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> potential orig<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> evolution of life<br />

on Mars.<br />

The major focus of <strong>the</strong> next decade will be to <strong>in</strong>itiate a Mars sample-return campaign, beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g<br />

with a rover mission to collect <strong>and</strong> cache samples, followed by missions to retrieve <strong>the</strong>se samples <strong>and</strong><br />

return <strong>the</strong>m to Earth. It is widely accepted with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Mars science community that analysis of carefully<br />

selected samples from sites that have <strong>the</strong> highest scientific potential that are returned to Earth <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>tense<br />

study us<strong>in</strong>g advanced analytical techniques will provide <strong>the</strong> highest scientific return on <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>for</strong><br />

underst<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g Mars as a planetary system.<br />

These samples can be collected <strong>and</strong> returned to Earth <strong>in</strong> a sequence of three missions that collect<br />

<strong>the</strong> samples, place <strong>the</strong>m <strong>in</strong>to Mars orbit, <strong>and</strong> return <strong>the</strong>m to Earth. This modular approach is<br />

scientifically, technically, <strong>and</strong> programmatically robust, with each mission possess<strong>in</strong>g a small number of<br />

discrete eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g challenges, <strong>and</strong> multiple sample caches provid<strong>in</strong>g resiliency aga<strong>in</strong>st failure of<br />

subsequent elements. This modular approach also allows <strong>the</strong> sample return campaign to proceed at a pace<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ed by prioritization with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> solar system objectives <strong>and</strong> by available fund<strong>in</strong>g. The study of<br />

Mars as an <strong>in</strong>tegrated system is so scientifically compell<strong>in</strong>g that it will cont<strong>in</strong>ue well beyond <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g<br />

decade, with future missions implement<strong>in</strong>g geophysical <strong>and</strong> atmospheric networks, provid<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> situ<br />

studies of diverse sites, <strong>and</strong> additional sample returns that build on <strong>the</strong> com<strong>in</strong>g decade’s discoveries.<br />

All three of <strong>the</strong> crosscutt<strong>in</strong>g science <strong>the</strong>mes <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> exploration of <strong>the</strong> solar system <strong>in</strong>clude Mars,<br />

<strong>and</strong> study<strong>in</strong>g Mars is vital to answer<strong>in</strong>g a number of <strong>the</strong> priority questions <strong>in</strong> each of <strong>the</strong>m. The Build<strong>in</strong>g<br />

New Worlds <strong>the</strong>me <strong>in</strong>cludes <strong>the</strong> question “what governed <strong>the</strong> accretion, supply of water, chemistry, <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>ternal differentiation of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ner planets <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> evolution of <strong>the</strong>ir atmospheres, <strong>and</strong> what roles did<br />

bombardment by large projectiles play?” Mars is central to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Planetary</strong> Habitats <strong>the</strong>me which also<br />

<strong>in</strong>cludes two questions: “what were <strong>the</strong> primordial sources of organic matter, <strong>and</strong> where does organic<br />

syn<strong>the</strong>sis cont<strong>in</strong>ue today?” <strong>and</strong> “beyond Earth, are <strong>the</strong>re modern habitats elsewhere <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> solar system<br />

with necessary conditions, organic matter, water, energy, <strong>and</strong> nutrients to susta<strong>in</strong> life, <strong>and</strong> do organisms<br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

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