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Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...

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with two. Hence, 15 ASRGs <strong>and</strong> five MMRTGs are implied by <strong>the</strong> recommended decadal survey plan<br />

presented above; <strong>the</strong> cost-constra<strong>in</strong>ed plan would require only 15 ASRGs.<br />

The recommended program cannot be carried out without new plutonium-238 production or<br />

completed deliveries from Russia. The cost-constra<strong>in</strong>ed program could be, but only if ASRGs work as<br />

currently envisioned <strong>and</strong> are certified <strong>for</strong> flight <strong>in</strong> a timely fashion. Moreover, unless additional<br />

plutonium-238 is acquired, <strong>the</strong>re will be only three ASRGs available <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> subsequent decade, so <strong>the</strong>re<br />

will not be a Europa mission, a Titan Saturn <strong>System</strong> Mission, a mission to Neptune, or long-lived mission<br />

to <strong>the</strong> surface of Venus <strong>in</strong> future decades. There are no technical alternatives to plutonium-238, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

longer <strong>the</strong> restart of production is delayed, <strong>the</strong> more it will cost.<br />

As noted above, <strong>the</strong> largest projected user of plutonium-238 <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> recommended program is JEO.<br />

Because <strong>the</strong> use of MMRTGs on JEO would consume so much of this valuable resource, <strong>the</strong> committee<br />

recommends that JEO use ASRGs <strong>for</strong> power production. The duration of JEO is compatible with<br />

ASRG use, <strong>and</strong> this change would alleviate (though not solve) <strong>the</strong> immediate plutonium-238 crisis. In<br />

addition, because ASRGs are so broadly important to <strong>the</strong> future of planetary exploration, <strong>the</strong> committee<br />

recommends that <strong>the</strong> rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g ASRG development <strong>and</strong> maturation process receive <strong>the</strong> same priority <strong>and</strong><br />

attention as a flight project.<br />

All f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent NRC report on RPSs rema<strong>in</strong> valid. 16 With <strong>the</strong> one exception of NASA<br />

issu<strong>in</strong>g annual letters to <strong>the</strong> DOE def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> future dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>for</strong> plutonium-238, none of <strong>the</strong><br />

recommendations of that report have been adopted. A decision to wait to a “better time” to fund activities<br />

required to restart domestic plutonium production is just a different way of end<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> program,<br />

elim<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g future science missions dependent on this technology <strong>for</strong> implementation.<br />

The committee is alarmed at <strong>the</strong> status of plutonium-238 availability <strong>for</strong> planetary<br />

exploration. Without a restart of plutonium-238 production, it will be impossible <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> United<br />

States, or any o<strong>the</strong>r country, to conduct certa<strong>in</strong> important types of planetary missions after this<br />

decade.<br />

OPPORTUNITIES FOR INTRA-AGENCY, INTERAGENCY,<br />

AND INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION<br />

There are three ma<strong>in</strong> areas <strong>in</strong> which collaboration with o<strong>the</strong>r parts of NASA could benefit <strong>the</strong><br />

solar system exploration program. First, as noted above, block buys of launch vehicles across NASA<br />

have <strong>the</strong> potential to lower launch costs significantly. Second, astronomical telescopes, both groundbased<br />

<strong>and</strong> space-based, can be used to observe solar system targets. The Hubble Space Telescope has a<br />

long history of successful planetary observations, <strong>and</strong> this collaboration can be a model <strong>for</strong> future<br />

telescopes such as <strong>the</strong> James Webb Space Telescope.<br />

A third area of possible <strong>in</strong>tra-agency collaboration is with NASA’s Exploration <strong>System</strong>s Mission<br />

Directorate (ESMD). NASA’s plans <strong>for</strong> future human exploration of <strong>the</strong> solar system currently <strong>in</strong>clude<br />

ESMD-funded robotic precursor missions to <strong>the</strong> Moon, Mars, <strong>and</strong> asteroids. Because <strong>the</strong>ir focus is<br />

prepar<strong>in</strong>g <strong>for</strong> human exploration, ra<strong>the</strong>r than science, <strong>the</strong>se are not substitutes <strong>for</strong> any of <strong>the</strong> missions<br />

recommended above, nor <strong>for</strong> Discovery missions. And, while <strong>the</strong>y present opportunities <strong>for</strong><br />

collaboration, NASA’s <strong>Planetary</strong> <strong>Science</strong> Division should be cautious about impos<strong>in</strong>g mission-def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

requirements, as we noted <strong>in</strong> Chapter 2. At <strong>the</strong> start of mission <strong>for</strong>mulation, ESMD should <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>m <strong>the</strong><br />

science division what mission resources, if any, <strong>the</strong>y are will<strong>in</strong>g to allocate. Then, given a negotiated<br />

agreement between ESMD <strong>and</strong> SMD, NASA should offer opportunities <strong>for</strong> scientists to propose<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestigations on such missions by issu<strong>in</strong>g Announcements of Opportunity <strong>in</strong> a manner similar to that <strong>for</strong><br />

participat<strong>in</strong>g on <strong>in</strong>ternational missions or as was done <strong>for</strong> LRO.<br />

Because ESMD robotic precursor missions target planetary bodies, <strong>the</strong>y offer particularly good<br />

opportunities <strong>for</strong> launch cost reduction via co-manifest<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

The greatest potential <strong>for</strong> <strong>in</strong>teragency collaboration is also launch vehicle block buys <strong>and</strong> comanifest<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g costs <strong>for</strong> all partner agencies. It will also be important <strong>for</strong> NASA to <strong>for</strong>m a strong<br />

PREPUBLICATION COPY—SUBJECT TO FURTHER EDITORIAL CORRECTION<br />

9-26

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