Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
Vision and Voyages for Planetary Science in the - Solar System ...
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As discussed <strong>in</strong> more detail below, <strong>the</strong> Discovery program rema<strong>in</strong>s vibrant <strong>and</strong> highly valuable,<br />
allow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> science community to propose a diverse range of low-cost missions with short development<br />
times <strong>and</strong> focused science objectives.<br />
The New Frontiers program fills <strong>the</strong> middle ground between <strong>the</strong> small <strong>and</strong> relatively <strong>in</strong>expensive<br />
Discovery missions <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> much larger <strong>and</strong> more costly Flagship missions. Inspired by <strong>the</strong> success of<br />
<strong>the</strong> Discovery program, New Frontiers missions are also selected via a competitive process <strong>and</strong> led by a<br />
pr<strong>in</strong>cipal <strong>in</strong>vestigator (PI). In contrast to <strong>the</strong> Discovery program, New Frontiers solicitations are more<br />
strategic, restrict<strong>in</strong>g proposals to a small number of specific mission goals. New Frontiers missions<br />
address focused science goals that cannot be implemented with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Discovery cost cap, but do not<br />
require <strong>the</strong> resources of a Flagship mission.<br />
Flagship missions are more expensive than <strong>the</strong> New Frontiers cost cap, <strong>and</strong> can cost up to several<br />
billion dollars. They are strategic <strong>in</strong> nature <strong>and</strong> are designed to address a wide range of important<br />
scientific objectives at high-priority targets. They often <strong>in</strong>volve multi-agency <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational<br />
cooperation. Because of <strong>the</strong>ir scientific breadth <strong>and</strong> high cost <strong>the</strong>y are not PI-led, but typically carry a<br />
large <strong>and</strong> sophisticated payload of <strong>in</strong>struments, most of which are led by <strong>in</strong>dividual PIs. Some also carry<br />
“facility” <strong>in</strong>struments that typically are provided by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>stitution that builds <strong>the</strong> spacecraft. Despite <strong>the</strong>ir<br />
high costs, flagship missions are consistently characterized by high science return per dollar.<br />
BALANCE AMONG MISSION COST CLASSES<br />
The issue of f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> optimum balance among small, medium <strong>and</strong> large missions has been<br />
addressed <strong>in</strong> a recent NRC/SSB study. 4 The report of a subsequent NRC workshop touched on balance <strong>in</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> context of <strong>the</strong> decadal survey process: “[The discussion] re<strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>ced <strong>the</strong> concept of <strong>the</strong> decadal survey<br />
as a strategic package. Decadal studies need to provide <strong>the</strong> best balance of scientific priorities <strong>and</strong><br />
prioritized missions.” 5<br />
The challenge is to assemble a portfolio of missions that achieves a regular tempo of solar system<br />
exploration <strong>and</strong> a level of <strong>in</strong>vestigation appropriate <strong>for</strong> each target object. For example, a program<br />
consist<strong>in</strong>g of only Flagship missions once per decade may result <strong>in</strong> long stretches of relatively little new<br />
data be<strong>in</strong>g generated, lead<strong>in</strong>g to a stagnant community. Conversely, a portfolio of only Discovery-class<br />
missions would be <strong>in</strong>capable of address<strong>in</strong>g important scientific challenges like <strong>in</strong>-depth exploration of <strong>the</strong><br />
outer planets.<br />
Mission classes are differentiated not only by <strong>the</strong>ir costs but also by <strong>the</strong> time scale of execution,<br />
span of technology, <strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>volvement of <strong>the</strong> scientific community. Flagship missions like Vik<strong>in</strong>g, Galileo,<br />
<strong>and</strong> Cass<strong>in</strong>i ord<strong>in</strong>arily have a ~10-year development cycle. They require very capable launch vehicles.<br />
They <strong>in</strong>volve large teams of <strong>in</strong>vestigators <strong>and</strong> a complex of support<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>stitutions. Each Flagship<br />
mission is unique <strong>in</strong> terms of its scientific objectives <strong>and</strong> frequently also <strong>in</strong> terms of <strong>the</strong> spacecraft used,<br />
so each is often a new development with little use of heritage hardware.<br />
New Frontiers missions, while still complex <strong>and</strong> challeng<strong>in</strong>g, can be executed on timescales<br />
significantly less than a decade. These missions have less extensive, more focused scientific objectives<br />
than Flagship missions <strong>and</strong> typically take advantage of technological developments from recent prior<br />
missions. The <strong>in</strong>stitutional arrangements are less complex <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> launch vehicle requirements less<br />
dem<strong>and</strong><strong>in</strong>g.<br />
Discovery missions can respond rapidly to new discoveries <strong>and</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> scientific priorities.<br />
Rapid mission development (~3 years) is feasible, provid<strong>in</strong>g opportunities <strong>for</strong> student participation, rapid<br />
<strong>in</strong>fusion <strong>and</strong> demonstration of technology <strong>and</strong> a rapid cadence of missions pursu<strong>in</strong>g scientific goals.<br />
These missions are executable us<strong>in</strong>g relatively small launch vehicles.<br />
In study<strong>in</strong>g any given object, <strong>the</strong>re is a natural progression of mission types, from flyby to orbital<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestigation to <strong>in</strong> situ exploration to sample return. The missions early <strong>in</strong> this progression are generally<br />
simpler <strong>and</strong> less costly than <strong>the</strong> later ones. So, because <strong>the</strong> long-term goals of planetary science <strong>in</strong>volve<br />
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