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1. <strong>STOCHASTIC</strong> DOMINANCE<br />

G. Hanoch and H. Levy<br />

Reprinted from The Review of Economic Studies 36, 335-346 (1969).<br />

The Efficiency Analysis of Choices<br />

Involving Risk'<br />

I. INTRODUCTION<br />

The choice of an individual decision-maker among alternative risky ventures, may be<br />

regarded as a two-step procedure. Firstly, he chooses an efficient set among all available<br />

portfolios, independently of his tastes or preferences. Secondly, he applies his individual<br />

preferences to this set, in order to choose the desired portfolio. The subject of this paper<br />

is the analysis of the first step. That is, it deals with optimal selection rules, which minimise<br />

the efficient set, by discarding any portfolio that is inefficient, in the sense that it is inferior<br />

to a member of the efficient set, from point of view of each and every individual, when all<br />

individuals' utility-functions are assumed to be of a given general class of admissible<br />

functions.<br />

It is assumed throughout that any utility function is of the Von-Neumann-Morgenstern<br />

[21] type, i.e., it is determined up to a linear transformation, and is non-decreasing, and<br />

that individuals maximize expected utility. 2 The risks considered are random variables X<br />

with given (cumulative) probability distributions F(x) = Pr {X g x}. F(x) is thus a nondecreasing<br />

function, continuous on the right, with F(— oo) = 0, F(oa) =1. It may be<br />

discrete, continuous or mixed, with finite or infinite range. The analysis is not influenced<br />

by whether these probabilities are " objective " or " subjective ". However, the distributions<br />

are assumed to be fully specified, with no vagueness or uncertainty attached to their<br />

specification.<br />

The present analysis is carried out in terms of a single dimension (e.g., money), both<br />

for the utility functions and for the probability distributions. However, the results may<br />

easily be extended, with minor changes in the theorems and the proofs, to the multivariate<br />

case. 3<br />

Section II gives a necessary and sufficient condition for efficiency, when no further<br />

restrictions are imposed on the utility functions.<br />

Section III states and proves the optimal efficiency criterion in the presence of general<br />

risk aversion, i.e., for concave utility functions.<br />

Section IV analyzes the conditions, under which the well-known and widely used<br />

mean-variance criterion (n, a) is a valid efficiency criterion.<br />

Finally, Section V gives some conclusions, remarks, and suggestions for further<br />

theoretical and empirical analysis related to the present results.<br />

II. UNRESTRICTED UTILITY—THE GENERAL<br />

EFFICIENCY CRITERION<br />

Given two risks (random variables), X and Y, with the respective (known, cumulative)<br />

probability distribution functions F(x), G(y), we say that XD Y, or FDG—X dominates Y,<br />

1 The authors are grateful to A. Beja and S. Kaniel for valuable comments. The referees commented<br />

on an early draft, that similar results appeared in other works, unpublished and unknown to us at that<br />

time: a paper by Hadar and Russel [7), a Thesis by J. Hammond [8], and a book by Pratt, Raiffa and<br />

Schlaifer [17]. There is also some overlap with Quirk and Saposnik [18], and Feldstein [5]. However, the<br />

present paper gives a more general treatment and some significant modifications to most of these results.<br />

2 The axiomatic basis for this assumption is given in: Herstein and Milnor [10], Marschak [15],<br />

Von-Neumann and Morgenstern [21].<br />

3 This, however, raises many special and interesting problems, and will be dealt with more extensively<br />

in a forthcoming paper by the first author.<br />

<strong>STOCHASTIC</strong> DOMINANCE

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