06.06.2013 Views

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

JAMES A. OHLSON<br />

that quadratic utility is in general valid asymptotically whenever utility is<br />

negative exponential, power, logarithmic, and some obvious extensions of<br />

such functions.<br />

In the second part of the paper exact compactness properties of the lognormal<br />

distribution are derived, assuming that expected growth rates and<br />

variance of growth rates of the individual assets are linear in time. This model<br />

will not imply a distribution which is compact in the strong Samuelson sense;<br />

however, it is sufficiently well behaved to satisfy the sufficient conditions<br />

evolved in this article.<br />

II. The General Problem<br />

Let X = (Xl,X2,...,Xm)' denote the vector of random asset returns with a<br />

distribution function G(x1,...,xm; 0(t)) = Pr{Xt^xu ...,Xm%xm\ 9(t)}.<br />

6(t) expresses the parameters of the distribution G as a function of t, where t<br />

denotes the time span of the decision horizon. G, therefore, is determined by<br />

the value of t, and t > 0. Let A = (A1;..., Am)' denote the vector of fractions<br />

of initial wealth invested in each asset, where £jA; = 1 by convention. Further,<br />

let U(W) = UCEXiXj) denote the investor's utility of wealth function, wealth<br />

being denoted by W, and suppose the investor wishes to maximize his expected<br />

utility. The optimal portfolio for any t, A*( 0. For notational simplicity,<br />

expected utility can be expressed as<br />

/*00<br />

EU(W) = U(W) dF{W), (2)<br />

keeping firmly in mind that the distribution of wealth, F(W), and expected<br />

utility depend on both A and t. Without loss of generality, suppose<br />

Pr{|W— 11 < e} -* 1 as t -> 0, i.e., the portfolio return is approximately equal<br />

to unity for the short-period investment horizon.<br />

The concern is to obtain a set of weak assumptions on lim,^0 F an d U, so<br />

that the general problem (2) is equivalent to the quadratic utility problem<br />

and where<br />

EU(W) = C/(l) + f/ (1) (l) E{W-1) + iC/ (2) (l) E{W-1) 2 + EQ3, (3)<br />

lim EQ3IE(W- \) n = 0 for n = 1,2, and all A e D.<br />

r-»o<br />

222 PART III STATIC PORTFOLIO SELECTION MODELS

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!