06.06.2013 Views

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

166 THE AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW<br />

The function c7t(Ct_i, rot|W provides the<br />

maximum expected utility of lifetime consumption<br />

if the consumer is in state /3t at<br />

period t, his wealth is wt, his past consumption<br />

was Ct_i, and optimal consumption-investment<br />

decisions are made at the<br />

beginning of period t and all future periods.<br />

Expression (4) exemplifies a common<br />

feature of dynamic programming models.<br />

In general it is possible to represent the<br />

decision problem of any period t in terms<br />

of a derived objective function (in this<br />

case U,+i) which is explicitly a function<br />

only of variables for t+1 and earlier<br />

periods, but which in fact summarizes the<br />

results of optimal decisions at t+1 and<br />

subsequent periods for all possible future<br />

events. Thus the recursive relation (4)<br />

represents the multiperiod problem as a<br />

sequence of "one-period" problems, though<br />

at any stage in the process the objective<br />

function used to solve the one-period<br />

problem summarizes optimal decisions for<br />

all future periods.<br />

Representing the multiperiod consumption-investment<br />

problem as a sequence of<br />

one-period problems in itself says nothing<br />

about the characteristics of an optimal<br />

decision for any period. The main result of<br />

this paper is, however, the following.<br />

Proposition 1. If the utility function<br />

for lifetime consumption {7,+i(Cr+i |/3,+i)<br />

has properties characteristic of risk aversion<br />

(specifically, if for all 0r+i, U,+i(C,+\ [<br />

3r+i) is monotone increasing and strictly<br />

concave in Cr+i), then for all t the derived<br />

functions l7t(Ct_i, wt |/3t) will also have<br />

these properties."<br />

• The monotonlcity of t/,+i says that the marginal<br />

utility of consumption in any period is positive, while<br />

strict concavity implies that for 0

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!