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ON THE EXISTENCE OF OPTIMAL POLICIES UNDER UNCERTAINTY 39<br />

Substituting for xx from (2) gives an unconstrained maximization problem<br />

max E{U[{\ +r)BB + (e2 - r) xj}. (3)<br />

jr2<br />

Differentiating w.r.t. x2 and writing out the expected value gives<br />

dElUffll/dxt = (1X« - r) UW) + (JXA - r) WW), (4)<br />

where Bf = 31 when e2 = a, 2^* = Bt when e2 = A.<br />

Suppose now U(B^j satisfies (7.1 and U.2, and, furthermore,<br />

lim £/'CBi) = *!; lirn^ U'(B,) = fc2,<br />

where Ar2 > A:, > 0. Note that the first R.H.S. term of (4) is positive for<br />

all x2, while the second term is negative for all x2 • It follows from U.2<br />

that<br />

But if<br />

dElWBjydxi > (J)[(o - r) h + (b - r) *J for all x2. (5)<br />

*i/*s > t-(* - '•)]/(« - O. implying [(a - r) fc, + (6 - r) Ar2] > 0,<br />

it follows from (5) that dE[U(B^i\ldx2 > 0 for any x2. Therefore, X in<br />

this case does not possess a maximal element, for larger positions in x%<br />

are always preferred. As none of the assumptions on G, X, and U are<br />

violated in this example, we conclude that these assumptions are not<br />

sufficient for X to possess a maximal element.<br />

In the Introduction, it is suggested that the approach of bounding<br />

the feasible set X has certain intuitive and operational drawbacks. A<br />

second approach, which we shall develop in subsequent sections, is to<br />

introduce further assumptions on the nature of the preference ranking<br />

over X. These assumptions, which seem to have considerable attraction<br />

in other areas of economic theory, will be shown to guarantee the existence<br />

of optimal policies.<br />

IV. SUFFICIENT CONDITIONS FOR THE EXISTENCE OF OPTIMAL POLICIES<br />

We shall now show that, if the expected returns of all gambles are<br />

finite, the further condition<br />

(7.3a lim U'(c) = 0<br />

EXISTENCE AND DIVERSIFICATION OF OPTIMAL PORTFOLIO POLICIES

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