06.06.2013 Views

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

ON OPTIMAL MYOPIC PORTFOLIO POLICIES 331<br />

Clearly, viim represents the proportion of capital Xj invested in opportunity i at<br />

decision pointy, given that the economy is in state m at that point; thus<br />

M.<br />

wiym = 1 — £ » 0 (29)<br />

for all j, all m, some n for which pjmn > 0, and all finite dt such that 6t > 0 for all<br />

i € 5,„ and 0,- ^ 0 for at least one i. (29) is a modification of the "no-easy-moneycondition"<br />

for the case when the lending rate equals the interest rate. 10 This condition<br />

states that no combination of risky investment opportunities exists in any<br />

period which provides, with probability 1, a return at least as high as the (borrowing)<br />

rate of interest; no combination of short sales is available for which the probability<br />

is zero that a loss will exceed the (lending) rate of interest; and no combination of<br />

risky investments made from the proceeds of any combination of short sales can<br />

guarantee against loss. (29) may be viewed as a condition which the prices of all<br />

assets must satisfy in equilibrium.<br />

(3) is now replaced by the conditional difference equations<br />

Mjm<br />

xi+i\ mn = J2 (/3,-y„„ — rim)zijm + rjmXj j = 1, . . . , / — 1, all m, n , (30)<br />

i=2<br />

and (4) becomes, for j = 1, . . . , J — 1 and all m,<br />

Jimix,) = max Y, pim„E{ fj+1,n(xj+1\mn)} , (31)<br />

z im n=l<br />

where fjm(xj) is given for all m, subject to<br />

ZiM > 0 *€5y„, (32)<br />

and<br />

Pr {xj+l\mn > 0} = 1<br />

VII. OPTIMAL MYOPIC POLICIES<br />

n = 1, . . . , Ni+i. (33)<br />

On the basis of the finite yield assumption (28) and the "no-easy-money-condition"<br />

(29), we obtain the following:<br />

Theorem.—Let rym, Fim, and pimn be defined as in Section VI and let u(x) be a<br />

monotone increasing and strictly concave function for all x > 0. Then the functions<br />

N .., M.<br />

t r lm ~\ i<br />

hjn(Vjm) = 22 /"ymnfilwL J2 (flijm, — fy->iy«. + >>J | , (34)<br />

10 Hakansson, "Optimal Investment . . ." (see n. 4 above).<br />

408 PART IV. DYNAMIC MODELS REDUCIBLE TO STATIC MODELS

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!