06.06.2013 Views

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

MINIMAX POLICIES FOR SELLING AN ASSET AND DOLLAR AVERAGING 387<br />

achieved by selling all of the asset which remains (i.e., x = 0). It is also shown that<br />

an upper bound on £i(n, z) is a(T — t) — n for « £ (T — t)a. In particular it is<br />

shown that L,(n, 0) = a{T — t) — n. That this is an upper bound follows from the<br />

fact that L% is shown also to be a decreasing function of z.<br />

THEOREM 2. (a) Li(n, z) is positive forn 0. Using these facts, 0 < X < 1, and<br />

the just stated convexity inequality gives:<br />

i,(n', z) £ X _1 £((n", z) > L,(n", z).<br />

Since £«(n', z) > L,(n", z) for any n and n" such that 0 £ n < n" < a(T — t)<br />

and for n < 0 from (12) it follows that L, is a strictly decreasing function of n for all<br />

n < a {T — /) as was to be proved.<br />

(c) It follows immediately from (14) that Lt is a decreasing function of z, given n,<br />

because increasing the value of z enlarges the set of values on which the minimum with<br />

respect to x can occur. L, need not be strictly decreasing in z. To see that<br />

L,(n, 0) = (T — t)a - n for n < (T - t)a,<br />

first note from part (b) above and (14) that:<br />

i,(n, 0) = Max [L,+1(n - a, 0), £,+i(n + 6, 0)] = Lt+1(n - a, 0).<br />

Using this recursion relation and (13) gives:<br />

L,(n, 0) = LT(n - {T - t)a, 0) = (T - t)a - n.<br />

This completes the proof of the theorem.<br />

It remains to characterize the minimax variable regret with respect to time. In the<br />

next theorem it is shown that Lt{n, z) is a decreasing function of time, given n and z.<br />

It is a strictly decreasing function of time as long as the value of n is not so large as<br />

to preclude the previous maximum value of the price being exceeded before time is up.<br />

The proof requires the following trivial lemma.<br />

LEMMA 1. Letf(x) = Max„SiSI\fi(x)]andg(x) = MaxoSiii\gi(x)].Iffi{x) > gt(x)<br />

foroUi and x, fhenf(x) > g(x) for all x.<br />

3. MODELS OF OPTION STRATEGY 585

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!