06.06.2013 Views

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

and<br />

CONSUMPTION AND PORTFOLIO RULES 387<br />

Proof. By the assumption of log-normal prices, (27) reduces to<br />

m<br />

wt* = m(W, t) £ M«, -r), k = 1,..., m, (38)<br />

i<br />

"„* = 1 - I w** = 1 - rn(W, 0 £ X »„(*,• - r). (39)<br />

I 11<br />

By the same argument used in the proof of Theorem II, (38) and (39)<br />

define a line in the hyperplane defined by £i wt* = 1 and by the same<br />

technique used in Theorem II, we derive the fund proportions stated in<br />

the corollary with a(W, t\ u) = vm(W, t) -\- ij, where v, r) are arbitrary<br />

constants (v ^ 0). Q.E.D.<br />

Thus, if we have an economy where all asset prices are log-normally<br />

distributed, the investment decision can be divided into two parts by the<br />

establishment of two financial intermediaries (mutual funds) to hold all<br />

individual securities and to issue shares of their own for purchase by<br />

individual investors. The separation is complete because the "instructions"<br />

given the fund managers, namely, to hold proportions St and \ of the<br />

fc-th security, k — 1,..., n, depend only on the price distribution parameters<br />

and are independent of individual preferences, wealth distribution, or<br />

age distribution.<br />

The similarity of this result to that of the classical Tobin-Markowitz<br />

analysis is clearest when we choose one of the funds to be the risk-free<br />

asset (i.e., set r/ = 1), and the other fund to hold only risky assets (which<br />

is possible by setting v = £ £ %(•** — r), provided that the double<br />

sum is not zero). Consider the investment rule given to the "risky" fund's<br />

manager when there exists a "risk-free" asset (money) with zero return<br />

(r = 0). It is easy to show that the St proportions prescribed in the<br />

corollary are derived by finding the locus of points in the (instantaneous)<br />

mean-standard deviation space of composite returns which minimize<br />

variance for a given mean (i.e., the efficient risky-asset frontier), and then<br />

by finding the point where a line drawn from the origin is tangent to<br />

the locus. This point determines the 8k as illustrated in Fig. 1.<br />

Given the a*, the 8k are determined. So the log-normal assumption in<br />

the continuous-time model is sufficient to allow the same analysis as in<br />

the static mean-variance model but without the objectionable assumptions<br />

of quadratic utility or normality of the distribution of absolute price<br />

changes. (Log-normality of price changes is much less objectionable,<br />

since this does invoke "limited liability" and, by the central limit theorem<br />

4. THE CAPITAL GROWTH CRITERION AND CONTINUOUS-TIME MODELS 635

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!