06.06.2013 Views

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

STOCHASTIC

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

314 DRfezE AND MODIGLIANI<br />

(— U^U^ii is a local measure of risk aversion at all levels of c2 in the<br />

same sense as —Vyv /K„ provides such a measure at all levels of yt for<br />

timeless uncertain prospects. One must, however, be careful to realize<br />

that the value of (—t/22/l/2)c- is in general not independent of l: It<br />

measures risk aversion along a particular cut of the utility function<br />

orthogonal to the ct axis, but the measure may not be the same, at a given<br />

level of c2, for different choices of Cj (different cuts of the utility function<br />

by parallel planes).<br />

2.3. It follows from Appendix formula (A.15) that, at any point in<br />

(A , c2) space,<br />

where VVVIVV and dcjdy2 are computed along the Engel curve going<br />

through that point, and where the inequality follows from assumptions III<br />

and IV.<br />

The risk premium for a delayed risk must be equal to the sum of (i)<br />

the expected value of perfect information, and (ii) the risk premium for the<br />

same risk when timeless. 11 Thus the second term on the right hand side<br />

of (2.9) measures "twice the expected value of perfect information per<br />

unit of variance yt for infinitesimal risks." That second term is invariant<br />

under monotonic transformations of the utility function; 12 it is the product<br />

of two factors, of which the second one is most easily interpreted.<br />

d*cjdci 2 \v is a (local) measure of curvature of the indifference loci. As<br />

shown in the appendix formulas (A.5, A.6), it also measures the reciprocal<br />

of the substitution effect on ct, of a rise in r. 13 That curvature of the<br />

indifference loci should be relevant to assess the superiority of timeless<br />

10 A necessary and sufficient condition for — C/2a/t/2 to be everywhere independent of<br />

c, is that V = /(

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!