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STOCHASTIC

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MEAN-STANDARD PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS 19<br />

The "maximum /x" formulation requires the<br />

investor to select two parameters and as a result<br />

the correspondence to utility maximization<br />

is in general not unique. Referring to figure<br />

3, we can imagine an expected utility maximizer<br />

selecting the portfolio T. There is an infinity<br />

of straight lines passing through T and each<br />

one of these is consistent with the behavior of<br />

a safety-first investor who selects T on the<br />

"maximum /i" principle. If, however, we specify<br />

either one of the two parameters, for example,<br />

by requiring the investor to choose a<br />

specific disaster level, then the correspondence<br />

is indeed unique. The reverse correspondence<br />

is as for the other two cases and need not be<br />

repeated.<br />

In summary then, as long as there is no riskless<br />

asset, for any portfolio chosen by an expected<br />

utility maximizing investor with concave<br />

(/x, cr) indifference curves, we can always find<br />

a safety-first investor who will choose the same<br />

portfolio. For any portfolio chosen by any<br />

variant of the safety-first principle, there is in<br />

general an infinity of expected utility functions<br />

that will cause an investor who maximizes expected<br />

utility to behave in the same way.<br />

IV Relationship Between Approaches —<br />

Riskless Asset<br />

As we shall now demonstrate, the corre :<br />

spondence between the expected utility and the<br />

safety-first approaches to mean-standard deviation<br />

analysis breaks down seriously when the<br />

investor has the opportunity of holding a riskless<br />

asset. We shall assume that the riskless<br />

asset has a rate of return r and that the investor<br />

can either lend or borrow at this rate. Then,<br />

following Sharpe, the investor's efficiency locus<br />

is as drawn in figure 4.<br />

The curved line AB is obtained as in section<br />

III, while REF is the tangent from the point<br />

(R,0) to AB where R = rW and W is the investor's<br />

initial wealth. This line represents the<br />

opportunity locus for lending (segment RE)<br />

or borrowing (segment EF) at the riskless rate<br />

and holding the remainder of the investment<br />

balance (wealth less lending or plus borrowing)<br />

in portfolio E. Since the straight line<br />

REF dominates all parts of the curved line AB<br />

it now becomes the efficiency locus and the<br />

equilibrium portfolio is found where an indifference<br />

curve is tangent to REF. 9<br />

Assuming concave (/i, -—I,<br />

On the other hand, a "minimum a" or a<br />

"maximum 2" safety-first investor with straight<br />

line indifference curves can never achieve a<br />

tangency with REF except in the special case<br />

that one of his indifference curves coincides<br />

with REF, in which case an indeterminate<br />

solution results. If the slope of his indifference<br />

curves exceed that of REF, he will borrow an<br />

infinite amount (assuming that there is no<br />

limit) and move out in the direction of F. l °<br />

Notice that although such an indifference curve<br />

implies unlimited borrowing, the investor is<br />

still holding a diversified portfolio of risky<br />

assets, namely that specified by E. If the slope<br />

is less than that of REF, the investor will move<br />

" If we do not allow borrowing at the riskless rate, the<br />

efficiency locus becomes REB. When the tangency of an<br />

investor's expected utility indifference curve occurs along<br />

the segment EB of the efficiency locus, the results are the<br />

same as in the no riskless asset case. When the tangency<br />

occurs along the segment RE, the results are the same as for<br />

the case we are about to discuss in which the investor can<br />

obtain a riskless asset.<br />

10 This can be readily seen by superimposing the straight<br />

line indifference curves of figure 2 on figure 4 and bearing<br />

in mind that south easterly movements imply increasing<br />

expected utility.<br />

1. MEAN-VARIANCE AND SAFETY-FIRST APPROACHES 239

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