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STOCHASTIC

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310 DRfeZE AND MODIGLIANI<br />

second order. The distribution function corresponding to (y2, r) will<br />

be denoted by dc^jdyi > 0.<br />

In the second place, we assume that the consumer's preferences among<br />

consumption vectors are convex, and that his choices among uncertain<br />

prospects reflect risk aversion, or possibly risk neutrality; that is, 5<br />

ASSUMPTION IV. U is concave.<br />

Various properties of V, derived from assumptions II, III and quasiconcavity<br />

of U, are collected in Appendix A.<br />

1.3. The (cardinal) indirect utility function corresponding to U(C\ , c2)<br />

may be written V(y, r), where<br />

V{y, r) =aet max Ufa , (y - Cl)(l + r)).<br />

Let r = r° be the sure and only rate of interest at which a consumer may<br />

lend and borrow; then V(y, r°), a function of y alone, is the cardinal<br />

utility function for wealth relevant to the analysis of choices among timeless<br />

uncertain prospects. In other words, if a cardinal utility function for wealth<br />

were derived from observations about choices between timeless uncertain<br />

3 For notational convenience, we use the integral symbol without introducing parallel<br />

statements in the notation of discrete random variables; the standard symbol E is used<br />

for the expectation operator when there is no ambiguity about the underlying mass or<br />

density function.<br />

* Thus, V is defined up to a linear increasing transformation; if the consumer were<br />

to choose between the certainty of consuming 0^ , ca) and the prospect of consuming<br />

either (c/, c2') or (cj, c'j) with respective probabilities -n and 1 — 17, he would never<br />

prefer the former alternative if U(ct, fj) < ir£/(ci', c„') + (1 — ir)t/(cj, cj).<br />

6 As argued elsewhere by one of us [4], risk preference may be excluded without loss<br />

of generality, if one assumes the availability on the market of fair gambling opportunities.<br />

TWO-PERIOD CONSUMPTION MODELS AND PORTFOLIO REVISION

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