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3.4.2 Demography<br />

Another important variable <strong>of</strong> development is demography. Demography has to do with<br />

births, deaths and migration. It reflects the population size, population growth and the age<br />

structure <strong>of</strong>a population as well as changes in these as a result <strong>of</strong>population movement. A<br />

fast population growth rate can be the result <strong>of</strong> a too high total fertility rate - that is, the<br />

average number <strong>of</strong>children per woman. It has been proven time and again that women with a<br />

better economic outlook have fewer children than those with many children. One is therefore<br />

tempted to suggest that development will improve the economic outlook and will therefore<br />

lead to a lower fertility rate and a subsequent slower population growth rate. Yet the truth <strong>of</strong><br />

the matter is that a fast population growth rate nullifies the results <strong>of</strong> development. This<br />

assertion is not true <strong>of</strong> fast growing countries like India and China which experience high<br />

population growth rate and high economic growth. The question therefore arises as to what<br />

should come first, a drop in the fertility rate or development? The answer is simply that it is<br />

not a matter <strong>of</strong> what should come first. They should be simultaneous because a holistic<br />

approach demands that all sectors be addressed at the same time (Oyowe. 1994).<br />

Our Newtonian sense <strong>of</strong>cause-effect contributes nothing to the solution <strong>of</strong> the problem. It is<br />

not a matter <strong>of</strong> what causes what or is caused by what. It is a matter <strong>of</strong> addressing in a<br />

holistic way the one single all encompassing problem <strong>of</strong> poverty. because poverty and<br />

population growth feed on each other and development and demography are in a continuous<br />

process <strong>of</strong>mutual influence.<br />

An understanding <strong>of</strong> the demographic patterns is significant in the development <strong>of</strong> Ulundi.<br />

Hence this study understands that a predominantly young age-structure and rural-urban<br />

migration affect the poverty situation in the study area.<br />

3.4.3 Other influencing nriables<br />

There are many other factors influencing the development <strong>of</strong> places. One can see local<br />

development as a conglomerate <strong>of</strong>different C:.'., Co, with various primary and secondary<br />

institutions and an ever-changing pattern <strong>of</strong> linkages; the cultural environment with strands <strong>of</strong><br />

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