Tackling the future challenges of Organic Animal Husbandry - vTI

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! Agriculture and Forestry Research, Special Issue No 362 (Braunschweig, 2012) ISSN 0376-0723 Download: www.vti.bund.de/en/startseite/vti-publications/landbauforschung-special-issues.html 42 Future markets for organic livestock products (Foto BLE 2004)
Abstract RAHMANN G & GODINHO D (Ed.) (2012): Tackling the Future Challenges of Organic Animal Husbandry. Proceedings of the 2 nd OAHC, Hamburg/Trenthorst, Germany, Sep 12-14, 2012 Food (meat) consumption and socio-econoic context of EU on PC versus alternative approach – PAHU SÜMER HASIMOGLU Eastern Anatolian Agricultural and Livestock Production Association, Erzurum, Turkey; eshasimoglu@yahoo.com www.dogtarbesbir.org While the world population has doubled in the past century, its appetite for meat quadrupled reaching more than 225 million t. The presentation aims implementing developed PAHU method (Copyright©1989) to revaluating demographic structure, consumer and organic meat consumption projections of EU27, candidate states, its safety-efficacy as needed for the period of 1999/2010/2020. Also, the aim involves systematic attempts to create awareness of error inherent to PC (19.4 percentage unit). This includes food, other goods consumption, consumer evaluations and their impacts on society. The view is set on identifying the areas of scientific harmonization, qualitative and quantitative development including family-household evaluations of EU. Even if the focus is on projects, programs, food policies, organic meat consumption and production, it is important to understand their nutritional impact and their socio-economic relations. Factors affecting organic meat consumption are also discussed. Key words: Per Capita (PC), Per Adult Human Unit (PAHU), Consumer, Demographic structure, Anthropometry Introduction Worldwide, PC meat consumption in 2010 was 41.9 kg; in developing world 32 kg and developed 80 kg respectively. Natural and organic meat production was only 1.1% of total meat production (Gossard 2003; EUROSTAT 2008). Past and future meat consumption cannot be accurately evaluated by using PC projections because it doesn’t address detailed anthropometric criteria (Young/old and gender) differences. Last fifty years EU population has been in a demographic transition. These changes have implications for many facets of EU’s economic life: food (meat), other goods consumption and services, workforce structure, retirement etc. Findings indicate that the consistency problems exist among EU states and its institutions due to different definitions and method assessments. Aiming to reduce the magnitude of errors inherent in PC meat consumption projections, developed PAHU method was used to eliminate the error bound “one-size-fits-all-accept or reject” approach of PC consumption evaluations. Material and methodology The demographic change is a future challenge to which the European economy does not appear to be adequately prepared and where significantly increased research and transfer of knowledge is required. EC (2008) reported that EU beef production for 2008 was 7.4 million tons and 619,000 tons was imported. One of the world’s largest internal retail meat markets require EU action because it remains fragmented along national lines, forming 27 different minimarkets instead. EU’s real consumer potentials have not been accurately determined. Thus, it is time to develop a new society-wide single composite indicator that describes welfare in more sophisticated way than old primitive economic measures in evaluating the meat consumption. Concept and key innovations and method development criteria: When data are presented on the basis of PC-Defined - (Equal to each individual, per unit of population and/or for each person) for production and consumption of commodities (Including foodstuffs/meat). 43
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