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Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...

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102 CHAPTER 3. NUMERICAL IMPLEMENTATION<br />

in the middle, but also the behavior of tails of the calibrated Lévy measure with uniform prior<br />

is more erratic than in the case where Merton mo<strong>de</strong>l was used as prior (see Figure 3.2, right<br />

graph).<br />

Comparison of Figures 3.1 and 3.2 shows that the exact values of param<strong>et</strong>ers of the prior<br />

mo<strong>de</strong>l are not very important, but it is crucial to find the right shape of the prior.<br />

8<br />

10 2 Test A<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

Test A<br />

10 1<br />

10 0<br />

4<br />

10 −1<br />

Test B<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Test B<br />

10 −2<br />

10 −3<br />

0<br />

−1.2 −1 −0.8 −0.6 −0.4 −0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6<br />

10 −4<br />

−0.5 −0.4 −0.3 −0.2 −0.1 0<br />

Figure 3.2: Lévy measures calibrated to the same data s<strong>et</strong> using two qualitatively differ<strong>en</strong>t<br />

priors. Solid curves correspond to calibrated measures and dotted ones <strong>de</strong>pict the priors. Right<br />

graph: zoom of the left tail of Lévy <strong>de</strong>nsities on log scale.<br />

3.3 Choice of the regularization param<strong>et</strong>er<br />

Theorem 2.17 of the preceding chapter suggests that for the regularization m<strong>et</strong>hod to converge,<br />

the param<strong>et</strong>er choice strategy α(δ) must satisfy the following limiting relations, wh<strong>en</strong> the data<br />

error δ goes to zero:<br />

• α(δ) → 0,<br />

• If the exact data C M is attainable by the mo<strong>de</strong>l, one must have<br />

δ 2<br />

α(δ)<br />

δ<br />

α(δ) → 0.<br />

→ 0 and if not,

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