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Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...

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Chapter 2<br />

The calibration problem and its<br />

regularization<br />

This chapter lays the theor<strong>et</strong>ical foundations of our calibration m<strong>et</strong>hod. Discr<strong>et</strong>ization of the<br />

regularized calibration problem and numerical implem<strong>en</strong>tation of the calibration algorithm are<br />

addressed in the next chapter.<br />

The calibration problem consists, roughly speaking, of finding a risk-neutral expon<strong>en</strong>tial<br />

Lévy mo<strong>de</strong>l consist<strong>en</strong>t with mark<strong>et</strong> prices of tra<strong>de</strong>d options {C M (T i , K i )} i∈I for some in<strong>de</strong>x s<strong>et</strong><br />

I. In other words, the solution of the calibration problem is a probability Q on the path space<br />

(Ω, F), such that (X, Q) is a Lévy process, satisfying the martingale condition (1.2) and such<br />

that the option prices, computed using (1.14) are in some s<strong>en</strong>se close to mark<strong>et</strong> prices C M .<br />

Suppose first that the mark<strong>et</strong> data C M are consist<strong>en</strong>t with the class of expon<strong>en</strong>tial Lévy<br />

mo<strong>de</strong>ls. This is for example the case wh<strong>en</strong> the true mo<strong>de</strong>l un<strong>de</strong>rlying mark<strong>et</strong> data is an expon<strong>en</strong>tial<br />

Lévy mo<strong>de</strong>l, but this is not the only situation where the above is true: many mo<strong>de</strong>ls<br />

may give the same prices for a giv<strong>en</strong> s<strong>et</strong> of European options. For instance, it is easy to construct,<br />

using Dupire’s formula, a local volatility mo<strong>de</strong>l that gives the same prices, for a s<strong>et</strong> of<br />

European options, as a giv<strong>en</strong> exp-Lévy mo<strong>de</strong>l. D<strong>en</strong>oting by L the s<strong>et</strong> of all probabilities Q<br />

such that (X, Q) is a Lévy process and by M the s<strong>et</strong> of probabilities Q such that {e Xt } t≥0 is a<br />

Q-martingale, the calibration problem assumes the following form:<br />

57

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