Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...
Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...
Processus de Lévy en Finance - Laboratoire de Probabilités et ...
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188 CONCLUSIONS AND PERSPECTIVES<br />
g<strong>en</strong>eral framework in which the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce structures of multidim<strong>en</strong>sional Lévy processes can<br />
be <strong>de</strong>scribed. Lévy copulas compl<strong>et</strong>ely characterize the possible <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce patterns of Lévy<br />
processes in the s<strong>en</strong>se that for every Lévy process, there exists a Lévy copula that <strong>de</strong>scribes its<br />
<strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce structure and for every Lévy copula and every n one-dim<strong>en</strong>sional Lévy processes,<br />
there exists an n-dim<strong>en</strong>sional Lévy process with this Lévy copula and with margins giv<strong>en</strong> by<br />
these one-dim<strong>en</strong>sional processes. Multidim<strong>en</strong>sional Lévy process mo<strong>de</strong>ls for applications can<br />
thus be constructed by taking any n one-dim<strong>en</strong>sional processes and a Lévy copula from a<br />
(possibly param<strong>et</strong>ric) family. The simulation m<strong>et</strong>hods, <strong>de</strong>veloped in the last chapter of this<br />
thesis, allow to compute various quantities of interest in a Lévy copula mo<strong>de</strong>l using the Monte<br />
Carlo m<strong>et</strong>hod.<br />
The scope of pot<strong>en</strong>tial applications of Lévy copula mo<strong>de</strong>ls in finance and other domains is<br />
large. Financial applications inclu<strong>de</strong> bask<strong>et</strong> option pricing, and portfolio managem<strong>en</strong>t. Lévy<br />
copula mo<strong>de</strong>ls are also useful in insurance and in risk managem<strong>en</strong>t, to mo<strong>de</strong>l the <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce<br />
b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> loss processes of differ<strong>en</strong>t business lines, and more g<strong>en</strong>erally, in all multivariate problems<br />
where <strong>de</strong>p<strong>en</strong><strong>de</strong>nce b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> jumps needs to be tak<strong>en</strong> into account.<br />
From the point of view of applications, the next step is to <strong>de</strong>velop the m<strong>et</strong>hods of estimating<br />
Lévy copula mo<strong>de</strong>ls from the data, using, for example, simulation-based techniques of statistical<br />
infer<strong>en</strong>ce [51]. A more theor<strong>et</strong>ical research direction that we curr<strong>en</strong>tly pursue in collaboration<br />
with Jan Kalls<strong>en</strong> is to investigate the relation b<strong>et</strong>we<strong>en</strong> the Lévy copula of a Lévy process and<br />
its probabilistic copula at a giv<strong>en</strong> time.