Climate change and aquaculture: potential impacts, adaptations and mitigationSena S De Silva & Doris Soto<strong>Network</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Aquaculture</strong> <strong>Centres</strong> <strong>in</strong> Asia-Pacific, Suraswadi Build<strong>in</strong>g,Department <strong>of</strong> Fisheries, Kasetsart University CampusBangkok 10900, Thailand(Source : FAO Technical Paper 530, pp. 142-216; 2009 )AbstractThis is a summary <strong>of</strong> a synthesis to address issues relat<strong>in</strong>g to impacts <strong>of</strong> climate change on aquaculture, thefarm<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> aquatic species. In order to treat the subject matter comprehensively, the role <strong>of</strong> aquaculture <strong>in</strong> itscontribution to the human food fish basket, <strong>in</strong> relation to that from capture fisheries is discussed. The food fishsupplies is the only animal prote<strong>in</strong> commodity that is still predom<strong>in</strong>ated through hunt<strong>in</strong>g, but its be<strong>in</strong>g graduallyovertaken by farmed products, and currently the proportionate contribution <strong>of</strong> the latter to food fish consumptionapproximates 45 percent. In the above context and that <strong>of</strong> envisaged population growth the food fish supplyrequirements are estimated and the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g contribution from aquaculture assessed. This change is alsoreflected <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g contribution <strong>of</strong> aquaculture to the total fisheries <strong>of</strong> the GDP <strong>in</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the ma<strong>in</strong>produc<strong>in</strong>g countries.<strong>Aquaculture</strong> is not practised evenly across the globe. The current aquaculture practices <strong>in</strong> relation to three climaticregimes, viz. tropical, sub-tropical and temperate regions are assessed, and <strong>in</strong> turn <strong>in</strong> relation to environmentaltypes viz. mar<strong>in</strong>e, fresh- and brackish waters and geographic divisions by cont<strong>in</strong>ents. It is seen that aquaculture ispredom<strong>in</strong>ant <strong>in</strong> tropical and sub-tropical climatic regions, and geographically <strong>in</strong> the Asian region. Furthermore, themost predom<strong>in</strong>ant cultured commodities are f<strong>in</strong>fish, molluscs, crustaceans and sea weeds, and <strong>in</strong> turnpredom<strong>in</strong>ated by species that feed low <strong>in</strong> the food cha<strong>in</strong>. This geographic and climatic concentration <strong>of</strong>aquaculture entails the need to focus the development <strong>of</strong> adaptive changes to combat climatic change impacts tosuch regions, for the time be<strong>in</strong>g and primarily, if the predicted gap <strong>in</strong> supply and demand <strong>in</strong> food fish supplies is tobe realised through aquaculture. However, we cannot disregard the potential for aquaculture growth <strong>in</strong> otherregions.The ma<strong>in</strong> potential elements <strong>of</strong> climate change that could impact on aquaculture production, such as sea level andtemperature rise, change <strong>in</strong> monsoonal ra<strong>in</strong> patterns and extreme climatic events, water stress, are highlighted,and the reasons for such impacts evaluated. All cultured aquatic species for human food purposes arepoikilothermic and consequently temperature <strong>in</strong>creases and or decreases would have a pr<strong>of</strong>ound <strong>in</strong>fluence onproductivity. By virtue <strong>of</strong> the fact the that the different elements <strong>of</strong> climate change are likely to be manifested/experienced <strong>in</strong> different climatic zones, to vary<strong>in</strong>g degrees the direct impacts on aquaculture <strong>in</strong> the differentclimatic zones are considered. For example, it is predicted that global warm<strong>in</strong>g and the consequent <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong>water temperature could impact significantly and negatively on aquaculture <strong>in</strong> temperate climatic zones, becausesuch <strong>in</strong>creases could exceed the optimal temperature range <strong>of</strong> organisms currently cultured, as opposed topossible positive impacts through enhanced growth and production <strong>in</strong> tropical and sub-tropical zones, but notwithout some possible negative impacts aris<strong>in</strong>g from other climatic change elements (e.g. <strong>in</strong>creasedeutrophication <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>land waters). In both <strong>in</strong>stances possible adaptive measures for reduc<strong>in</strong>g/ maximis<strong>in</strong>g theimpacts are considered. An attempt is also made to deal with the climatic change impacts on different culturesystems, such as for example, <strong>in</strong>land and mar<strong>in</strong>e and <strong>in</strong> turn different forms <strong>of</strong> culture practices such as cageculture. Furthermore, on the negative front is the possibility <strong>of</strong> an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the virulence <strong>of</strong> pathogens because71
<strong>of</strong> the temperature rise that were dormant beforehand. Such changes will also mostly impact on temperateaquaculture.Nearly 65 percent <strong>of</strong> aquaculture production is <strong>in</strong>land, and over 80 percent barr<strong>in</strong>g seaweeds, and concentratedmostly <strong>in</strong> the tropical and sub-tropical regions <strong>in</strong> Asia. Climatic change impacts through global warm<strong>in</strong>g onpractices are likely to be small on such systems, and if at all positive brought about by enhanced growth rates <strong>of</strong>cultured stocks. On the other hand, climate change will impact on water availability, changes <strong>in</strong> weather patterns,such as for extreme ra<strong>in</strong> events, and exacerbate eutrophication and stratification <strong>in</strong> static (lentic) waters. The<strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>of</strong> the former on aquaculture is difficult to project. However, based on the current practices, particularlywith regard to <strong>in</strong>land f<strong>in</strong>fish aquaculture that is predom<strong>in</strong>antly based on species feed<strong>in</strong>g low <strong>in</strong> the food cha<strong>in</strong>, thegreater availability <strong>of</strong> phyto- and zooplankton through eutrophication could possibly enhance production. On theother hand, adaptive measures are available for combat<strong>in</strong>g the potential negative impacts <strong>of</strong> the latter that couldarise through result<strong>in</strong>g oxygen depletion <strong>in</strong> the early hours. These <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>land waters would <strong>in</strong>clude <strong>of</strong> sett<strong>in</strong>g up <strong>of</strong>aquaculture practices <strong>in</strong> accordance with the carry<strong>in</strong>g capacities <strong>of</strong> the water bodies, and cont<strong>in</strong>uous and regularmonitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> water quality for nutrients and stratification levels, that would enable the movement <strong>of</strong> the cagefacilities for example to “safer” areas <strong>in</strong> the wake <strong>of</strong> major weather changes e.g. storms and potential upwell<strong>in</strong>g.On the other hand, <strong>in</strong> mar<strong>in</strong>e cage culture the adaptive measures will revolve around <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> bettertechnologies <strong>in</strong> respect <strong>of</strong> cage design that would withstand storms and wave surges.Sea level rise and consequent <strong>in</strong>creased salt water <strong>in</strong>trusion <strong>in</strong> the deltaic areas <strong>of</strong> the tropics where there isconsiderable aquaculture production are likely to be impacted upon. Adaptations to these impacts will <strong>in</strong>volvefurther <strong>in</strong>land movement <strong>of</strong> some <strong>of</strong> the exist<strong>in</strong>g culture practices <strong>of</strong> limited sal<strong>in</strong>e tolerant species (Stenohal<strong>in</strong>especies) e.g. catfish (Pangasianodon hypophthalamus) <strong>in</strong> the Mekong Delta and utilization <strong>of</strong> the facilities already<strong>in</strong> existence to culture more sal<strong>in</strong>e tolerant (euryhal<strong>in</strong>e) species, e.g. Penaeid shrimps. Equally, aquaculture isseen as an adaptive measure to provide alternative livelihood means for terrestrial farm<strong>in</strong>g activities that may bemade no longer possible and or cost effective due to sea water <strong>in</strong>trusion and frequent coastal flood<strong>in</strong>g.One <strong>of</strong> the most important impacts <strong>of</strong> climate change, but <strong>in</strong>direct, on aquaculture is considered to be broughtabout through limitations on fish meal and fish oil availability for feeds through a reduction <strong>in</strong> raw material supplies,for cultured carnivorous species; the negative impacts likely to be felt mostly on aquaculture <strong>in</strong> the temperateregions, where the ma<strong>in</strong>stay <strong>of</strong> f<strong>in</strong>fish aquaculture is based entirely on carnivorous species. The fish meal and fishoil availability will not only impact on aquaculture but on all forms <strong>of</strong> animal farm<strong>in</strong>g, albeit to different degrees.Adaptive measures to combat these impacts are suggested. However, overall for aquaculture to be susta<strong>in</strong>ableand ecologically cost effective it is suggested that a major shift from cultur<strong>in</strong>g carnivorous f<strong>in</strong>fish species tospecies feed<strong>in</strong>g low <strong>in</strong> the trophic cha<strong>in</strong> is considered more desirable.The ecological cost <strong>of</strong> aquaculture as opposed to produc<strong>in</strong>g other animal prote<strong>in</strong> sources to meet the grow<strong>in</strong>ghuman food demands is presented. The general notion that aquaculture reflects salmonid and shrimp culture, twoenvironmentally and energy costly farm<strong>in</strong>g practices is contested <strong>in</strong> view <strong>of</strong> the fact the great bulk <strong>of</strong> aquaculturecommodities feed low <strong>in</strong> the food cha<strong>in</strong>, and consequently the most popularly practiced aquaculture, particularly <strong>in</strong>the develop<strong>in</strong>g world, which also happens to be the ma<strong>in</strong> producers, is shown to be a considerably less energyconsum<strong>in</strong>g food production sector. <strong>Aquaculture</strong> is dependent on alien species to a relatively significant extent. Inthis regard, evidence is provided that fresh <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> species should not only consider potential economicga<strong>in</strong>s, which more <strong>of</strong>ten than not tend to be short term, but consider the energy cost <strong>of</strong> such <strong>in</strong>troductions, hencedirect and/or <strong>in</strong>direct contribution to green house gas emissions, <strong>in</strong> comparison to the other available options. Thissuggestion is backed up with data on shrimp aquaculture, where the options <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduc<strong>in</strong>g alien species arecontroversial and rema<strong>in</strong>s unsolved <strong>in</strong> respect <strong>of</strong> policy development for some major shrimp produc<strong>in</strong>g nations <strong>in</strong>Asia.72
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Training of TrainersProgramme3-7 Au
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Table of Contents1. Preface 42. Sen
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knowledge about the activities carr
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iosphere, in that it is essentially
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Importance in narrowing the supply
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Figure 7: The trend in aquaculture
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aquaculture has been a success thus
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pathogen transfer is generally cons
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• It highlights the importance a
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NaCSA disseminates BMPs mainly thro
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1. Drain the pond water completely
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Seed transportation and Stocking:
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7. Presently 100% of the society po
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Stress brought about by the capture
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Enhance women participation in aqua
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women in aquaculture and identify a
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major percentage of staff, the need
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having more self confidence through
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Overall status of men and women in
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Compliance to international standar
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(ii) to protect human or animal lif
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c) FAO/WHO Codex Alimentarius Commi
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Annex 1: List of participantsCountr
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Annex 2: AgendaDate Time Presentati
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Annex 3: List of resource persons1.