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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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<strong>investment</strong> cost threshold, clearly it is good practice that the managing authority looks at the latter in asimilar way. In fact, some <strong>projects</strong>, not falling in<strong>to</strong> the ‘major’ category, will form a sizeable share <strong>of</strong>operational programmes. National guidelines will probably use different thresholds <strong>to</strong> define the extent <strong>of</strong>CBA <strong>to</strong> be performed on any <strong>investment</strong> project included in an Operational Programme.5. LimitationsWhile the project appraisal guidelines presented are intended <strong>to</strong> be both practical and well grounded ininternational experience and evaluation research, they have obvious limitations. CBA is applied socialscience and this is not an exact discipline. It is largely based on approximations, working hypotheses andshortcuts because <strong>of</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> data or because <strong>of</strong> constraints on the resources <strong>of</strong> evalua<strong>to</strong>rs. It needsintuition and not just data crunching and should be based on the right incentives for the evalua<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> dotheir job in the most independent and honest environment.Establishing this environment is largely a matter <strong>of</strong> institutional building, local culture and transparency <strong>of</strong>the decision-making process, including the political environment. No technical document can addressthese important issues which are beyond the scope <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Guide</strong>. In fact, the content <strong>of</strong> the CBA <strong>Guide</strong> isno more than a structured set <strong>of</strong> suggestions, a check list, but good project analysis needs adaptation <strong>to</strong>local circumstances and it should be based on pr<strong>of</strong>essional skills and personal ability.More expert readers may find that many issues have been dealt with <strong>to</strong>o briefly or have been overlooked.The reading list at the end <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Guide</strong>, and the reference <strong>to</strong> some web-sites, can <strong>of</strong>fer some additionalmaterial. However a selection was necessary and the criterion for what <strong>to</strong> include and what <strong>to</strong> exclude wassimple: relevance <strong>to</strong> the EU context combined with feasibility. After all, if some techniques <strong>of</strong> analysishave been proposed or discussed until now in learned journals only, or have been applied in a very smallnumber <strong>of</strong> cases, there was limited scope <strong>to</strong> include them here. It is not the aim, here, <strong>to</strong> coverexhaustively the huge academic literature on project analysis. Also, the <strong>Guide</strong> is a generalist text and, whileit includes case studies and summary information on specific sec<strong>to</strong>rs, the reader in search <strong>of</strong> detailedguidelines on special fields, e.g. high speed railways, ports, health or some environmental <strong>projects</strong>, isadvised <strong>to</strong> consult the specific applied CBA literature. Some key references are given in the bibliography.6. The six steps for a good appraisalThe approach <strong>of</strong> this <strong>Guide</strong> is <strong>to</strong> suggest that a project appraisal document should be structured in sixsteps: A presentation and discussion <strong>of</strong> the socio-economic context and the objectivesThe first logical step for the appraisal is a qualitative discussion <strong>of</strong> the socio-economic context and theobjectives that are expected <strong>to</strong> be attained through the <strong>investment</strong>, both directly and indirectly. Thisdiscussion should include consideration <strong>of</strong> the relationship between the objectives and the prioritiesestablished in the Operational Programme, the National Strategic Reference Framework and consistencywith the goals <strong>of</strong> the EU Funds. This discussion will help the Commission Services <strong>to</strong> evaluate therationale and policy coherence <strong>of</strong> the proposed project. The clear identification <strong>of</strong> the projectIdentification means that the object is a self-sufficient unit <strong>of</strong> analysis, i.e. no essential feature orcomponent is left out <strong>of</strong> the scope <strong>of</strong> the appraisal (half a bridge is not a bridge); indirect and networkeffects are going <strong>to</strong> be adequately covered (e.g. changes in urban patterns, changes in the use <strong>of</strong> othertransport modes) and whose costs and benefits are going <strong>to</strong> be considered (‘who has standing’?).The study <strong>of</strong> the feasibility <strong>of</strong> the project and <strong>of</strong> alternative optionsA typical feasibility analysis should ascertain that the local context is favourable <strong>to</strong> the project (e.g. thereare no physical, social or institutional binding constraints), the demand for services in the future will beadequate (long run forecasts), appropriate technology is available, the utilisation rate <strong>of</strong> the infrastructure13

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