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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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Financial <strong>investment</strong> costs are an outcome <strong>of</strong> the technical analysis, usually disaggregated by the type <strong>of</strong>works in<strong>to</strong> which the intervention may be broken down and allocated over the construction time. Thecost analysis should distinguish the elementary cost components (labour force, materials, carriage andfreight) so as <strong>to</strong> facilitate the subsequent application <strong>of</strong> the conversion fac<strong>to</strong>rs for converting financial in<strong>to</strong>economic costs.Financial inputs will be represented by the proceeds from the <strong>to</strong>lls/tariffs applied for the sale <strong>of</strong> welldefinedservices. The estimate for the proceeds must be consistent with the on demand elasticity andtrends <strong>of</strong> explana<strong>to</strong>ry variables (see the previous paragraph about pricing criteria). The financial analysis <strong>of</strong>non-revenue generating infrastructures will show the net present cost for the public sec<strong>to</strong>r.With regard <strong>to</strong> the recourse <strong>to</strong> private funding or Public Private Partnerships, attention should be paid <strong>to</strong>possible inefficiencies which may result from cost recovery policies. These may, in turn, affect the quantitydemanded (under-utilisation).3.1.1.5 Economic analysisThe economic evaluation <strong>of</strong> transport <strong>investment</strong>s relies on a well developed and straightforwardframework and differs substantially from the financial analysis, since many <strong>of</strong> the benefits and costs arepublic goods, or goods without a market. Moreover, following a long and established tradition, theeconomic evaluation is based on a partial equilibrium approach (see box in Chapter 2).With regard <strong>to</strong> the economic <strong>investment</strong> and operating costs <strong>of</strong> vehicles, if market prices are deemed <strong>to</strong>reflect the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> resources, it will be necessary only <strong>to</strong> eliminate transfers from the financialcosts by applying a conversion fac<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> each elementary cost component and <strong>to</strong> take tax burdens in<strong>to</strong>account. If market prices are not deemed <strong>to</strong> reflect the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> resources for somecomponents, it will be necessary <strong>to</strong> apply shadow prices <strong>to</strong> correct the costs (see the general methodologydescribed in Chapter 2 <strong>of</strong> the <strong>Guide</strong>).Benefits result from variations in the area below the transport demand curve, as well as from thevariations in economic costs, including external costs. Social benefits are obtained by adding the followingcomponents:- variations in the consumer’s surplus: change in generalised transport costs, wich incorporate the moneycosts travel, (i.e. the perceived cost: fares, tariffs and <strong>to</strong>lls, and vehicle costs perceived by the users 9 );- variations in road user producer’s surplus: the unperceived costs <strong>of</strong> the private the road users enterin<strong>to</strong> the calculation <strong>of</strong> the road users producer’s surplus as they are considered as producers <strong>of</strong> theservices they supply <strong>to</strong> themeselves (car users) or <strong>to</strong> their cus<strong>to</strong>mers (trucks). The difference betweenthe <strong>to</strong>tal costs <strong>of</strong> producing these services and the vehicle operating costs perceived is defined as‘unperceived operating costs’(e.g. tyres, maintenance and depreciation). These costs enter in<strong>to</strong> thecalculation <strong>of</strong> the road users producer’s surplus and are then added <strong>to</strong> the consumer’s surplus.;- variations in infrastructure and services opera<strong>to</strong>r producer’s surplus: pr<strong>of</strong>its and losses <strong>of</strong> infrastructuremanagers, if available, and transport service opera<strong>to</strong>rs;- variations in taxes and subsidies for the government;- variations in external costs (emissions, noise, accidents).The calculation <strong>of</strong> the consumer’s and producer’s surplus and the external costs, will take in<strong>to</strong> accountgoods that have no market (see below) and whose estimate may require special techniques. Whencalculating the benefits, it is recommended that a distinction be made between:9There is a gap between the operating costs <strong>of</strong> road vehicles and the costs as perceived by users, the latter beinglower than the real cost. In fact, for istance, car users tend just <strong>to</strong> take in<strong>to</strong> account fuel expenses and underestimateother expenses. The difference between the operating costs and the perceived costs is defined as ‘unperceivedoperating costs’.75

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