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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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4.4.2 Financial analysisAlthough in this project the owner <strong>of</strong> the infrastructure (the Municipality) is different from the opera<strong>to</strong>r(the private partner <strong>of</strong> BOT assignment), a consolidated financial analysis is carried out. The time horizonfor the analysis is assumed <strong>to</strong> be 30 years, the same as for the BOT.In the analysis constant prices are used and corrections are entered for changes in the relative prices. Suchadjustments are undertaken by assuming an average annual inflation rate <strong>of</strong> 1.5% and also by taking in<strong>to</strong>account growth fac<strong>to</strong>rs, marginal decreases in the prices <strong>of</strong> some services and some operating costs (seebelow for details). Thus, only relative price changes are considered. The financial rate <strong>of</strong> discount is 5%,expressed in real terms.The cost <strong>of</strong> the <strong>investment</strong> includes the construction <strong>of</strong> the effluent and discharge mains, <strong>of</strong> the wastewater treatment plant, the water refining treatment plant and the aqueducts (including the pumpinghouses) <strong>to</strong> supply water resources <strong>to</strong> the industrial and irrigated areas. The cost <strong>of</strong> such an <strong>investment</strong>,excluding VAT, is set at €100,831,000 (at constant price) 82 and has been subdivided in<strong>to</strong> homogeneouscategories, whose values have been attributed <strong>to</strong> the first three periods, on the basis <strong>of</strong> the timeprogramme for the implementation <strong>of</strong> the project.Table 4.39 Distribution <strong>of</strong> <strong>investment</strong> cost in the time horizonInvestment costs at constant prices (Thousands <strong>of</strong> Euros) Total 1y 2y 3yFeasibility study, design, work management, licensing, etc. 9,259 7,363 0 1,896Land expropriation 1,094 726 368 0Labour 43,323 4,255 25,915 13,152Materials for civil works 12,900 990 7,031 4,078Rentals 3,238 26 1,607 1,604Transports 2,681 44 1,331 1,306Electro-mechanical components and equipment 29,138 0 11,551 17,587Total <strong>investment</strong> 100,831 13,404 47,804 39,623The start-up phase, lasting 5 months, will commence in the fourth year, in which the production isassumed <strong>to</strong> be at 70% <strong>of</strong> the regime production. The components <strong>of</strong> short lifetime 83 (60% <strong>of</strong> theequipment costs) will be replaced once during the <strong>investment</strong> horizon, at the end <strong>of</strong> their economic life(16 years 84 ). For the sake <strong>of</strong> simplicity, the calculation is made by introducing the whole cost <strong>of</strong> theaforementioned components in the twentieth year 85 .Keeping in mind the aforementioned PPP arrangement scheme, the <strong>investment</strong> is financed 86 by grant(ERDF and national or regional funds), by the fund provided by Municipality and by funds provided bythe private partner. The requested co-financing EU grant is €22,129,000 (21.9% <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal <strong>investment</strong> costsat current prices without VAT). An amount <strong>of</strong> €19,029,000 (18.9% <strong>of</strong> <strong>investment</strong> costs) is provided by anational or regional fund. The Municipal fund is €10,263,000 (10.2% <strong>of</strong> <strong>investment</strong> costs). The privatefinancing (€49,410,000, the 49.0% <strong>of</strong> <strong>investment</strong> costs) is given by equity for 50% <strong>of</strong> the amount(€24,705,000) and by loan for the other 50% (€24,705,000). The loan has a 5.00% interest rate with anamortization period <strong>of</strong> 10 years.The financing for the replacement <strong>of</strong> the short life-time components is provided by the private partner(50% equity, 50% loan) in the 20 th year (€22,652,000).8283848586The cost <strong>of</strong> the <strong>investment</strong> at current prices is € 100,831,451.These are, basically, machines and other electromechanical equipment for the treatment and pumping plants.In accordance with the technical data from literature.The twentieth year has been determined taking in<strong>to</strong> account 3 years <strong>of</strong> plant construction plus 16 years <strong>of</strong> life.The sum <strong>to</strong> be financed is the cost <strong>of</strong> <strong>investment</strong> net <strong>of</strong> VAT.170

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