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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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eneficiary. The project proposer should, however, following the risk analysis, at least identify specificmeasures for the mitigation <strong>of</strong> the identified risks, according <strong>to</strong> international good practice (see Annex Hfor some examples extracted from the World Bank Project Appraisal Documents).2.7 Other project evaluation approachesWhile cost-benefit analysis is the most commonly used technique in appraising public <strong>investment</strong> and it isthe one required by the Funds regulations for major <strong>projects</strong>, other kinds <strong>of</strong> project analysis exist and areused. In this section, the main features and fields <strong>of</strong> application <strong>of</strong> Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (CEA),Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) and Economic Impact Analysis (EIA) are reviewed. These approachescannot be seen as substitutes for CBA but rather as complements for special reasons, or as a roughapproximation when actual CBA is impossible. Moreover, they are difficult <strong>to</strong> standardise and, under theStructural, Cohesion and IPA Funds, should be used with caution in order <strong>to</strong> avoid inconsistencies acrossregions and countries that will make the assessment <strong>of</strong> <strong>projects</strong> by the Commission Services moredifficult.2.7.1 Cost-effectiveness analysisCost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is a comparison <strong>of</strong> alternative <strong>projects</strong> with a unique common effectwhich may differ in magnitude. It aims <strong>to</strong> select the project that, for a given output level, minimises thenet present value <strong>of</strong> costs, or, alternatively, for a given cost, maximises the output level. CEA results areuseful for those <strong>projects</strong> whose benefits are very difficult, if not impossible, <strong>to</strong> evaluate, while costs can bepredicted more confidently. This methodology is <strong>of</strong>ten used in the economic evaluation <strong>of</strong> healthcareprogrammes, but it can also be used <strong>to</strong> assess some scientific research, education and environmental<strong>projects</strong>. For these examples, simple CEA ratios are used, such as the cost <strong>of</strong> research per patent, the cos<strong>to</strong>f education per student, the cost per unit <strong>of</strong> emission reduction, and so on. CEA is less helpful when avalue, even an indicative one, can be given <strong>to</strong> the benefits and not just <strong>to</strong> the costs.Generally, CEA solves a problem <strong>of</strong> optimization <strong>of</strong> resources that is usually presented in the followingtwo forms:- given a fixed budget and n alternative <strong>projects</strong>, decision-makers aim <strong>to</strong> maximise the outcomesachievable, measured in terms <strong>of</strong> effectiveness (E);- given a fixed level <strong>of</strong> E that has <strong>to</strong> be achieved, decision-makers aim <strong>to</strong> minimise the cost (C).Although one could compare the simple ratios <strong>of</strong> costs <strong>to</strong> outcomes (C/E) for each alternative, thecorrect comparison is based on ratios <strong>of</strong> incremental costs <strong>to</strong> incremental outcomes, since this tells ushow much we are paying in adding the extra, more beneficial, measure. In particular, when the alternative<strong>projects</strong> are competi<strong>to</strong>rs and mutually exclusive, an incremental analysis is required in order <strong>to</strong> rank the<strong>projects</strong> and single out the one that is most cost-effective.Generally cost-effectiveness analysis is pursued <strong>to</strong> test the null hypothesis that the mean cost-effectiveness<strong>of</strong> one project (a) is different from the mean cost-effectiveness <strong>of</strong> some competing intervention (b). It iscalculated as the ratio:R = (C a – C b ) / (E a – E b ) = ΔC / ΔEdefining the incremental cost per unit <strong>of</strong> additional outcome.While the measurement <strong>of</strong> costs is the same as in the financial analysis <strong>of</strong> CBA, the measurement <strong>of</strong> theeffectiveness depends on the type <strong>of</strong> outcome chosen. Some examples <strong>of</strong> measures <strong>of</strong> effectiveness usedin CEA are: number <strong>of</strong> life-years gained, days <strong>of</strong> disability avoided (healthcare <strong>projects</strong>), or test scores(education).When a strategy is both more effective and less costly than the alternative (C a – C b < 0 and E a – E b > 0), itis said <strong>to</strong> ‘dominate’ the alternative: in this situation there is no need <strong>to</strong> calculate cost-effectiveness ratios,because the decision on the strategy <strong>to</strong> choose is obvious. However, in most circumstances, the project64

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