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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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In conclusion, indirect effects should be added <strong>to</strong> CBA only when the size <strong>of</strong> the dis<strong>to</strong>rtion is sufficientlyrelevant and measurable, while, in general, a good use <strong>of</strong> shadow prices and a good monetisation <strong>of</strong>externalities are usually enough <strong>to</strong> account for indirect effects.Since the identification <strong>of</strong> which benefits are <strong>to</strong> be included in CBA is not always obvious, the box belowreviews some common mistakes in benefits counting that should be avoided by the project proposer.EXAMPLE: MISTAKES IN <strong>BENEFIT</strong>S COUNTINGDouble Counting <strong>of</strong> Benefits. In considering the value <strong>of</strong> an irrigation project, both the increase in the value <strong>of</strong> the land andthe present value <strong>of</strong> the increase in income from farming are counted as benefits. Only one <strong>of</strong> them should be counted becauseone could either sell the land or keep it and get the gains as a stream <strong>of</strong> income.Counting Secondary Benefits. If a road is constructed, one might count the additional commerce along the road as a benefit.Problem: under equilibrium conditions in competitive markets the new road may be displacing commercial activity elsewhere, sothe net gain <strong>to</strong> society may be small or zero. People forget <strong>to</strong> count the lost benefits elsewhere (e.g. for newly generated traffic).Counting Labour as a Benefit. In arguing for ‘pork barrel 8 ‘ <strong>projects</strong>, some politicians <strong>of</strong>ten talk about the jobs created by theproject as a benefit. But wages are part <strong>of</strong> the cost <strong>of</strong> the project, not the benefits. The social benefit <strong>of</strong> employment is alreadygiven by using shadow wages. However, a separate analysis <strong>of</strong> labour market impact can be helpful in some circumstances and isrequired by the Funds regulations.2.5.4 Social discountingCosts and benefits occurring at different times must be discounted. The discount rate in the economicanalysis <strong>of</strong> <strong>investment</strong> <strong>projects</strong> - the social discount rate (SDR) - reflects the social view on how futurebenefits and costs should be valued against present ones. It may differ from the financial discount ratewhen the capital market is inefficient (for example when there is credit rationing, asymmetric informationand myopia <strong>of</strong> savers and inves<strong>to</strong>rs, etc.).For the 2007-2013 period, the European Commission has suggested using two benchmark social discountrates: 5.5% for the Cohesion countries and 3.5% for the others. These SDRs are based on estimates <strong>of</strong>long term growth potentials and other parameters. For a more detailed discussion about the socialdiscount rate see Annex B. SDRs that differ from the benchmarks may, however, be justified on the basis<strong>of</strong> individual Member States’ or Candidate countries’ specific socio-economic conditions. Once a socialdiscount rate is set at country level by a planning authority, it must be applied consistently <strong>to</strong> all <strong>projects</strong>belonging <strong>to</strong> the same country (the only possible exceptions being significant differences in expectedgrowth rates at NUTS I or macro-regional level within the country).2.5.5 Calculation <strong>of</strong> economic performance indica<strong>to</strong>rsAfter the correction <strong>of</strong> price/wage dis<strong>to</strong>rtions and the choice <strong>of</strong> an appropriate social discount rate, it ispossible <strong>to</strong> calculate the project’s economic performance using the following indica<strong>to</strong>rs:- economic net present value (ENPV): the difference between the discounted <strong>to</strong>tal social benefits andcosts;- economic internal rate <strong>of</strong> return (ERR): the rate that produces a zero value for the ENPV;- B/C ratio, i.e. the ratio between discounted economic benefits and costs.8The term refers <strong>to</strong> the political metaphor for the appropriation <strong>of</strong> the government spending for <strong>projects</strong> that are intended <strong>to</strong> benefit particularconstituents or contribu<strong>to</strong>rs.55

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