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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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economic analysis also needs <strong>to</strong> consider the externalities (positive and/or negative) that are notaccounted for in the converted financial inputs and outputs quoted above.Table 4.28 Conversion fac<strong>to</strong>rs adopted in economic analysisType <strong>of</strong> cost CF NotesStandard conversion fac<strong>to</strong>r 0.96 SCFSkilled labour 1.00 The labour market is assumed <strong>to</strong> be competitiveUnskilled labour 0.60 Shadow wage for not-competitive labour market 73Land 1.33 SCF x local market price (40% higher than prices paid for expropriation)Building erection (constructions) 0.70 40% construction materials (CF=SCF), 5% skilled labour, 45% unskilledlabour, 10% pr<strong>of</strong>it (CF=0)Materials (Chemicals, reagents, etc.) 0.96 Traded good; CF=SCFEquipment 0.60 10% construction materials (CF=SCF), 5% skilled labour, 75% unskilledlabour, 10% pr<strong>of</strong>it (CF=0)Energy (electricity, heat and gas) 0.96 SCFWater services 0.96 SCFWaste treatment service 0.96 SCFFeasibility study, design, etc. 1.00 100% skilled labourEngineering, geological and1.00 100% skilled labouradministrative servicesMachinery, manufactured goods, 0.670 50% unskilled labour, 50% equipmentcarpentry, etc.Investment (weighted) 0.705 4,7% feasibility study, design, etc., 1,2% land, 39,5% buildings, 54,6%machinery, manufactured goods, carpentry, etc.Replacement <strong>of</strong> short life components 0.670 100% machinery, manufactured goods, carpentry, etc.Residual value 0.705 100% <strong>investment</strong> (weighted)Remediation and decontamination 0.676 10% skilled labour; 79,8% unskilled labour, 10,2% materials(weighted)Intermediate services and goods 0.718 10% skilled labour; 50% unskilled labour, 30% machinery, manufacturedgoods, carpentry, etc., 10% materialsElimination costs <strong>of</strong> ash and slag waste 0.673 5% skilled labour; 80% unskilled labour, 10% energy, 5% materialsFirst, the negative externalities are taken in<strong>to</strong> account: the cost <strong>of</strong> noise, odours, aesthetic and landscapeimpact.The negative external impact <strong>of</strong> the normal operation <strong>of</strong> the incinera<strong>to</strong>r is valued by means <strong>of</strong> a hedonicprice, assuming the real estate in the nearby area is depreciated. The hedonic price is assumed <strong>to</strong> be equal<strong>to</strong> the difference between the market value <strong>of</strong> the rent for the buildings in the area before the incinera<strong>to</strong>rwas built and the value <strong>of</strong> the rent after the incinera<strong>to</strong>r was built, this difference then corrected by anappropriate CF. Assuming a mean building density in the impact area (an area, centred on plant, <strong>of</strong> about700 m <strong>of</strong> radius) <strong>of</strong> 0.50 m 3 /m 2 a depreciation <strong>of</strong> 30% <strong>of</strong> a yearly rent <strong>of</strong> about 52.2 €/m 2 (corrected)leads <strong>to</strong> a hedonic price <strong>of</strong> €340,000 per year.Next, the positive externalities deriving from the waste treatment and from the energy recovery are takenin<strong>to</strong> account: i) the first <strong>of</strong> these is cautiously considered <strong>to</strong> be absorbed in the re-valued revenues <strong>of</strong> thewaste treatment 74 ; ii) the second is assumed <strong>to</strong> be equal <strong>to</strong> the benefit due <strong>to</strong> the CO 2 avoided by burningbiological wastes, excluding plastic and other petrol by-products 75 , in order <strong>to</strong> generate electricity and heat.73The unskilled labour conversion fac<strong>to</strong>r is calculated on the basis <strong>of</strong> the shadow wage, as follows: SW = FW (1-u) (1-t), were SW is the shadowwage, FW in the wage assumed in the financial analysis, u is local (regional) unemployment rate and t is the rate <strong>of</strong> the social security and relevanttaxes. In the case study, set u=12% and t=32%, the CF= (SW/FW) is equal <strong>to</strong> 0.60.74Alternatively, this benefit could be directly quantified by means <strong>of</strong> the morbidity avoided, subtracting from this the revenue (corrected by theown CF) deriving from the waste collecting and treatment fares or by means <strong>of</strong> the land consumption for an alternative waste disposal in landfillavoided.75Because the plastic and other recyclable wastes are selected and recovered in the plant, the burnt plastic fraction is low (not more than 25%).159

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