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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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4.5.4.1 Investment costsThe <strong>to</strong>tal <strong>investment</strong> costs <strong>of</strong> the project amount <strong>to</strong> €64.5 Million (€62 Million <strong>of</strong> fixed assets, €1 Million<strong>of</strong> pre-production expenses, and €1.5 Million <strong>of</strong> variation in working capital). More specifically:- The land <strong>to</strong> be bought costs €50 per m 2 and the company needs 60,000 m 2 , for a <strong>to</strong>tal cost <strong>of</strong> €3Million.- The project includes the construction <strong>of</strong> two new plants, the first <strong>of</strong> 2,000 m 2 and the second <strong>of</strong> 5,000m 2 , for a <strong>to</strong>tal cost <strong>of</strong> €17 Million.- The acquisition <strong>of</strong> <strong>to</strong>ols, machinery, s<strong>of</strong>tware and hardware from the best suppliers is expected <strong>to</strong> cost€42 Million.- Licences and Patents expenses are estimated at €1 Million.All the costs are considered net <strong>of</strong> Value Added Tax.4.5.4.2 Operating costsOperations will require different inputs. Assumptions are made about their dynamics depending on theexpected market growth (prices and demand).Table 4.53 Main costs as a percentage <strong>of</strong> sales<strong>COST</strong> ITEMS Value as% <strong>of</strong> sales Average annual increase/decrease (%)Raw materials 51 0.00Electricity 4 0.10Fuel 5 0.30Maintenance 3 0.00General industrial costs 3 -0.15Administrative variable costs 3 -0.10Sales expenditures A 3 0.00Sales expenditures B 4 0.00Sales expenditures C 2 0.00With regard <strong>to</strong> the cost <strong>of</strong> labour, the required number <strong>of</strong> workers and the cost per worker in future years,the assumptions are shown in Table 4.54. To simplify the calculation it was assumed that labour costsincluded some other minor fixed costs (e.g. administrative costs).Table 4.54 Cost <strong>of</strong> labour / Main consumptionType <strong>of</strong> worker Number needed Baseline salary (000/€) Increase in base salary (%)Unskilled workers 50 13 1.00Skilled workers 25 15 1.20White collars 20 18 1.504.5.4.3 Operating revenuesThe company will produce three outputs, in particular two for specific cus<strong>to</strong>mers and one for the market.Detailed forecasts were made for the output and the price <strong>of</strong> each <strong>of</strong> them (not reported here).The three financial performance indica<strong>to</strong>rs were calculated:- the project’s return on <strong>investment</strong> (FNPV(C) and FRR(C))- the project’s return on national capital (FNPV(K) and FRR(K))- the project’s return on private equity (FNPV(K p ) and FRR(K p ))The financial performance <strong>of</strong> the <strong>investment</strong> is modest (FRR(C) is 3.3%), while the returns on nationalcapital and private equity are high (respectively 9.3% and 11.8%). In fact the <strong>investment</strong> itself wouldprobably not have been implemented because <strong>of</strong> the fairly low expected financial return and the relatively188

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