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Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

Guide to COST-BENEFIT ANALYSIS of investment projects - Ramiri

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(LRMC) can be the default accounting rule. Usually WTP is higher than LRMC in empirical estimates, andsometimes an average <strong>of</strong> the two is appropriate.The use <strong>of</strong> WTP or LRMC as shadow prices is mutually exclusive <strong>to</strong> the application <strong>of</strong> conversion fac<strong>to</strong>rs<strong>to</strong> the project’s financial operating revenues. For example, if electricity services are provided at 5 cents perkWh, a tariff below unit costs, we can either multiply the tariff by the conversion fac<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> get the shadowprice; or we can substitute the tariff by the WTP as the shadow price.Table 2.10 Examples <strong>of</strong> non-market impact valuationSec<strong>to</strong>rNon-marketimpactImpact assessmentTransport - Savings in traveland waiting time- The value <strong>of</strong> working time savings is the opportunity cost <strong>of</strong> the time <strong>to</strong> theemployer, equal <strong>to</strong> the marginal cost <strong>of</strong> labour.Healthcare - Life expectancy /quality <strong>of</strong> lifeEnvironment- Prevention <strong>of</strong>fatalities/injuries- Landscape- NoiseSource: UK Treasury Green Book (2003)- Quality-adjusted life year (QALY) is the most commonly used measure <strong>of</strong> healthbenefit. Tools such as the EuroQol instrument allow the estimation <strong>of</strong> the number <strong>of</strong>QALYs gained by the recipients <strong>of</strong> the project.- The WTP for a reduction in the risk <strong>of</strong> death or serious injury.- The Environmental Landscape Feature (ELF) model constitutes a first attempt at abenefits transfer <strong>to</strong>ol for appraising environmental policies. The model providesestimates <strong>of</strong> the WTP for some features (e.g. heather moorland, rough grazing, fieldmargins and hedgerows) on an area basis, and estimates <strong>of</strong> their diminishing marginalutility.- Noise is measured in Noise Exposure Forecast (NEFs); one NEF is equal <strong>to</strong> a meanexposure over time <strong>to</strong> one decibel <strong>of</strong> noise. The sensitivity <strong>of</strong> real estate prices <strong>to</strong>changes in noise level is measured by the noise depreciation sensitivity index.When non-market impacts do not occur in the transactions between the producer and the directusers/beneficiaries <strong>of</strong> the project services but fall on uncompensated third parties, these impacts aredefined as externalities. In other words, an externality is any cost or benefit that spills over from theproject <strong>to</strong>wards other parties without monetary compensation (see box for some examples).EXAMPLE: POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE EXTERNALITIESBenefits:- Advantages in terms <strong>of</strong> reduction <strong>of</strong> risk <strong>of</strong> accidents in a congested urban area as an effect <strong>of</strong> a project for the re-location <strong>of</strong>a manufacturing plant.- Individuals consuming vaccine against the influenza virus. Those who do not vaccinate themselves receive the benefit <strong>of</strong> areduced prevalence <strong>of</strong> the virus in the community.- Damming <strong>of</strong> rivers for electricity. The damming not only provides for flood mitigation for those living downstream but alsoprovides an area for enjoying water-based recreational activities for free.Costs:- Water pollution by industries that adds poisons <strong>to</strong> the water, which harm plants, animals, and humans.- The unregulated harvesting <strong>of</strong> one fishing company in the Mediterranean Sea depletes the s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>of</strong> available fish for theother companies and overfishing may result.- When car owners freely use roads, they impose congestion costs on all other users and harmful emissions <strong>to</strong> pedestrians.Due <strong>to</strong> their nature, externalities are sometimes not well captured by the use <strong>of</strong> empirical WTP or LRMC,or by conversion fac<strong>to</strong>rs based on border prices, so that they need <strong>to</strong> be evaluated separately, for examplethrough willingness-<strong>to</strong>-pay or willingness-<strong>to</strong>-accept estimates <strong>of</strong> the external effect. Valuing externalitiescan sometimes be difficult (particularly environmental impacts), even though they may be easily identified.A project may, for example, cause ecological damage, whose effects, combined with other fac<strong>to</strong>rs, willtake place in the long run and are difficult <strong>to</strong> precisely quantify and value. In such a case, a ‘benefitstransfer’ approach may be helpful: this approach applies <strong>to</strong> the project shadow prices that have beenestimated in other contexts, i.e. for other <strong>projects</strong> or programmes. In practice, this approach uses values53

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