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ConflictBarometer_2016

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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />

UGANDA (INTERCOMMUNAL RIVALRY /<br />

RWENZURURU)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2012<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Bakonzo vs. Bamba et al.<br />

Conflict items: subnational predominance, resources<br />

conflict. Hence, whereas the violence between Bakonzo and<br />

Bamba abated, the number of incidents between government<br />

forces and Bakonzo increased, peaking at the end of the year.<br />

The government blamed the Bakonzo, especially the traditional<br />

Rwenzururu royal guards, for the violence in the region,<br />

alleging a secessionist movement [→ Uganda (Bakonzo<br />

/ Rwenzururu)]. rrb<br />

UGANDA (OPPOSITION)<br />

The conflict over subnational predominance and resources in<br />

the Rwenzururu region between the ethnic majority of the<br />

Bakonzo, on the one hand, and other ethnic groups, such as<br />

the Bamba, Basongora, and Banyawindi, on the other, escalated<br />

to the level of a violent crisis. Inter-communal violence<br />

had subsided last year, but resumed when members of the<br />

Bakonzo and Bamba clashed between February and April, following<br />

contested local elections. The fighting resulted in the<br />

death of at least 30 people, and left dozens of houses burnt,<br />

while thousands were reportedly displaced.<br />

Rwenzururu's ethnic groups had competed over the region's<br />

scarce land and government support since the country's independence,<br />

with the recent discovery of oil intensifying the<br />

conflict. In 2009 and 2014 respectively, the government had<br />

given the Bakonzo and the region's second-largest group, the<br />

Bambas, the cultural and administrative status of a kingdom.<br />

However, it did not manage to end inter-communal competition,<br />

but in fact, exacerbated the rivalry and set the stage for<br />

renewed violence between the two ethnic groups.<br />

Violence broke out over local council elections taking place in<br />

the broader scope of this year's national elections [→ Uganda<br />

(opposition)]. When returning officer Daniel Nayebale announced<br />

the results for Hima town district on February 27,<br />

he first had declared independent candidate Jolly Tibemanya<br />

the winner, but later reversed the results in favour of Ronald<br />

Mutegeki, an ethnic Bakonzo and member of the ruling party<br />

National Resistance Movement (NRM). This angered Tibemanya<br />

supporters who were predominantly of the Bamba<br />

group. The volatile situation increased tensions that had already<br />

prevailed in the district during campaigning season,<br />

for the Bamba accused the Bakonzo of supporting Mutegeki<br />

and the NRM, instead of the independent candidate, thereby<br />

weakening their position.<br />

The same day, a group of mainly Bamba, reportedly comprising<br />

approx. 30 members armed with spears, machetes,<br />

knives, bows and arrows attacked the homes of Bakonzo in<br />

Bukundu village, Bundibugyo District, killing at least six people.<br />

In a separate attack in Mukudungu village one person<br />

was killed. Moreover, ten to 15 houses were burnt and at least<br />

8,000 Bakonzo fled from predominantly Bamba-inhabited areas.<br />

Clashes in Bundibugyo continued on March 23, when a<br />

group of approx. 25 Bakonzo youths killed six people in Ntotoro<br />

Sub-county. In reaction, police shot dead two Bakonzo<br />

in a shootout the same day. Also, two people were attacked<br />

and stabbed to death by unknown assailants in Kikalizo village,<br />

also burning a house and looting properties. On March<br />

24, two more people were killed in Bundibugyo, while at least<br />

three more were killed in a shooting at a local trading centre.<br />

As violence escalated in the region, Bakonzo increasingly<br />

clashed with police and army forces deployed to settle the<br />

99<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2001<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

FDC, DP, UPC, Jeema vs. government<br />

national power<br />

The conflict over national power between various opposition<br />

parties, such as the main opposition party Forum for Democratic<br />

Change (FDC), as well as the Democratic Party (DP),<br />

Uganda People's Congress (UPC), and Justice Forum Party<br />

(Jeema) and the government continued as a violent crisis.<br />

Tensions arose between opposition members and journalists,<br />

on the one hand, and the police, on the other, over the legitimacy<br />

of the presidential elections of February 18. Police regularly<br />

hindered opposition leaders from participating in political<br />

rallies, especially the FDC's leader Kizza Besigye and former<br />

prime minister Amama Mbabazi, both presidential candidates.<br />

From February until April, Besigye was arrested nine<br />

times and was continuously confined to his home under ''preventive<br />

arrest” until December.<br />

The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human<br />

Rights and various Human Rights organizations repeatedly<br />

called for electoral reforms and condemned police brutality<br />

as well as arbitrary arrests by the police before and after<br />

the elections. Government crackdown on demonstrations resulted<br />

in the death of three people and at least 26 injured<br />

until the end of the year. For instance, on January 5, police<br />

kept Mbabazi from speaking on a radio show in Kotido district,<br />

Northern Region.<br />

On February 15, the police clashed with FDC supporters in<br />

the capital Kampala, Central Region, leaving at least one person<br />

dead, several injured and Besigye briefly detained. On<br />

election day, police detained Besigye again and fired tear gas<br />

to disperse groups of people in Kampala, while the Uganda<br />

Communication Commission temporarily blocked social media<br />

access across the country. The next day, police surrounded<br />

the FDC headquarters in Kampala and used tear gas<br />

and allegedly water cannons on FDC supporters, killing one<br />

person. On February 20, the EU and AU criticized Museveni's<br />

oppressive tactics, claiming he won the elections by detaining<br />

his opponents.<br />

On March 31, the Supreme Court dismissed Mbabazi's petition<br />

of March 1, which intended to challenge the election results.<br />

In May, the government banned all live television coverage<br />

of opposition protest. On May 13, Besigye was charged<br />

with treason and imprisoned until granted bail on July 12. On<br />

July 21, two civilians sued Inspector General of Police Kale<br />

Kayihura and other policemen for beatings.<br />

In August, the ruling party issued a petition to lift the president's<br />

age limit in order to allow Museveni to run for another<br />

term. On October 3, police arrested Besigye and around 50

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