ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
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EUROPE<br />
ing the ''gay propaganda” law. On May 1, police arrested<br />
around 20 LGBT-activists during the annual Labor Day Parade<br />
in St. Petersburg, after authorities had previously banned<br />
them from participating.<br />
As in previous years, the government prosecuted opposition<br />
leader Alexei Navalny, his Anti-Corruption Foundation<br />
(FBK), and affiliates. On April 6, the attorney general started<br />
an investigation against FBK. On April 8, the Moscow City<br />
Court halted the proceedings against Navalny and Pyotr Ofitserov<br />
in the KirovLes timber company embezzlement case.<br />
This followed a European Court of Human Rights judgment<br />
from February, which found that the case violated the European<br />
Convention of Human Rights. On April 19, four FBK<br />
candidates withdrew from municipal elections in Barvikha,<br />
Moscow Oblast, protesting against cases of fraud during previous<br />
rounds of voting. On May 17, around 20 people, among<br />
them several alleged policemen, attacked Navalny and several<br />
FBK members at Anapa Airport, Krasnodar district, beating<br />
and injuring them. On November 16, the Supreme Court<br />
of the Russian Federation repealed a lower court's ruling to<br />
give Navalny a five-year suspended sentence on corruption<br />
charges and ordered a retrial.<br />
The government repeatedly prosecuted the opposition news<br />
agency Ekho Moskvy. On July 5, federal security agents<br />
searched its Moscow offices. The investigation was linked to<br />
correspondence between the editorial staff and Kremlin critic<br />
Andrei Piontkovsky, who went into exile on February 19. Russian<br />
lawmakers accused Piontkovsky of inciting ethnic hatred<br />
after he had published a critical article about the North Caucasus<br />
on January 23. On November 2, the municipal authorities<br />
sealed Amnesty International's Moscow Office without prior<br />
notice.<br />
On September 18, in the State Duma elections, the ruling<br />
party, United Russia (UR), achieved countrywide victories, obtaining<br />
a constitutional majority of 343 seats. The liberal opposition<br />
parties Yabloko, The Greens, PARNAS as well as the<br />
right-wing and nationalist opposition parties Party of Growth<br />
and Patriots of Russia did not manage to secure seats, while<br />
Rodina and the Civic Platform secured one seat each. On July<br />
7, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed the Yarovaya bill,<br />
amending existing counter-terror laws. The amendments enhanced<br />
surveillance capabilities, expanded authorities of law<br />
enforcement agencies, and increased the penalty for ''extremism”<br />
from four to up to eight years of imprisonment.<br />
The situation in the Chechen Republic, headed by President<br />
Ramzan Kadyrov, deteriorated. Prior to the September 18<br />
elections, the persecution of Kadyrov's critics increased. On<br />
May 12, in the village of Kenkhi, Sharoni district, Chechnya,<br />
a group of men set the house of government critic Ramazan<br />
Dzhalaldinov on fire. In April, Dzhalaldinov had uploaded a<br />
video on YouTube, urging Putin to take action against corrupt<br />
officials in Chechnya. On May 30, on his Instagram account,<br />
Kadyrov published a video of Dzhalaldinov apologizing for his<br />
allegations. On November 4, Dzhalaldinov disappeared after<br />
police temporarily detained him and his son the previous day.<br />
On September 18, Kadyrov was reelected as head of the<br />
Chechen Republic with 97 percent of votes. cbe<br />
45<br />
RUSSIA – ESTONIA<br />
Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1994<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
Russia vs. Estonia<br />
territory, international power<br />
The non-violent crisis between Russia and Estonia over territory<br />
and international power continued. The contested territory<br />
comprised the borders between Estonia and the Russian<br />
oblasts Leningrad and Pskov. A border treaty that would acknowledge<br />
the current border demarcation was still pending<br />
Russian ratification.<br />
Throughout the year, Russian officials repeatedly accused<br />
Estonia and Latvia of discriminating against their Russianspeaking<br />
minorities and announced to defend the rights of<br />
Russians living abroad [→ Estonia (Russian-speaking minority)]<br />
[→ Latvia (Russian-speaking minority)].<br />
On several occasions, Estonia along with the other Baltic<br />
states and Poland advocated a continuation of sanctions<br />
against Russia and called on Russia to fulfill the Minsk Agreement<br />
[→ USA, EU et al. – Russia].<br />
Throughout the first half of the year, Estonian officials repeatedly<br />
termed Russian behavior aggressive and called for increased<br />
NATO presence in the region. On June 13, NATO announced<br />
the deployment of several multinational battalions<br />
to Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland.<br />
On November 18, Russian and Estonian officials met in<br />
Moscow for political consultations. They discussed the announced<br />
NATO deployment, possible areas of cooperation,<br />
and the current state of the border treaty.<br />
After several Russian congratulatory notes to newly elected<br />
Estonian government officials, on December 6, the Russian<br />
Ambassador to Estonia, Alexander Petrov, expressed Russia's<br />
willingness for cooperation with the new Estonian government<br />
and reaffirmed Russia's acceptance of Estonian membership<br />
in NATO and EU.<br />
Estonia accused Russia of violating its airspace on six occasions<br />
throughout the year. However, the Russian Defense<br />
Ministry denied those allegations. vpa<br />
RUSSIA – GEORGIA<br />
Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1992<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
Russia vs. Georgia<br />
international power<br />
The non-violent crisis over international power between Russia<br />
and Georgia continued. Georgia supported parts of the<br />
EU-led sanctions against Russia, which Russia condemned.<br />
On January 13 and April 18, Russia conducted military exercises<br />
with up to 2,000 troops in the South Ossetian mountains,<br />
minor military drills on March 16 in South Ossetia and<br />
Abkhazia, and large-scale KAVKAZ exercises in September [→<br />
Georgia (Abkhazia); Georgia (South Ossetia)].<br />
From May 11 until May 26 and again from November 10 until<br />
November 20, Georgia conducted military exercises with