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ConflictBarometer_2016

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EUROPE<br />

ing the ''gay propaganda” law. On May 1, police arrested<br />

around 20 LGBT-activists during the annual Labor Day Parade<br />

in St. Petersburg, after authorities had previously banned<br />

them from participating.<br />

As in previous years, the government prosecuted opposition<br />

leader Alexei Navalny, his Anti-Corruption Foundation<br />

(FBK), and affiliates. On April 6, the attorney general started<br />

an investigation against FBK. On April 8, the Moscow City<br />

Court halted the proceedings against Navalny and Pyotr Ofitserov<br />

in the KirovLes timber company embezzlement case.<br />

This followed a European Court of Human Rights judgment<br />

from February, which found that the case violated the European<br />

Convention of Human Rights. On April 19, four FBK<br />

candidates withdrew from municipal elections in Barvikha,<br />

Moscow Oblast, protesting against cases of fraud during previous<br />

rounds of voting. On May 17, around 20 people, among<br />

them several alleged policemen, attacked Navalny and several<br />

FBK members at Anapa Airport, Krasnodar district, beating<br />

and injuring them. On November 16, the Supreme Court<br />

of the Russian Federation repealed a lower court's ruling to<br />

give Navalny a five-year suspended sentence on corruption<br />

charges and ordered a retrial.<br />

The government repeatedly prosecuted the opposition news<br />

agency Ekho Moskvy. On July 5, federal security agents<br />

searched its Moscow offices. The investigation was linked to<br />

correspondence between the editorial staff and Kremlin critic<br />

Andrei Piontkovsky, who went into exile on February 19. Russian<br />

lawmakers accused Piontkovsky of inciting ethnic hatred<br />

after he had published a critical article about the North Caucasus<br />

on January 23. On November 2, the municipal authorities<br />

sealed Amnesty International's Moscow Office without prior<br />

notice.<br />

On September 18, in the State Duma elections, the ruling<br />

party, United Russia (UR), achieved countrywide victories, obtaining<br />

a constitutional majority of 343 seats. The liberal opposition<br />

parties Yabloko, The Greens, PARNAS as well as the<br />

right-wing and nationalist opposition parties Party of Growth<br />

and Patriots of Russia did not manage to secure seats, while<br />

Rodina and the Civic Platform secured one seat each. On July<br />

7, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed the Yarovaya bill,<br />

amending existing counter-terror laws. The amendments enhanced<br />

surveillance capabilities, expanded authorities of law<br />

enforcement agencies, and increased the penalty for ''extremism”<br />

from four to up to eight years of imprisonment.<br />

The situation in the Chechen Republic, headed by President<br />

Ramzan Kadyrov, deteriorated. Prior to the September 18<br />

elections, the persecution of Kadyrov's critics increased. On<br />

May 12, in the village of Kenkhi, Sharoni district, Chechnya,<br />

a group of men set the house of government critic Ramazan<br />

Dzhalaldinov on fire. In April, Dzhalaldinov had uploaded a<br />

video on YouTube, urging Putin to take action against corrupt<br />

officials in Chechnya. On May 30, on his Instagram account,<br />

Kadyrov published a video of Dzhalaldinov apologizing for his<br />

allegations. On November 4, Dzhalaldinov disappeared after<br />

police temporarily detained him and his son the previous day.<br />

On September 18, Kadyrov was reelected as head of the<br />

Chechen Republic with 97 percent of votes. cbe<br />

45<br />

RUSSIA – ESTONIA<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1994<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Russia vs. Estonia<br />

territory, international power<br />

The non-violent crisis between Russia and Estonia over territory<br />

and international power continued. The contested territory<br />

comprised the borders between Estonia and the Russian<br />

oblasts Leningrad and Pskov. A border treaty that would acknowledge<br />

the current border demarcation was still pending<br />

Russian ratification.<br />

Throughout the year, Russian officials repeatedly accused<br />

Estonia and Latvia of discriminating against their Russianspeaking<br />

minorities and announced to defend the rights of<br />

Russians living abroad [→ Estonia (Russian-speaking minority)]<br />

[→ Latvia (Russian-speaking minority)].<br />

On several occasions, Estonia along with the other Baltic<br />

states and Poland advocated a continuation of sanctions<br />

against Russia and called on Russia to fulfill the Minsk Agreement<br />

[→ USA, EU et al. – Russia].<br />

Throughout the first half of the year, Estonian officials repeatedly<br />

termed Russian behavior aggressive and called for increased<br />

NATO presence in the region. On June 13, NATO announced<br />

the deployment of several multinational battalions<br />

to Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland.<br />

On November 18, Russian and Estonian officials met in<br />

Moscow for political consultations. They discussed the announced<br />

NATO deployment, possible areas of cooperation,<br />

and the current state of the border treaty.<br />

After several Russian congratulatory notes to newly elected<br />

Estonian government officials, on December 6, the Russian<br />

Ambassador to Estonia, Alexander Petrov, expressed Russia's<br />

willingness for cooperation with the new Estonian government<br />

and reaffirmed Russia's acceptance of Estonian membership<br />

in NATO and EU.<br />

Estonia accused Russia of violating its airspace on six occasions<br />

throughout the year. However, the Russian Defense<br />

Ministry denied those allegations. vpa<br />

RUSSIA – GEORGIA<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 1992<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Russia vs. Georgia<br />

international power<br />

The non-violent crisis over international power between Russia<br />

and Georgia continued. Georgia supported parts of the<br />

EU-led sanctions against Russia, which Russia condemned.<br />

On January 13 and April 18, Russia conducted military exercises<br />

with up to 2,000 troops in the South Ossetian mountains,<br />

minor military drills on March 16 in South Ossetia and<br />

Abkhazia, and large-scale KAVKAZ exercises in September [→<br />

Georgia (Abkhazia); Georgia (South Ossetia)].<br />

From May 11 until May 26 and again from November 10 until<br />

November 20, Georgia conducted military exercises with

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