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ConflictBarometer_2016

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ASIA AND OCEANIA<br />

upon the international community to protest the PRC's extraction<br />

of resources and the construction of artificial islands in<br />

the South China Sea. Subsequently, the PRC criticized Abe<br />

and urged Japan to reflect upon its wartime aggression in<br />

China. In mid-February, Japan and US criticized the PRC's deployment<br />

of surface-to-air missiles in the South China Sea<br />

and reiterated their right to freely navigate international waters.<br />

On March 23, the PRC and ROC opposed Japan's publication<br />

of revised textbooks, which claimed the disputed islands<br />

to be inherently Japanese, and, according to the PRC, misrepresented<br />

the Nanjing massacre during World War II. On April 4,<br />

twelve armed Japanese Coast Guard (JCG) vessels began permanent<br />

patrolling of the waters surrounding the disputed islands.<br />

On April 15, the ROC protested Japan's Diplomatic Paper,<br />

which claimed that the disputed islands were Japanese.<br />

Subsequently, the ROC urged all involved parties to solve the<br />

dispute peacefully. On April 29, the PRC demanded the US<br />

and Japan stay neutral in the South China Sea dispute and not<br />

to include the islands in a bilateral security treaty [→ China –<br />

Vietnam et al. (South China Sea)]. In the first half of June, Chinese<br />

vessels entered the waters of the disputed islands twice,<br />

which was criticized by Japan. On August 3, the PRC protested<br />

the Japanese White Paper, accusing the contents of ''stirring<br />

up trouble between China and its neighbours and deceiving<br />

the international community”. Three days later, a fleet of 230<br />

PRC vessels sailed close to the disputed islands, for which the<br />

JCG released video proof. In response, Japan objected the<br />

PRC's actions and demanded the withdrawal of the fleet. In<br />

early September, the Japanese Prime Minister Abe called Chinese<br />

President Xi Jinping a friend while both agreed to talks<br />

regarding the establishment of a communications hotline between<br />

their defense ministries. In late September, Japan criticized<br />

Chinese fighter jets flying over the disputed islands.<br />

Subsequently, the PRC called upon the ROC to protect the<br />

Senkaku/Diaoyu islands. ROC's president responded that the<br />

islands were not Japanese and called for a peaceful resolution.<br />

On December 22, Japan announced the allocation of<br />

USD 1.8 billion to the JCG in order to increase its patrols.<br />

Three days later, a PRC aircraft carrier and its fleet passed<br />

through the Miyako Strait close to the disputed islands and<br />

circumvented the ROC. kol<br />

the Aqtobe region was put on high alert. Security forces<br />

conducted counterterrorism operations and Internet access<br />

was shut down for two days. Interior Minister Qalmukhanbet<br />

Qasymov stated that the attack had been instructed or<br />

inspired by a Syrian Islamist leader, but no credible claim of<br />

responsibility was made. On November 28, a court in Aqtobe<br />

sentenced 29 men, suspected members of the banned<br />

Salafi confession, to jail terms ranging between two years and<br />

life in prison. They were charged for involvement in the June<br />

attacks. On June 29, security forces detained six suspected<br />

Salafists in Karaganda Region that had allegedly planned an<br />

attack with IEDs. One suspect blew himself up when security<br />

forces tried to arrest him. The Kazakh National Security<br />

Committee (KNB) claimed there was no link between the six<br />

arrested suspected Salafists and the Aqtobe attack. On July<br />

18, suspected Islamist militants reportedly attacked a police<br />

station and a KNB office in Almaty, Almaty Region, killing at<br />

least four police officers as well as one civilian and injuring<br />

several.<br />

Throughout the year, security forces detained several people<br />

on terrorism charges. For instance, on February 18, the Sary<br />

Arqa District Court in Astana imprisoned five men for membership<br />

of the banned Islamist group Tabligh-I-Jamaat. On<br />

May 13, the Qaraghandy Region's Specialized Inter-District<br />

Court jailed two alleged recruiters of the so-called Islamic<br />

State (IS) [→ Syria, Iraq et al. (IS)]. On July 12, an Aqtobe court<br />

imprisoned twelve men for attempting to travel to Syria and<br />

join IS. On August 11, an Aqtobe court jailed three men for<br />

''spreading terrorist ideas”. On August 22, security forces detained<br />

four members of an Islamist group for planning an attack<br />

with IEDs against the KNB. On August 31, officials declared<br />

that ten suspected Islamists had been detained in the<br />

West Kazakhstan Region and eleven in the Aqtobe Region after<br />

security forces had found guns, explosives, and ammunition<br />

in their homes. Furthermore, on September 5, KNB stated<br />

that eight radical Islamist groups had been apprehended between<br />

January and September. On December 21, the KNB detained<br />

16 suspected members of Tabligh-I-Jamaat in a counterterrorist<br />

operation in the regions of Almaty, Aqtobe, and<br />

Atyrau. afo<br />

KAZAKHSTAN (ISLAMIST GROUPS)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2011<br />

KYRGYZSTAN (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 2 | Change: | Start: 2005<br />

Conflict parties: various Islamist groups vs. government<br />

Conflict items:<br />

system/ideology, national power<br />

The conflict over national power and the orientation of the<br />

political system between various Islamist militant groups and<br />

the government escalated to a violent crisis.<br />

According to authorities, on June 5, around 25 Islamist militants<br />

attacked two gun shops and a military facility in the<br />

northwestern town of Aqtobe, Aqtobe Region, killing three<br />

security forces and five civilians. As a response, security<br />

forces killed 18 of the gunmen during the attack and arrested<br />

the remaining seven. Following the incident, which was the<br />

most fatal Islamist attack since the country's independence,<br />

149<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

opposition vs. government<br />

system/ideology, national power<br />

The non-violent crisis over the orientation of the political system<br />

and national power between various opposition groups,<br />

such as the People's Parliament movement, and the government<br />

continued. On March 22, authorities confirmed that<br />

they were investigating the autencity of audio recordings,<br />

in which several opposition politicians talked about plans<br />

to overthrow the government. In response, several opposition<br />

members were detained or placed under house arrest<br />

on coup charges. On March 24, opposition leaders Bektur<br />

Asanov and Kubanychbek Kadyrov were reportedly detained<br />

in the course of the investigation of the audio record-

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