ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />
ANGOLA (UNITA)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1975<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
UNITA vs. MPLA<br />
national power<br />
The conflict over national power between the government<br />
of President José Eduardo dos Santos and the two major opposition<br />
parties, National Union for the Total Independence<br />
of Angola (UNITA) and Broad Convergence for the Salvation of<br />
Angola-Coalition Electoral (CASA-CE), escalated to a violent<br />
crisis. The governing party, Popular Movement for the Liberation<br />
of Angola (MPLA), and the main opposition party, UNITA,<br />
were the main adversaries in the Angolan civil war from 1975<br />
to 2002. After a decline of violence in the last two years, the<br />
conflict turned violent again.<br />
On September 8, during registration for the upcoming election<br />
in 2017, violent acts occurred in the Northeast of the<br />
province of Lunda Norte. A group of 20 men beat up an<br />
UNITA member in the village of Luremo, who was deployed<br />
to observe the registration procedure. Head of this group was<br />
the village chief of Luremo, a member of governing MPLA. The<br />
local administrative refused to investigate the case and told<br />
the UNITA member to leave the province. On September 22,<br />
unknown assailants burned down the secretariat of UNITA in<br />
the province of Cuando Cubango. hka<br />
BURKINA FASO (OPPOSITION)<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2014<br />
30 former RSP members. Reportedly, RSP had planned attacks<br />
on the presidential residence, army barracks, as well as<br />
a prison in Ouagadougou, where Diendéré was detained.<br />
Throughout the year, Kaboré's government undertook several<br />
legal steps to address the popular uprising of 2014 as well as<br />
the coup of mid-September 2015. On January 8, the government<br />
issued an international arrest warrant against Guillaume<br />
Soro, President of the National Assembly of Côte d'Ivoire, accusing<br />
him of having supported last year's coup.<br />
The Ivorian government refused the execution of the warrant<br />
and instead expressed its willingness for a diplomatic solution.<br />
On January 23, Eddie Komboigo, former CDP president,<br />
was arrested on the same charges one day after returning<br />
from Côte d'Ivoire to Ouagadougou. One month later, Ivorian<br />
authorities extradited Moussa Nebié, close affiliate of Diendéré,<br />
and two other former members of the RSP to Burkina<br />
Faso. Also in February, Compaoré was naturalized as an<br />
Ivorian citizen to allegedly evade extradition to Burkina Faso<br />
that had issued an international arrest warrant against him on<br />
12/04/15. On September 16, Luc-Adolphe Tiao, former prime<br />
minister under Compaoré, was arrested after returning from<br />
Côte d'Ivoire and charged with murder committed during the<br />
October 2014 uprising.<br />
The CDP condemned the government's measures against CDP<br />
members as acts of intimidation. Furthermore, on October 1,<br />
thousands took to the streets in Réo, Sanguié Province, denouncing<br />
the detainment of former Foreign Affairs Ministers<br />
Djibril Bassolé as politically motivated, and demanded his release<br />
or a fair trial. Throughout the year, some of the arrested<br />
were released on bail, among them Komboigo. lgu<br />
BURUNDI (OPPOSITION)<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
CDP vs. government<br />
national power<br />
The violent crisis over national power between the Congress<br />
of Democracy and Progress (CDP), supported by former members<br />
of the dissolved Regiment of Presidential Security (RSP),<br />
and the government led by President Roch Kaboré continued.<br />
In late October 2014, CDP leader and then-president<br />
Blaise Compaoré had resigned after days of anti-government<br />
protests and had fled to Côte d'Ivoire. Subsequently, an interim<br />
government headed by then-prime minister Isaac Yacouba<br />
Zida and then-interim president Michel Kafando had<br />
been installed. On 09/16/2015, the RSP under the leadership<br />
of Compaoré affiliate General Gilbert Diendéré had staged an<br />
unsuccessful coup, which led to the dissolvement of RSP.<br />
Violent confrontations between the former RSP and the government<br />
continued. On January 22, around 15 ex-RSP soldiers<br />
attacked an arms depot, situated close to the capital<br />
Ouagadougou, reportedly injuring one person and stealing<br />
weapons as well as ammunition. However, at least ten attackers<br />
were arrested. On October 8, four unknown gunmen tried<br />
to disarm policemen in the town of Pô, Nahouri Province. In<br />
the ensuing fighting, two attackers were killed and one policeman<br />
wounded. In the following days, authorities arrested 19<br />
persons allegedly involved. On October 21, the government<br />
claimed to have prevented a coup on October 8, and blamed<br />
63<br />
Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2006<br />
Conflict parties:<br />
Conflict items:<br />
ADC-Ikibiri et al. vs. government<br />
national power<br />
The conflict over national power between the opposition<br />
platform Democratic Alliance for Change-Ikibiri (ADC-Ikibiri)<br />
and the government led by President Pierre Nkurunziza's National<br />
Council for Defense of Democracy (CNDD-FDD) and<br />
supported by its militant youth wing Imbonerakure as well<br />
as the National Intelligence Service (SNR), de-escalated to<br />
a violent crisis. ADC-Ikibiri comprised the National Liberation<br />
Forces (FNL), the Movement for Solidarity and Democracy<br />
(MSD), The Front For Democracy in Burundi (FRODEBU), the<br />
Union for Peace and Democracy (UPD), and the ruling party's<br />
splinter faction National Council for the Defense of Democracy<br />
(CNDD). ADC-Ikibiri was formed when most opposition<br />
parties had boycotted the 2010 election. On the opposition<br />
side, the MSD's military arm Resistance for a State of Law in<br />
Burundi (RED-Tabara) and the Republican Forces of Burundi<br />
(FOREBU) were also involved in conflict related action. Both<br />
are former factions of the National Defence Forces (NDF) that<br />
had gone into opposition following the December 2015 unrest.<br />
Throughout the year, several members of opposition groups<br />
were found dead while many others were imprisoned, with