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ConflictBarometer_2016

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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />

ANGOLA (UNITA)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1975<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

UNITA vs. MPLA<br />

national power<br />

The conflict over national power between the government<br />

of President José Eduardo dos Santos and the two major opposition<br />

parties, National Union for the Total Independence<br />

of Angola (UNITA) and Broad Convergence for the Salvation of<br />

Angola-Coalition Electoral (CASA-CE), escalated to a violent<br />

crisis. The governing party, Popular Movement for the Liberation<br />

of Angola (MPLA), and the main opposition party, UNITA,<br />

were the main adversaries in the Angolan civil war from 1975<br />

to 2002. After a decline of violence in the last two years, the<br />

conflict turned violent again.<br />

On September 8, during registration for the upcoming election<br />

in 2017, violent acts occurred in the Northeast of the<br />

province of Lunda Norte. A group of 20 men beat up an<br />

UNITA member in the village of Luremo, who was deployed<br />

to observe the registration procedure. Head of this group was<br />

the village chief of Luremo, a member of governing MPLA. The<br />

local administrative refused to investigate the case and told<br />

the UNITA member to leave the province. On September 22,<br />

unknown assailants burned down the secretariat of UNITA in<br />

the province of Cuando Cubango. hka<br />

BURKINA FASO (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2014<br />

30 former RSP members. Reportedly, RSP had planned attacks<br />

on the presidential residence, army barracks, as well as<br />

a prison in Ouagadougou, where Diendéré was detained.<br />

Throughout the year, Kaboré's government undertook several<br />

legal steps to address the popular uprising of 2014 as well as<br />

the coup of mid-September 2015. On January 8, the government<br />

issued an international arrest warrant against Guillaume<br />

Soro, President of the National Assembly of Côte d'Ivoire, accusing<br />

him of having supported last year's coup.<br />

The Ivorian government refused the execution of the warrant<br />

and instead expressed its willingness for a diplomatic solution.<br />

On January 23, Eddie Komboigo, former CDP president,<br />

was arrested on the same charges one day after returning<br />

from Côte d'Ivoire to Ouagadougou. One month later, Ivorian<br />

authorities extradited Moussa Nebié, close affiliate of Diendéré,<br />

and two other former members of the RSP to Burkina<br />

Faso. Also in February, Compaoré was naturalized as an<br />

Ivorian citizen to allegedly evade extradition to Burkina Faso<br />

that had issued an international arrest warrant against him on<br />

12/04/15. On September 16, Luc-Adolphe Tiao, former prime<br />

minister under Compaoré, was arrested after returning from<br />

Côte d'Ivoire and charged with murder committed during the<br />

October 2014 uprising.<br />

The CDP condemned the government's measures against CDP<br />

members as acts of intimidation. Furthermore, on October 1,<br />

thousands took to the streets in Réo, Sanguié Province, denouncing<br />

the detainment of former Foreign Affairs Ministers<br />

Djibril Bassolé as politically motivated, and demanded his release<br />

or a fair trial. Throughout the year, some of the arrested<br />

were released on bail, among them Komboigo. lgu<br />

BURUNDI (OPPOSITION)<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

CDP vs. government<br />

national power<br />

The violent crisis over national power between the Congress<br />

of Democracy and Progress (CDP), supported by former members<br />

of the dissolved Regiment of Presidential Security (RSP),<br />

and the government led by President Roch Kaboré continued.<br />

In late October 2014, CDP leader and then-president<br />

Blaise Compaoré had resigned after days of anti-government<br />

protests and had fled to Côte d'Ivoire. Subsequently, an interim<br />

government headed by then-prime minister Isaac Yacouba<br />

Zida and then-interim president Michel Kafando had<br />

been installed. On 09/16/2015, the RSP under the leadership<br />

of Compaoré affiliate General Gilbert Diendéré had staged an<br />

unsuccessful coup, which led to the dissolvement of RSP.<br />

Violent confrontations between the former RSP and the government<br />

continued. On January 22, around 15 ex-RSP soldiers<br />

attacked an arms depot, situated close to the capital<br />

Ouagadougou, reportedly injuring one person and stealing<br />

weapons as well as ammunition. However, at least ten attackers<br />

were arrested. On October 8, four unknown gunmen tried<br />

to disarm policemen in the town of Pô, Nahouri Province. In<br />

the ensuing fighting, two attackers were killed and one policeman<br />

wounded. In the following days, authorities arrested 19<br />

persons allegedly involved. On October 21, the government<br />

claimed to have prevented a coup on October 8, and blamed<br />

63<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2006<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

ADC-Ikibiri et al. vs. government<br />

national power<br />

The conflict over national power between the opposition<br />

platform Democratic Alliance for Change-Ikibiri (ADC-Ikibiri)<br />

and the government led by President Pierre Nkurunziza's National<br />

Council for Defense of Democracy (CNDD-FDD) and<br />

supported by its militant youth wing Imbonerakure as well<br />

as the National Intelligence Service (SNR), de-escalated to<br />

a violent crisis. ADC-Ikibiri comprised the National Liberation<br />

Forces (FNL), the Movement for Solidarity and Democracy<br />

(MSD), The Front For Democracy in Burundi (FRODEBU), the<br />

Union for Peace and Democracy (UPD), and the ruling party's<br />

splinter faction National Council for the Defense of Democracy<br />

(CNDD). ADC-Ikibiri was formed when most opposition<br />

parties had boycotted the 2010 election. On the opposition<br />

side, the MSD's military arm Resistance for a State of Law in<br />

Burundi (RED-Tabara) and the Republican Forces of Burundi<br />

(FOREBU) were also involved in conflict related action. Both<br />

are former factions of the National Defence Forces (NDF) that<br />

had gone into opposition following the December 2015 unrest.<br />

Throughout the year, several members of opposition groups<br />

were found dead while many others were imprisoned, with

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