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ConflictBarometer_2016

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THE AMERICAS<br />

NICARAGUA (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2008<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

opposition groups vs. government<br />

system/ideology, national power<br />

The violent crisis over the orientation of the political system,<br />

national power, and resources between various opposition<br />

groups and the government of President Daniel Ortega's Sandinista<br />

National Liberation Front (FSLN) continued.<br />

On November 6, Ortega was reelected in the general elections<br />

for a 3rd consecutive term. Opposition parties, such as<br />

the coalition Broad Front for Democracy (FAD) as well as election<br />

observers, civil society organizations, and international<br />

organizations deemed the elections to be neither free nor<br />

fair. However, most opposition parties accepted the results.<br />

The same day, three civilians were killed by FSLN supporters<br />

in Ciudad Antigua, Nueva Segovia department. The following<br />

day, clashes between supporters of the FSLN and of the<br />

oppositional, pro-indigenous YATAMA party occurred in Bilwi,<br />

Autonomous Region of Northern Atlantic. YATAMA supporters<br />

were celebrating the election of their leader Brooklyn Rivera<br />

into the national parliament, but also protested against the<br />

election process. When encountering celebrating FSLN supporters,<br />

clashes began [→ Nicaragua (indigenous groups)]. At<br />

least 20 people were injured. Government buildings, cars,<br />

and shops were also demolished and ransacked.<br />

Throughout the year, protests against the planned construction<br />

of the interoceanic canal, which would connect the Atlantic<br />

and the Pacific Ocean, continued. Opposition groups<br />

and organizations perceived the construction of the Chinesefunded<br />

canal project and the dredging in the Lake Nicaragua<br />

as a threat to the country's main reserve for freshwater and<br />

biodiversity. On November 30, clashes between the police<br />

and demonstrators occurred after thousands of people<br />

took to the streets in several departments to march against<br />

the planned canal. In Nueva Guinea, Autonomous Region of<br />

Southern Atlantic, six policemen and five protesters were injured.<br />

In the capital Managua, in the eponymous department,<br />

several protesters were injured, twelve arrested and 20 disappeared.<br />

In early December, several anti-government groups<br />

held marches in the capital, demanding the government to<br />

repeal the canal construction plans and calling for fair and<br />

transparent elections. hzi<br />

PARAGUAY (EPP, AGRARIAN MOVEMENTS)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1989<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

EPP, ACA, agrarian movements vs.<br />

government<br />

system/ideology, resources<br />

The violent crisis over land reform between the left-leaning<br />

People's Army of Paraguay (EPP), their splinter cell Armed<br />

Peasant Association (ACA), several farmer organizations, indigenous<br />

groups, and landless people, on the one hand, and<br />

123<br />

the government, on the other, continued for the 28th consecutive<br />

year. These groups continued to demand integral agrarian,<br />

social, and political reform.<br />

On January 28, the Joint Task Force (FTC), a military unit<br />

deployed to counter EPP's activities, arrested six people in<br />

Agüerito, San Pedro department. Two out of those six individuals<br />

were found to be members of the EPP, and to be allegedly<br />

involved in the July 2015 killing of five police officers.<br />

On May 17, the FTC killed ACA leader Idilio Morínigo during<br />

a shootout in Azotey, Concepción department. Lacking substantial<br />

leadership after the incident, ACA did not undertake<br />

any further activities for the rest of the year. On July 27, the<br />

EPP kidnapped the son of a landowner in Río Verde, San Pedro,<br />

demanding a ransom of 700,000 USD. One day later, alleged<br />

EPP members detonated an IED targeting a police patrol<br />

near Río Verde, causing only material damage.<br />

Tensions escalated on August 27 when several members of<br />

the EPP ambushed and killed eight military personnel of the<br />

FTC in Horqueta, Concepción. This was the most fatal attack<br />

of the group since the conflict had started. Subsequently, in<br />

November, amid the perceived rise of insecurity over the past<br />

few months, President Horacio Cartes replaced for the second<br />

time this year the head of the FTC, now led by Julio Brugada.<br />

Furthermore, in the same month, interior minister Francisco<br />

de Vargas was ousted during an impeachment request and<br />

replaced by Miguel Tadeo Rojas.<br />

Several farmers' and workers' organizations staged protests<br />

throughout the year, demanding a fair distribution of land<br />

and furthermore criticizing the usage of chemical products by<br />

companies such as Monsanto. For instance, in March and April<br />

various cooperative, farmer and activist groups led by the<br />

Federación Nacional Campesina and the Partido Paraguayo<br />

Pyahura marched towards the government district in the capital<br />

Asunción. Participants demanded a fair taxation of cooperative<br />

groups, a sustainable development model, and the retirement<br />

of Cartes. After an informal agreement between the<br />

protestors and the government was not implemented, farmers'<br />

organizations carried out peaceful protests with about<br />

5,000 participants in at least 13 departments and in Asunción<br />

on September 20. mah<br />

PERU (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2008<br />

Conflict parties: opposition movements vs. government<br />

Conflict items:<br />

system/ideology, resources<br />

The conflict over the orientation of the political system and<br />

resources between various opposition groups and the government<br />

remained violent. At the centre of contention were<br />

socio-environmental issues such as water pollution, water<br />

shortages, land rights, and the lack of consultation with local<br />

communities, predominantly in the mining sector.<br />

On March 6, the Wampis community in the Amazon province<br />

of Maranon, Loreto region, seized a grounded military helicopter<br />

and took the crew members and several other officials<br />

hostage to force the government to withdraw the national oil

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