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ConflictBarometer_2016

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SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA<br />

force, known as Liyu Police, into the region. According to<br />

the OLA, its forces had killed 253 government soldiers and<br />

wounded another 215 in fightings between January 5 and<br />

September 10. The OLA seized light weaponry on numerous<br />

occasions and destroyed two vehicles in shootings in West<br />

and East Hararghe Zones on February 25 and September 10.<br />

Additionally, military presence in Moyale district at the<br />

Ethiopian-Kenyan border continued.<br />

On July 28, the OLA allegedly shot at soldiers in two separate<br />

attacks in Moyale, killing twelve and wounding eight. On<br />

October 16, 100 soldiers reportedly entered Kenya in pursuit<br />

of OLF militants, who they suspected of having killed<br />

an Ethiopian police officer. In the process the soldiers shot<br />

dead a Kenyan herder. The UN-supported implementation<br />

of the ''Marsabit County of Kenya-Borana zone of Ethiopia<br />

integrated Cross Border and Area-based Program” last year<br />

allowed soldiers to enter into Kenya in order to pursue OLF<br />

members.<br />

jar<br />

ETHIOPIA (ONLF / OGADEN)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1984<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

ONLF vs. government<br />

autonomy, resources<br />

Donan district, Shabelle. Throughout September, ONLF proclaimed<br />

that they had conducted several attacks on government<br />

troops in Gunagado and Dagahbur, as well as in East Ime<br />

and Danan districts, Shabelle, killing 23 soldiers and wounding<br />

31. The government did not comment on the incidents.<br />

In 2015, Ethiopia had signed a bilateral agreement with Djibouti<br />

to build a natural gas transit pipeline. The line would run<br />

700 km from Ogaden to the port town Damerjog, Djibouti. In<br />

the beginning of March, the Ethiopian army began to clear the<br />

land for oil exploration, preventing civilians from returning<br />

to their ancestral lands by confiscating their livestock. ONLF<br />

warned all involved participants of being part of the illegal<br />

attempts of the Ethiopian regime and threatened them with<br />

consequences. According to the Unrepresented Nations and<br />

Peoples Organization, up to 400,000 people from Ogaden<br />

were internally displaced.<br />

tsm<br />

ETHIOPIA (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 2005<br />

Conflict parties: Ethnic groups vs. government;<br />

government vs. Semayawi Party,<br />

MEDREK, Ginbot 7, Zone 9, OFC<br />

Conflict items:<br />

system/ideology, national power<br />

The violent crisis over the autonomy of Ogaden region in Somali<br />

state and the control of oil fields between the Ogaden<br />

National Liberation Front (ONLF) and the government continued.<br />

Throughout the year, violent confrontations between the<br />

ONLF and government troops, supported by the governmentaffiliated<br />

paramilitary group Liyu Police, took place all over<br />

Ogaden, especially in the Jarar and Nogob zones.<br />

On February 8, ONLF reportedly attacked two vehicles in<br />

Dagahbur district, Jarar, killing seven people, among them<br />

a member of the regional parliament, and injuring another<br />

seven. On February 18, ONLF attacked a military base, killing<br />

five and wounding eight soldiers in Gunagado district, Jarar.<br />

On March 1, ONLF attacked military troops in Fiiq district, Nogob,<br />

killing five and injuring three. On March 20, ONLF reportedly<br />

clashed with government forces in three different<br />

villages in Jarar, Korahe, and Nogob zones, killing nine soldiers<br />

and wounding twelve. Between May 20 and 22, ONLF<br />

conducted a series of attacks in Nogob and Jarar, as well as<br />

Shabelle zone. Reportedly, ONLF killed about 50 soldiers<br />

and wounded 65. During the attacks, two military camps in<br />

Awaare district, Jarar, were destroyed. On June 5, Liyu Police<br />

killed more than 40 civilians in Gashamo district, Jarar, and<br />

destroyed all property, including food and water supplies, in<br />

the village of Jama Dubad. This aggravated the situation of<br />

the civilian population as Gashamo district suffered a severe<br />

drought period. Liyu Police's actions were criticized by the<br />

ONLF. According to Human Rights Watch, this had not been<br />

the first incident of that kind in the region. On August 11, soldiers<br />

reportedly detained and injured up to 30 civilians in the<br />

town of Kebri Dehar, Korahe zone. One day later, ONLF killed<br />

15 soldiers and wounded 18 in clashes with armed forces in<br />

Barbarad locality, Doolo zone. On August 20, ONLF reportedly<br />

killed seven soldiers and wounded six during fighting in<br />

73<br />

The violent conflict over national power and the orientation<br />

of the political system between various opposition parties<br />

and the government led by the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary<br />

Democratic Front (EPRDF) continued. Throughout the<br />

year, the government continued to repress the opposition and<br />

arrested journalists, opposition members, and bloggers, and<br />

put them on trial. In addition, this year, various civil society<br />

and student-led groups joined protests all over the country.<br />

In Oromiya State, protesters raised concerns that the government<br />

would continue to displace Oromo farmers for the implementation<br />

of the so-called Master Plan. The plan aimed<br />

at expanding the capital Addis Ababa into Oromiya. Student<br />

protests that had initially targeted the Master Plan at the end<br />

of last year in different locations in the region, intensified<br />

this year. In mid-January, the government cancelled the plan<br />

due to the growing number of protestors. However, protests<br />

still grew in number, in reaction to the alleged killing of 140<br />

protesters by security forces between late December 2015<br />

and mid-January. On March 16, 20 university students were<br />

charged under the criminal code for protesting without approval<br />

against the government in front of the US Embassy in<br />

Addis Ababa. In July, protests took place in at least ten towns<br />

across Oromiya, where 33 protesters were shot dead by security<br />

forces and 26 protesters were injured during clashes. A<br />

new wave of protests occurred after at least 52 people were<br />

killed in a stampede during an anti-government protest at a<br />

religious festival in the town of Bishoftu, Oromiya, on October<br />

2. The mass panic was followed by heavy use of tear gas and<br />

rubber bullets by security forces. Six days later, the EPRDF announced<br />

a six-month state of emergency. In early November,<br />

Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn reorganized the cabinet<br />

by replacing 15 of 30 ministers.<br />

In the city of Gondar, Amhara State, protests began after the

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