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ConflictBarometer_2016

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MIDDLE EAST AND MAGHREB<br />

hostages in the Splendid hotel which was retaken by Burkinabe<br />

and French forces the following day. In total, at least 28<br />

people were killed and 56 injured. Also on January 16, AQIM<br />

claimed responsibility for the kidnapping of two foreigners<br />

in Baraboul, Soum Province, close to the Malian border. Furthermore,<br />

on December 16, around 40 militants of Ansaroul<br />

Islam, a newly emerged AQIM-affiliated group, attacked a<br />

military post in Nassoumbou, Soum, killing at least twelve<br />

soldiers and wounding four, while two attackers were killed.<br />

In Niger, alleged members of AQIM attacked a market in Dolbel,<br />

Tillabry region, close to the border with Burkina Faso<br />

on March 17, killing three policemen. Moreover, suspected<br />

AQIM militants conducted several attacks on refugee camps<br />

throughout the year. In the most fatal incident on October 6,<br />

40 attackers raided a refugee camp in Tazalit, Tahoua region,<br />

leaving 22 security forces dead.<br />

In Cte d'Ivoire, on March 13, three AQIM militants attacked<br />

a beach resort in Grand-Bassam, Sud-Como Region, leaving<br />

15 civilians and three security forces dead as well as 33 people<br />

injured. However, the government stated that the police<br />

had killed at least six attackers. chf, wih, ala, bkm, jas<br />

BAHRAIN (OPPOSITION)<br />

Intensity: 3 | Change: | Start: 1975<br />

The violent crisis over the orientation of the political system<br />

and national power between Shiite opposition groups and the<br />

Sunni government continued.<br />

The opposition, mainly represented by the parliamentary<br />

groups al-Wefaq National Islamic Society and the Coalition of<br />

February 14 Youth, called for a reform of the political system,<br />

for democracy, demanded measures against corruption and<br />

called for the release of arrested opposition leaders.<br />

After Saudi Arabia had executed the Shiite cleric Nimr al-<br />

Nimr, a prominent religious figure, on New Year's day, protests<br />

erupted throughout Bahrain and other countries, lasting several<br />

days [→ Saudi Arabia (Shiites)]. The Bahraini police used<br />

tear gas to disperse protests in Abu Saiba, Northern Governorate.<br />

An attack on the Saudi Embassy in Iran caused the<br />

Bahraini government to end diplomatic relations with Iran on<br />

January 4.<br />

To mark the 5th anniversary of the 2011 uprising, opposition<br />

protesters took to the streets from February 11 to 16, demanding<br />

freedom and democracy. Police used tear gas and<br />

birdshot to disperse the crowds and furthermore arrested at<br />

least 89 people.<br />

On April 11, the government released a list of 68 organizations,<br />

marking them as terrorist groups. Among them were a<br />

number of Shiite opposition groups, such as the February 14<br />

Coalition, which had previously organized anti-government<br />

protests. The list also named groups like the al-Ashtar<br />

Brigades and the Resistance Brigades which previously engaged<br />

in violent attacks against the government.<br />

On May 16, the government passed an amendment to the<br />

Political Society Law from 2005. The original law regulated<br />

political and civil activities in the public sphere and had already<br />

restricted the activities ofinfluential societal actors in<br />

politics, such as judges, diplomats and military actors. The<br />

amendment now extended the regulations to religious figures,<br />

such as clerics and imams, and criminalized the inclusion<br />

of political speech in sermons. On June 12, the King<br />

ratified the amendment. On July 17, authorities dissolved<br />

the main Shiite opposition group al-Wefaq Islamic Society on<br />

charges of contributing to instigation of terrorism and violence.<br />

Over the year, the government arrested several opposition<br />

leaders and Human Rights activists. In May, Sheikh Ali Salman,<br />

Secretary General of the al-Wefaq National Islamic Society,<br />

was sentenced to nine years in prison. Opposition leader<br />

Ebrahim Karimi was sentenced to two years and one month,<br />

as well as to a fine, on charges of, among others, publicly insulting<br />

the king. The authorities furthermore revoked his citizenship.<br />

ivo<br />

EGYPT (ISLAMIST GROUPS/SINAI PENINSULA)<br />

Intensity: 4 | Change: | Start: 1992<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

Ajnad Misr et al. vs. government<br />

system/ideology<br />

Conflict parties:<br />

Conflict items:<br />

opposition groups, government<br />

system/ideology, national power<br />

175<br />

The limited war over ideology between Ajnad Misr (AM) and<br />

several other Islamist groups, on the hand, and the government,<br />

on the other, continued. In <strong>2016</strong>, at least 474 people<br />

were killed and at least 139 injured. Among those killed<br />

were at least 60 Egyptian Armed Forces (EAF) and Egyptian<br />

National Police (ENP) forces, five civilians and 409 alleged<br />

Islamist militants. The conflict was affected by the transnational<br />

war against the so-called Islamic State (IS) [->Syria, Iraq<br />

et al. (IS)]. The Egyptian branch of IS, Sinai Province, evolved<br />

from the Islamist militant group Ansar Beit al-Maqdis, which<br />

had pledged allegiance to IS on 14/10/11.<br />

Throughout the year, the parliament approved presidential<br />

orders to extend the state of emergency in North Sinai, the<br />

area most hit by violence. On January 2 and January 4, EAF<br />

killed 58 militants and destroyed several vehicles in raids in<br />

the cities of al-Arish, Sheikh Zuweid and Rafah, North Sinai<br />

Governorate. On January 20, militants shot five policemen<br />

dead and wounded three in an attack on a security checkpoint<br />

in the centre of al-Arish. Using Apache helicopters in<br />

al-Arish, Sheikh Zuweid and Rafah on February 6, EAF killed<br />

ten militants and injured 13. Two days later, ENP forces shot<br />

four members of AM dead in Cairo, Cairo Governorate, and<br />

destroyed their weapons and vehicles. In an attack on asecurity<br />

checkpoint in al-Badrashin, Giza Governorate, militants<br />

killed one policeman and wounded two others on February<br />

16. In response to an attack of IS' Sinai Province on a security<br />

checkpoint on March 19, EAF killed 60 militants and<br />

injured 40 during fighter aircraft-supported raids in the cities

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