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ConflictBarometer_2016

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MIDDLE EAST AND MAGHREB<br />

publicly reiterated his demand for a''safe zone” in northern<br />

Syria and called for an international ground operation on<br />

February 20. The Syrian government accused Turkey of conducting<br />

operations on the ground inside Syrian territory on<br />

February 16. Throughout the first half of the year, Turkish<br />

government officials denied any intention for such activities.<br />

On June 17, the new appointed Turkish Prime Minister Binali<br />

Yıldırım stated that Turkey could not be enemies with Syria<br />

forever and that there was aneed to normalize the relationship<br />

between the two states. He reaffirmed this statement<br />

on July 13. On August 24, Turkish artillery and fighter jets<br />

shelled the Syrian city of Jarabulus, Aleppo governorate, held<br />

by the so-called Islamic State (IS), while Turkish ground forces<br />

and tanks crossed the border. The Turkish Foreign Minister<br />

declared that the operation ''Euphrates Shield” was aimed at<br />

clearing the southern Turkish border region from IS [→ Syria,<br />

Iraq et al. (IS)]. The same day, the Syrian government condemned<br />

the Turkish intervention as a flagrant violation of Syrian<br />

sovereignty. On October 13, Syrian President Bashar al-<br />

Assad expressed hopes that Russian President Vladimir Putin<br />

could change Turkey's position towards Syria. On the next<br />

day, he accused Turkey of supporting armed opposition forces<br />

in Aleppo. On November 26, Turkish Deputy Prime Minister<br />

Numan Kurtulmus renewed the Turkish demand for the resignation<br />

of al-Assad. aje<br />

SYRIA, IRAQ ET AL. (IS)<br />

Intensity: 5 | Change: | Start: 2014<br />

Conflict parties: IS, Sunni tribes vs. al-Sham Front,<br />

FSA, GNC, Hezbollah, Jabhat al-Nusra,<br />

KRG, PFG, SDF, Shiite militants, Sunni<br />

tribesmen, al-Houthis, US-led coalition,<br />

Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan,<br />

Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Libya, Tunesia,<br />

Turkey, Saudi-Arabia, Taliban<br />

Conflict items: system/ideology, resources<br />

The war over the orientation of the international system and<br />

the control of resources such as oil between the so-called Islamic<br />

State (IS), on the one hand, and Syria and Iraq as well as<br />

other governments and several militant groups, on the other,<br />

continued.<br />

Following its founding on 06/29/14 by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi,<br />

IS had brought a large territory in Syria and Iraq under its<br />

control, implemented sharia law, and set up state-like administration<br />

as well as social services. Due to large-scale mobilization<br />

on social media, many foreign fighters from over a<br />

hundred countries had joined the group. IS had expanded its<br />

operations to Afghanistan, Lebanon, Egypt, Libya, and Algeria<br />

in 2014, followed by Yemen, Tunisia, and Turkey in 2015<br />

as well as Saudi-Arabia in <strong>2016</strong>. Outside the Middle East<br />

and Maghreb region IS operated in Pakistan [→ Pakistan (Islamist<br />

militant groups)]. Various militant groups in the Middle<br />

188<br />

East and Maghreb and other parts of the world had pledged<br />

allegiance to IS, including an al-Shabaab faction, a Boko<br />

Haram faction, the Caucasus Emirate, the Islamic Movement<br />

of Uzbekistan as well as Taliban splinter groups, Jemaah Islamiyah,<br />

Abu Sayyaf, and Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters<br />

[→ Somalia, Kenya (al-Shabaab); Nigeria (Boko Haram);<br />

Russia (Islamist militants / Northern Caucasus); Afghanistan<br />

(Taliban et al.); Tajikistan (Islamist militant groups); Indonesia<br />

(Islamist militant groups); Philippines (Abu Sayyaf); Philippines<br />

(BIFF, BIFM –MILF, government). In order to halt the<br />

advances of IS, aUS-led coalition had started to launch air<br />

strikes in Iraq in August 2014, expanding operations to Syria<br />

under the name ''Operation Inherent Resolve” one month<br />

later. Russia had justified its military intervention in Syria<br />

starting in September 2015 with the fight against radical Islamist<br />

militants, referring to IS and Jabhat al-Nusra [→ Syria<br />

(opposition)]. This year, IS claimed responsibility for attacks in<br />

Indonesia, Belgium, Bangladesh, Jordan, and Germany. (ska)<br />

SYRIA<br />

In Syria, IS fought against the government of Bashar al-Assad,<br />

the Free Syrian Army (FSA), other Islamist militants, and the<br />

Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). IS lost previously<br />

gained territory in the northern parts of Aleppo, ar-Raqqa, and<br />

al-Hasakah Governorates. Most of Deir ez-Zor Governorate<br />

remained under IS control. Moreover, IS advanced significantly<br />

in Homs Governorate. The US-led air strikes continued<br />

throughout the year, mostly targeting IS sites in Aleppo and<br />

ar-Raqqa.<br />

In Aleppo Governorate, IS was mainly involved in clashes with<br />

government forces, FSA fighters, and SDF fighters. Moreover,<br />

Turkish Armed Forces (TAF) launched the military operation<br />

''Euphrates Shield” in cooperation with FSA fighters and the<br />

US-led coalition in northern Aleppo beginning on August 24.<br />

The aim of the operation was to clear the border region from<br />

IS militants and to prevent the Kurdish People's Protection<br />

Units (YPG), which were part of the SDF, from forming an area<br />

under Kurdish control in northern Syria.<br />

Between March 9 and 10, pro-government forces recaptured<br />

13 villages from IS in southeastern Aleppo, forcing IS to partly<br />

withdraw. On April 7, FSA fighters, allied with Turkey, attacked<br />

IS at the border town of al-Rai, seizing it the same day. IS recaptured<br />

al-Rai as well as at least ten other villages during a<br />

counteroffensive between April 9and 15. However, clashes<br />

continued until the US-backed FSA-affiliates Hawar Kilis Operations<br />

Room fully seized the town with support of Turkish<br />

cross-border artillery fire on August 17. On April 16, IS took<br />

control of refugee camps in northern Aleppo and forced at<br />

least 30,000 civilians to flee to the Turkish border. In southern<br />

Aleppo, IS conducted an offensive against government<br />

forces and captured ten villages near the government-held<br />

town of Khanasser after heavy clashes on April 16. On May<br />

5, Turkey deployed at least 15 special operation forces in<br />

northern Syria to locate IS rocket launchers. The same day,<br />

Turkish and US cross-border air strikes as well as artillery fire<br />

killed 50 IS fighters. End of May, IS cut off the main road linking<br />

the opposition-strongholds Mare'a and Azaz town. As IS<br />

advanced in the area, at least 100,000 civilians fled and were<br />

trapped near the Turkish border. Subsequently, opposition<br />

groups in Mare'a unified to combat IS and lifted the IS siege<br />

on Mare'a and Azaz by June 8.

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