ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
ConflictBarometer_2016
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MIDDLE EAST AND MAGHREB<br />
publicly reiterated his demand for a''safe zone” in northern<br />
Syria and called for an international ground operation on<br />
February 20. The Syrian government accused Turkey of conducting<br />
operations on the ground inside Syrian territory on<br />
February 16. Throughout the first half of the year, Turkish<br />
government officials denied any intention for such activities.<br />
On June 17, the new appointed Turkish Prime Minister Binali<br />
Yıldırım stated that Turkey could not be enemies with Syria<br />
forever and that there was aneed to normalize the relationship<br />
between the two states. He reaffirmed this statement<br />
on July 13. On August 24, Turkish artillery and fighter jets<br />
shelled the Syrian city of Jarabulus, Aleppo governorate, held<br />
by the so-called Islamic State (IS), while Turkish ground forces<br />
and tanks crossed the border. The Turkish Foreign Minister<br />
declared that the operation ''Euphrates Shield” was aimed at<br />
clearing the southern Turkish border region from IS [→ Syria,<br />
Iraq et al. (IS)]. The same day, the Syrian government condemned<br />
the Turkish intervention as a flagrant violation of Syrian<br />
sovereignty. On October 13, Syrian President Bashar al-<br />
Assad expressed hopes that Russian President Vladimir Putin<br />
could change Turkey's position towards Syria. On the next<br />
day, he accused Turkey of supporting armed opposition forces<br />
in Aleppo. On November 26, Turkish Deputy Prime Minister<br />
Numan Kurtulmus renewed the Turkish demand for the resignation<br />
of al-Assad. aje<br />
SYRIA, IRAQ ET AL. (IS)<br />
Intensity: 5 | Change: | Start: 2014<br />
Conflict parties: IS, Sunni tribes vs. al-Sham Front,<br />
FSA, GNC, Hezbollah, Jabhat al-Nusra,<br />
KRG, PFG, SDF, Shiite militants, Sunni<br />
tribesmen, al-Houthis, US-led coalition,<br />
Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan,<br />
Algeria, Egypt, Lebanon, Libya, Tunesia,<br />
Turkey, Saudi-Arabia, Taliban<br />
Conflict items: system/ideology, resources<br />
The war over the orientation of the international system and<br />
the control of resources such as oil between the so-called Islamic<br />
State (IS), on the one hand, and Syria and Iraq as well as<br />
other governments and several militant groups, on the other,<br />
continued.<br />
Following its founding on 06/29/14 by Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi,<br />
IS had brought a large territory in Syria and Iraq under its<br />
control, implemented sharia law, and set up state-like administration<br />
as well as social services. Due to large-scale mobilization<br />
on social media, many foreign fighters from over a<br />
hundred countries had joined the group. IS had expanded its<br />
operations to Afghanistan, Lebanon, Egypt, Libya, and Algeria<br />
in 2014, followed by Yemen, Tunisia, and Turkey in 2015<br />
as well as Saudi-Arabia in <strong>2016</strong>. Outside the Middle East<br />
and Maghreb region IS operated in Pakistan [→ Pakistan (Islamist<br />
militant groups)]. Various militant groups in the Middle<br />
188<br />
East and Maghreb and other parts of the world had pledged<br />
allegiance to IS, including an al-Shabaab faction, a Boko<br />
Haram faction, the Caucasus Emirate, the Islamic Movement<br />
of Uzbekistan as well as Taliban splinter groups, Jemaah Islamiyah,<br />
Abu Sayyaf, and Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters<br />
[→ Somalia, Kenya (al-Shabaab); Nigeria (Boko Haram);<br />
Russia (Islamist militants / Northern Caucasus); Afghanistan<br />
(Taliban et al.); Tajikistan (Islamist militant groups); Indonesia<br />
(Islamist militant groups); Philippines (Abu Sayyaf); Philippines<br />
(BIFF, BIFM –MILF, government). In order to halt the<br />
advances of IS, aUS-led coalition had started to launch air<br />
strikes in Iraq in August 2014, expanding operations to Syria<br />
under the name ''Operation Inherent Resolve” one month<br />
later. Russia had justified its military intervention in Syria<br />
starting in September 2015 with the fight against radical Islamist<br />
militants, referring to IS and Jabhat al-Nusra [→ Syria<br />
(opposition)]. This year, IS claimed responsibility for attacks in<br />
Indonesia, Belgium, Bangladesh, Jordan, and Germany. (ska)<br />
SYRIA<br />
In Syria, IS fought against the government of Bashar al-Assad,<br />
the Free Syrian Army (FSA), other Islamist militants, and the<br />
Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). IS lost previously<br />
gained territory in the northern parts of Aleppo, ar-Raqqa, and<br />
al-Hasakah Governorates. Most of Deir ez-Zor Governorate<br />
remained under IS control. Moreover, IS advanced significantly<br />
in Homs Governorate. The US-led air strikes continued<br />
throughout the year, mostly targeting IS sites in Aleppo and<br />
ar-Raqqa.<br />
In Aleppo Governorate, IS was mainly involved in clashes with<br />
government forces, FSA fighters, and SDF fighters. Moreover,<br />
Turkish Armed Forces (TAF) launched the military operation<br />
''Euphrates Shield” in cooperation with FSA fighters and the<br />
US-led coalition in northern Aleppo beginning on August 24.<br />
The aim of the operation was to clear the border region from<br />
IS militants and to prevent the Kurdish People's Protection<br />
Units (YPG), which were part of the SDF, from forming an area<br />
under Kurdish control in northern Syria.<br />
Between March 9 and 10, pro-government forces recaptured<br />
13 villages from IS in southeastern Aleppo, forcing IS to partly<br />
withdraw. On April 7, FSA fighters, allied with Turkey, attacked<br />
IS at the border town of al-Rai, seizing it the same day. IS recaptured<br />
al-Rai as well as at least ten other villages during a<br />
counteroffensive between April 9and 15. However, clashes<br />
continued until the US-backed FSA-affiliates Hawar Kilis Operations<br />
Room fully seized the town with support of Turkish<br />
cross-border artillery fire on August 17. On April 16, IS took<br />
control of refugee camps in northern Aleppo and forced at<br />
least 30,000 civilians to flee to the Turkish border. In southern<br />
Aleppo, IS conducted an offensive against government<br />
forces and captured ten villages near the government-held<br />
town of Khanasser after heavy clashes on April 16. On May<br />
5, Turkey deployed at least 15 special operation forces in<br />
northern Syria to locate IS rocket launchers. The same day,<br />
Turkish and US cross-border air strikes as well as artillery fire<br />
killed 50 IS fighters. End of May, IS cut off the main road linking<br />
the opposition-strongholds Mare'a and Azaz town. As IS<br />
advanced in the area, at least 100,000 civilians fled and were<br />
trapped near the Turkish border. Subsequently, opposition<br />
groups in Mare'a unified to combat IS and lifted the IS siege<br />
on Mare'a and Azaz by June 8.